Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: True, but a very impressive heat wave is ongoing now. Phoenix has set two record highs already this month, including 116F yesterday, which was just 1F shy of the all-time monthly record. The low of 94F this morning was also one shy of the monthly record high minimum. Today is forecast to reach 117F which would match the August monthly record high. True, that is some very impressive heat out there now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 43 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: This Summer has been significantly cooler in the Southwest, US. Last year Phoenix was breaking records by >+2F, and the roll forward of those very warm analogs had a +PNA in Dec-Jan.. It was a good indicator. But we don't have that this year. Probably some -NAO/PNA early, +NAO/PNA in February with more blocking in March. I'll be looking at the extra tropical Pacific late this month when I return from Africa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 58 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Also a strong Gulf of Alaska High pressure has been there June-July Analogs US Temp pattern of analogs For some reason I can never see your images. It's always just something like "3aa-14.png". Does anybody else have this problem? I don't comment much, but I always appreciate reading all your comments as well as everyone else's. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, BlizzardWx said: For some reason I can never see your images. It's always just something like "3aa-14.png". Does anybody else have this problem? I don't comment much, but I always appreciate reading all your comments as well as everyone else's. Thanks for telling me, I ran out of attachment space on this board, and have been uploading them through imagebb. Maybe another image upload site will work for you? Tell me if this works. Also a strong Gulf of Alaska High pressure has been there June-July Analogs US Temp pattern of analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Thanks for telling me, I ran out of attachment space on this board, and have been uploading them through imagebb. Maybe another image upload site will work for you? Tell me if this works. Also a strong Gulf of Alaska High pressure has been there June-July Analogs US Temp pattern of analogs Yeah I can see those. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably some -NAO/PNA early, +NAO/PNA in February with more blocking in March. I'll be looking at the extra tropical Pacific late this month when I return from Africa. Have fun in Africa! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Have fun in Africa! Should be great....we are just finishing up an 8 unit housing complex to fuction as an Air b & b. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 57 minutes ago Share Posted 57 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Should be great....we are just finishing up an 8 unit housing complex to fuction as an Air b & b. managing a property from oversees? hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 51 minutes ago Author Share Posted 51 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: managing a property from oversees? hmmm Wife is from Uganda and has family there....she is orchestrating the construction and managing it...I've just assisted by procuring the funding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago I hope we get a good blocking pattern in November/December. The pattern that's in place early in a -ENSO/-PDO winter usually sets the tone for that winter. If we don't get a good blocking pattern early, the winter is toast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 45 minutes ago Author Share Posted 45 minutes ago 1 minute ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I hope we get a good blocking pattern in November/December. The pattern that's in place early in a -ENSO/-PDO winter usually sets the tone for that winter. If we don't get a good blocking pattern early, the winter is toast. 2021-2022 ended up okay for most, but more often than not you are right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 29 minutes ago Share Posted 29 minutes ago 2021-2022 ended up okay for most, but more often than not you are right.Agree. There are obviously exceptions to every rule but in general he’s correct. -ENSO/-PDO winters that don’t do well in November and December are *usually* abysmal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago 2 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: True, that is some very impressive heat out there now! August has grown hotter and drier in Phoenix. It is also warmer than July was in the past. That includes extreme heat. August 2020-2025 has had more high temperatures of 115 or above than the entire August 1895-2019 period. This year’s monsoon season is also off to a dismal start in the Phoenix area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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