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July Banter 2025


George BM
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Hi all,

Posted this on the 101 forum, but figured I'd ask about it here since I'm sure there's more traffic here.   I'm wondering about career prospects for meteorology, and in particular what people's thoughts are on the impacts of AI, and on the political churn going on right now.   Any input is appreciated.

(Son is looking into the program at VT)

 

 

 

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29 minutes ago, WolfStock1 said:

Hi all,

Posted this on the 101 forum, but figured I'd ask about it here since I'm sure there's more traffic here.   I'm wondering about career prospects for meteorology, and in particular what people's thoughts are on the impacts of AI, and on the political churn going on right now.   Any input is appreciated.

(Son is looking into the program at VT)

 

 

 

I just graduated from the VT Program, and am considering returning for masters in an adjacent topic. Your ideas seem to be the profs current thinking at the moment with respect to AI. 

I’ve heard from numerous people that the field is shifting towards a model where meteorologists will be interacting with the public much more, instead of sitting at the forecast desk all day, at least in the public sector.

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With regards to AI -  I guess one question I would have for those who work in the field - do you find that you're using AI some, and if so in what capacity?

E.g. in software field I know sometimes an experienced person will ask ChatGPT "write me a program to do xxxx"; wondering if this kind of thing is being seen in meteorology; e.g. is AI doing some model analysis tasks that used to be done by a person?  

 

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Ok I change my tune.

The entire weather system is going to miss Buda.

No measurable rain at all.

I have been watching every Kerrville video on YouTube. I have been listing every last one of them on my new wiki.

I want lots of rain, now. I want Plum Creek to Kerrville Rt 1626 at 967. I want my very own YouTube vid of Kerrville Buda. I crave disaster declarations for northern Hays County where I live. 

Turns out that I adore Kerrville and Ruidoso with all my heart. 

I wanna watch those water levels rise! I want to get some live flood readings,  while I limp along on my bad knee.

I am no different from what I was in Dale City. I still enjoy this stuff with all my heart. I am a billion year flood weenie.

 

Well that is a 100 percent MISS for Buda. NWS cried wolf haha but I ain't laughing. I got one tenth of an inch. Kyle stole all our rain. Kyle has water everywhere.  Poor Buda, always a swing and a miss. The entire storm is speeding up, heading for DCA. This is probably it for the summer and likely for years. I will never attain my dream, getting to climb a tree with fifty feet of water speeding by, while I get to scream myself HOARSE for a water based rescue.

 

NWS you need to go back to meteorology school. You forecast 9 to 12 inches of rain last night. We got .1 inch. NWS biggest FAIL ever! No wonder you get cut back. I am not so sure about this crazy administration sometimes,  but these alarmist forecasts have got to stop. You got my hopes way up for a decent Kerrvilling in Buda, and for what? Bitter disappointment and severe disillusionment for the rest of my short, miserable life!

I envy those flood areas so bad.

 

What I am about to say is purely speculative. There is no such thing. I am making all this dumb, speculative stuff up, all because I am so desperate for a 1500 year flood in Buda. I am probably the most desolate, desperate man in the entire world, all because I live in the wrong fucking place.

But speculatively speaking, if we could influence the weather ( and I do realize man cannot) I wish Buda could get hit. Our soils are saturated. I wish someone could augment a Cat 5 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, and make it hit Corpus Christi then move NWly to sw of Buda and drag a potent rainband with hyper efficient rain production, right over Buda for about 3 days. I would be out in that, getting my fill of water levels readings and whooping it up while blasting Peter Cetera tracks from a waterproof Bluetooth speaker!

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The 1st Rule of Inevitable Desertification is:

Rain Delayed, is RAIN DENIED.   And, Never forget Lucy, especially in the low sun period when jonesing for snow.

This almost never fails.

 

Today's Application:

We waited excitedly all night for all that rain. It was DELAYED. It weakened, fell apart then sped up like an F-35 fighter. The rain was delayed then was DENIED to Buda. I stayed up all night waiting for it.

DAMN!

NEXT UP is a strong subtropical ridge building over Texas. Now comes one of the hottest summers ever! The record books will have to be rewritten because of hundreds of temperature records falling right through Thanksgiving, accompanied by almost no rain.

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Well full summer is building in. All rain missed us today. Now comes the Monster Ridge of Doom. No more rain for us until the El Nino of 2109. Til then drought and steady desertification.

2025 will not go down as the wettest year. 2025 will go down as an exemplar of evidence of the most severe Global Warming so far in Man's History. This will be the hottest year all over the globe, and in the USA, many places by Thanksgiving will be in severe, desperate drought. The rain is going to shut off and stay off and it will get extremely HOT, especially in the South. Texas will be the Epicenter of one of the absolute WORST summers of all-time!

