2025 Tropical Tracking Thread

[Paleocene]

It's already fun to track the structure of Erin visually: looking to really shape up over the next day or two.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[WxWatcher007]

Continuing to move south of forecast

[Amped]

At least we have a 50/50 low

[weatherCCB]

3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Continuing to move south of forecast

Yeah. If it stays weak and disorganized.  It’s going be on the southern end of the cone.

[WxWatcher007]

13 minutes ago, Amped said:

At least we have a 50/50 low

Never to be found in winter  

[WxWatcher007]

8 minutes ago, weatherCCB said:

Yeah. If it stays weak and disorganized.  It’s going be on the southern end of the cone.

I’m not sure it makes a difference at the end of the day with the Atlantic ridge being weakened. 

[Weather Will]

WB OZ ensemble tracks from the major models continue to keep Erin well off the coast.

[WxWatcher007]

It would require a dramatic shift for this to threaten the US east coast. It’s pretty much gone at this point.