Saturday 9/6 Strong/Severe storm potential

[CoastalWx]

Seems like wrn ma into SNH favored today. However may see some training in areas of CT later into NE MA?

[weatherwiz]

12z NAM has a pocket of 1500-2000+ J of MLCape across western Mass into northwest CT. That would be noteworthy given the shear. 

[JJBASHB]

Hopefully this clears out a bit in the next hour or so.  

[weatherwiz]

39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems like wrn ma into SNH favored today. However may see some training in areas of CT later into NE MA?

I am debating on going into southwest New Hampshire. 

[Torch Tiger]

Great day to go for a drive even if the storms aren't particularly good. 

[Torch Tiger]

womp womp

[Chrisrotary12]

Soupy 18 holes this morning. Any chance we clear out before initiation?

[JJBASHB]

Clearing sort of peeling north through most of SNH.  

[dendrite]

76/68 she comin’…probably a 2-5pm window for here.

[CoastalWx]

Man it’s warm out. Drenched. Love it.

[CoastalWx]

81/74

[Chrisrotary12]

Bridgewater, NH feels like the play today. Always the lake sunapee region in NH.

[Chrisrotary12]

Feel like I’m too far east. 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Bridgewater, NH feels like the play today. Always the lake sunapee region in NH.

I was thinking Bristol to Moultonborough so yeah…same wavelength.

[Chrisrotary12]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I was thinking Bristol to Moultonborough so yeah…same wavelength.

Need a link to our posters cam up there. 

[weatherwiz]

Does anyone know of any really good viewing spots in this area? Debating on what to do but time is a wasting. The area I would go in southwest New Hampshire would definitely be best but my worry is the best stuff will go from Berkshire through northern Mass, just south of the VT/NH border.

[Torch Tiger]

convection looks shallow and meh.  hope that ramps up soon

[ineedsnow]

Hoping for something good here.. suns out

[radarman]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Does anyone know of any really good viewing spots in this area? Debating on what to do but time is a wasting. The area I would go in southwest New Hampshire would definitely be best but my worry is the best stuff will go from Berkshire through northern Mass, just south of the VT/NH border.

Turners Falls airport is a good spot.  Or on the top of Mt Sugarloaf (which you can drive up), except you aren't in position to move easily.  Fields between North Amherst and North Hadley too, wide open fields over there.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, radarman said:

Turner's Falls airport is a good spot.  Or on the top of Mt Sugarloaf, except you aren't in position to move easily

Thanks! 

I'm not too worried about being able to move easily. Once I pick a spot and location I don't really want to have to deal with moving and trying to get somewhere or follow the storm. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Does anyone know of any really good viewing spots in this area? Debating on what to do but time is a wasting. The area I would go in southwest New Hampshire would definitely be best but my worry is the best stuff will go from Berkshire through northern Mass, just south of the VT/NH border.

Like @radarmansaid, TF airport or Poets Seat tower in Greenfield is awesome.  You can drive up to the top of that hill and there’s five or six parking spots and a stone tower you can climb. 
Great views in all directions.

[Torch Tiger]

missed this earlier.  80%

  Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong to severe storm development is possible by early
   afternoon. Issuance of one or more watches is likely.

   DISCUSSION...Filtered heating is ongoing late this morning from
   parts of NJ/eastern PA into parts of New England, to the east of a
   substantial cloud shield and embedded weak convection. Morning
   soundings depict generally poor midlevel lapse rates, but relatively
   rich low-level moisture (with dewpoints in the 60s to near 70 F) and
   continued heating will result in MLCAPE increasing to the 1000-1500
   J/kg range. Scattered surface-based storm development is expected as
   soon as early afternoon, as a cold front begins to impinge upon this
   destabilizing environment.

   Deep-layer shear is already rather strong across the region, and
   will continue to increase in response to a notable mid/upper-level
   shortwave trough approaching the lower Great Lakes region. Initial
   development may quickly evolve into a few supercells, though
   deep-layer flow/shear roughly parallel to the front may eventually
   result in a tendency toward storm clustering and possible QLCS
   development. Some increase in low-level shear/SRH with time could
   support a tornado threat with any discrete or embedded supercells,
   especially where surface winds remain locally backed near a weak
   surface wave that will traverse the front this afternoon. Isolated
   hail may also occur with any supercells. Otherwise, scattered
   damaging wind will become increasingly possible with time, as storm
   coverage increases and low-level lapse rates steepen.

   One or more watches will likely be issued by early afternoon in
   order to cover these threats.

[weatherwiz]

I think I am going to go into southwest New Hampshire (Walpole area where my friend works). Thinking there is potential sfc winds may end up a bit more backed up in that area. But I am going to have to leave like now. Its about a 90 minute hike there

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think I am going to go into southwest New Hampshire (Walpole area where my friend works). Thinking there is potential sfc winds may end up a bit more backed up in that area. But I am going to have to leave like now. Its about a 90 minute hike there

I’d stay in CT

[CoastalWx]

Think Weetwrn MA into lakes region today 

[Cyclone-68]

Someone around here will break the tornado “drought” today/tonight 

[DavisStraight]

I may go to the top of Mt Agementicus

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

I may go to the top of Mt Agementicus

That place is cool

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

I may go to the top of Mt Agementicus

Are you in York now?

[DavisStraight]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

That place is cool

It's a mile from my house,, yes in York for good