A catastrophic Gulf of Mexico anticyclone will develop and will prolong summer heat and extreme humidity right into Christmas! Other weather systems will bounce right off this fiery, ultra-humid puppy!

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26 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Cal Raleigh was damn impressive in the HR derby tonight.  Neat that his dad was his pitcher and his younger bro was the catcher.

you kinda knew he was gonna get it after getting into the final 4 by a fraction of a foot.

pretty impressive all around.  Dude that hit the ball 500+ ft is insane (i think it was Cruz).

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So hard to believe, flood watch into tomorrow, Tuesday! 2 to 6 inches possibly tonight as an MCV continues to swirl to our southwest interacting with the highly abnormally humid airmass.

I could still get my mini flood tonight, right when I am trying to deliver Uber lol.

It'd serve me right, I am the guy who is dying to climb a tree in the midst of deep floodwaters, screaming myself HOARSE for rescue! I want to go full Kerrville, full-on Guadalupe, just like on July 4th!

Should be really fun with the bad left knee! NO WAY I can run from this!

I REALLY AM The Floodman!

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Grabbed a couple garden pics this AM. Veggies consist of squash and zukes in the closest bed with the trellis and the other trellis bed in the distance is beans like scarlet runners and some cukes. Empty bed kinda hidden is potatoes in grow bags. We just harvested most of them and replanted. Smallish yields but bags are really easy to deal with when growing potatoes. 

Big long bed is killing it. It's actually 2 rows of plants with a string of peppers in front (jalapeno, Tabasco, shishito, nardello, poblano, Italian cherry) and a WALL of tomatoes behindlol. All kinds of tomatoes that I can't remember most of. Coyotes are my faves. I just eat them whenever lol. The rest are various heirlooms and nearly every plant is stacking up with fruits. 

We've had some pest problems but pretty minor so far. We had shit luck with tomatoes in Rockville. Always something like fungus, mildew, and blossom end rot.  Down here is much more forgiving. Pretty sure it's cooler nights and low pollution. It's rare to have lows above 70 in the forest. Still gets hot AF during the day but the natural air conditioning of the forest is pretty amazing.  Next year we'll have a 12'x24' greenhouse built along with at least triple the amount of beds. This year is experimental and it's far exceeded our expectations already. Incredibly satisfying Screenshot_20250715_172425_Gallery.thumb.jpg.18c0f1068e2dddbbde2dc126169fef26.jpgScreenshot_20250715_172541_Gallery.thumb.jpg.975a32ae88b224b20de14746a98ef12e.jpg

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18 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Bro, you need to change your handle to @BobTheFarmer.

Lol. Not me. Wife is 100% the brains of the grow operation. I just do what I'm told and I like moving dirt and building stuff and things like that :lol:

15 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I literally just noticed this beautiful meadow of sunflowers a couple days ago just a half mile down the road from my house. Only a small opening where its visible from the road.

 

Sunflower fields are awesome. IIRC, they follow the sun thru the day. You should set up a time-lapse while drinking beer all day on the side of the rd and confirm. Hahaha

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4 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Grabbed a couple garden pics this AM. Veggies consist of squash and zukes in the closest bed with the trellis and the other trellis bed in the distance is beans like scarlet runners and some cukes. Empty bed kinda hidden is potatoes in grow bags. We just harvested most of them and replanted. Smallish yields but bags are really easy to deal with when growing potatoes. 

Big long bed is killing it. It's actually 2 rows of plants with a string of peppers in front (jalapeno, Tabasco, shishito, nardello, poblano, Italian cherry) and a WALL of tomatoes behindlol. All kinds of tomatoes that I can't remember most of. Coyotes are my faves. I just eat them whenever lol. The rest are various heirlooms and nearly every plant is stacking up with fruits. 

We've had some pest problems but pretty minor so far. We had shit luck with tomatoes in Rockville. Always something like fungus, mildew, and blossom end rot.  Down here is much more forgiving. Pretty sure it's cooler nights and low pollution. It's rare to have lows above 70 in the forest. Still gets hot AF during the day but the natural air conditioning of the forest is pretty amazing.  Next year we'll have a 12'x24' greenhouse built along with at least triple the amount of beds. This year is experimental and it's far exceeded our expectations already. Incredibly satisfying Screenshot_20250715_172425_Gallery.thumb.jpg.18c0f1068e2dddbbde2dc126169fef26.jpgScreenshot_20250715_172541_Gallery.thumb.jpg.975a32ae88b224b20de14746a98ef12e.jpg

When society ends up in a walking dead type situation can I join your compound?  I can help you dig and build stuff! :lol:

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Watching the All Star game on Fox is yet another reminder of how awful ESPN has become (their broadcast of the HR derby was trash).  There are basically three remaining good things/shows on ESPN - PTI, SVP's SportsCenter, and the Manning cast.  Hopefully the Inside the NBA crew can rescue their NBA coverage (which is currently awful).

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