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June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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11 hours ago, kdxken said:

Yeah it was the Connecticut river valley that got swamped. Some were saying It was going to be way west. You knew...

It was nice for like 3 hours between the morning rain and then the stinger on the back end, and then misery mist the rest of the day, even for central areas. So phail overall except for maybe the bluefish in Nantucket sound. 

It's not going to be great in either nne or sne this weekend. One gets drenched, the other gets clouds with frequent showers. 

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

I’ll take that euro run…just keep the heaviest axis south of here. 1” will feel like Stein compared to recent weekends.

Goofus is north of the St Lawrence. :lol: Best case for all.

CMC splits the difference and floods NNE.

NBM blend wouldn't be awful for most. Not that we need more rain.

Screenshot_20250603_074704_X.jpg

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Looks like verrry subtly there's a tendency there to weaken the whole weekend morass too - maybe that'll continue and it'll deconstruct into just daily convection around a dying front.  Sunday still looks good - seems to be the models are still spraying solutions wrt Saturday. The flow is weak/forcing is weak, so the model physics get more chaotic

Before then ...looks like one of those 89.4/91/89.5 type of "heat wave".   First truly elevated DPs though.   Even if T's hold to the mid 80s a DP above 65, that is a circumstance no one in NE that hasn't traveled has experienced since last summer. 

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13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

All I know is the HRRR models it and I believe is tuned to show how it affects temps. 

That’s what I’m wondering … if/when the temp correlates. Maybe even how the particle physics works in that, but keeping it simple.  
… which circumstantially would also have dependency on accuracy for where the plumes will be located/density in time …. 

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