stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Surface is def warmer, freezing is north vs 6z on the next panel. 850 is a bit cooler. Precip is lighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Hits us Monday morning. Faster like the ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 I dont like it based solely on the H5 for my area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Round 1 looks squashed south a bit from 6z. Let's see what round 2 does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Hits us Monday morning. Faster like the ICON You mean the precursor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Second slug approaching. SO FAR, appears a little lighter and orientation more souther....we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Second slug approaching. SO FAR, appears a little lighter and orientation more souther....we'll see. thank God it's not another tick north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Can't say I'm liking what I see so far, but let's wait guys. Orientation is def souther and a bit drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 850s are colder vs 6z, surface is warmer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Yeah, this run is going to be a step back. RIC and co do well. Most of the heavier stuff is sliding south of us Rephrase on RIC: that have the 850s but not the SFC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 GFS is just another piece of guidance, I don't see this going south of us given telecomms and the h5 setup over the top. But hey, shit has happened. Lots of runs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: 850s are colder vs 6z, surface is warmer surface will get colder when precip arrives. Main thing is its flatter and not as norther. I think its a good thing. Lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, this run is going to be a step back. RIC and co do well. Most of the heavier stuff is sliding south of us that's fine. as long as it isn't another north shift then we're fine imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 LOL...almost total whiff to the south 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 One of the problems is it looks more zonal than the 6z on the H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Yeah, we don’t want north. Keep this thing to our south for a bit longer before any north trends 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Just now, Ji said: surface will get colder when precip arrives. Main thing is its flatter and not as norther. I think its a good thing. Lets see Agree, really didn't want to see everything trend toward the 0z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 wow. Stark change. Shit just keeps wobbling and windshield wiping. Not the final solution yet guys. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Yeah, we don’t want north. Keep this thing to our south for a bit longer before any north trends Yeah, I'd rather be north of the precip than south. GFS has been wobble wobble. Euro should be fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: I dont like it based solely on the H5 for my area You could tell early on that it was going to shift south based on the H5 maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Maybe something behind it brewing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Lol, another SoMD special. I don't believe it yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 I’m ok with this latest GFS. With the southeast ridge in place, we can easily afford for this to be south of us at this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: LOL...almost total whiff to the south SMOKED nice to see at least until 18z has a totally different look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 If we can keep thermals, this could get interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: wow. Stark change. Shit just keeps wobbling and windshield wiping. Not the final solution yet guys. So to explain for the knew people here, we just don't no what will be the true outcome at this point yet. If we new what was really coming there wouldn't be these shifts in the models. There is just know way to no. 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Fredericksburg gets a double whammy. Two back to back warning storms. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2025 Share Posted February 5, 2025 Won't live or die by gfs operational. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Yeah, something is coming...just gotta keep the thermals. Not sure we will tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2025 Author Share Posted February 5, 2025 Just now, mitchnick said: Won't live or die by gfs operational. As you should Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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