Ji Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 the good thing--GFS had a ton of potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Just now, Ji said: the good thing--GFS had a ton of potential it just needed a 100-150 mile shift north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Just now, bncho said: it just needed a 100-150 mile shift north It's good for now...don't want to jackpot 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 4 minutes ago, bncho said: 20 inches in south VA... Ji won't be happy. 20" in south VA?? How about central VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Just now, bncho said: it just needed a 100-150 mile shift north unlike the January pattern...i would be shocked if it didnt go North---this run didnt even give us any ice like 6z lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, WesternFringe said: 20" in south VA?? How about central VA? yea its central mb 1 minute ago, Ji said: unlike the January pattern...i would be shocked if it didnt go North---this run didnt even give us any ice like 6z lol... we can reel this one in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Light snow by dawn Tuesday in GGEM. Vort is very weak relative to gfs. Low just slides by...not much precip. Then another slides to our south after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 GFS trying to setup another system around the 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 4 minutes ago, Ji said: unlike the January pattern...i would be shocked if it didnt go North---this run didnt even give us any ice like 6z lol... You didn't complain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2025 Author Share Posted February 4, 2025 Follow up Vday storm is decent...lose the 850s after what seems to be a thump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 20 inches in south VA... Ji won't be happy.Given the lack of blocking at this point, I’d rather it be south of us 8 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 starts as snow but we are losing thermals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2025 Author Share Posted February 4, 2025 Forum wide 4 to 6 from what I can tell looking at these fucked SV maps. But it's suspect because we do ride the line and then lose the thermals half way through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Throws a bone to Baltimore on the 14th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 wow the GGEM and the AI are now suppressed with the GFS. are we doing this suppression thing again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2025 Author Share Posted February 4, 2025 GFS is just frustrating with these marginal temps. It's way out there so of course we shouldn't sweat it rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Gfs/gem were ok all things considered. Hopefully the ensembles don’t abandon the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2025 Author Share Posted February 4, 2025 Just now, Ji said: wow the GGEM and the AI are now suppressed with the GFS. are we doing this suppression thing again lol It's what we do best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 4 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Low just slides by...not much precip. Then another slides to our south after that. Good hit for RIC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Forum wide 4 to 6 from what I can tell looking at these fucked SV maps. But it's suspect because we do ride the line and then lose the thermals half way through Yeah, that northern GL low kinda helps with messing the thermals up, it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS is just frustrating with these marginal temps. It's way out there so of course we shouldn't sweat it rn guess PSU was right. We have to wait till Feb 20 to get stuff in there that can lock HP in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 Just now, Ji said: guess PSU was right. We have to wait till Feb 20 to get stuff in there that can lock HP in place AI looks like a good cold snow for us actually from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, Ji said: wow the GGEM and the AI are now suppressed with the GFS. are we doing this suppression thing again lol 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's what we do best Without the blocking established yet, some wiggle room south is fine at D7. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS is just frustrating with these marginal temps. It's way out there so of course we shouldn't sweat it rn I don’t know how to explain it or if there’s an actual reason, but I feel like marginal temps don’t usually end up happening. It’s either colder in reality, or 37° and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2025 Author Share Posted February 4, 2025 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Good hit for RIC. We're taking the bus down to Bob Chill's place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 I mean, GFS still has 10-14” area wide over the next 10 days and this is an “off” run, so… 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I mean, GFS still has 10-14” area wide over the next 10 days and this is an “off” run, so… that's 25 times more snow than the whole entire winter of 22-23! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 4 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Yeah, that northern GL low kinda helps with messing the thermals up, it appears. It is always the Great Lake Low that gets in the way... one that that little thing will Phase and Boom goes the dynamite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2025 Share Posted February 4, 2025 I mean, GFS still has 10-14” area wide over the next 10 days and this is an “off” run, so… That setup at 276 looks fun too heh… cmc still hasn’t bought in yet. It has a flatter conus look, mainly because the northern branch draped across the country.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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