As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

Just now, JC-CT said:

It looks fine, if you have reasonable expectations

Slight increase but still meh might be hard to get warning amounts with that

[JC-CT]

On 1/17/2025 at 2:09 PM, JC-CT said:

3-7, ez

Ez

[dendrite]

Looks like a solid 3-6”/4-7” event for many. Accept and enjoy the deep winter feel this week.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Slight increase but still meh might be hard to get warning amounts with that

I think you got too caught up on the snow maps showing 10+

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

This is not completely done up north btw

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I think you got too caught up on the snow maps showing 10+

Not really it was nice to see and I was hopeful.. but knew the whole time it was out of reach when every model wasn't on board.. seems lately we decrease closer in

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Not really it was nice to see and I was hopeful.. but knew the whole time it was out of reach when every model wasn't on board.. seems lately we decrease closer in

This is an open wave, not a ku setup. We missed our ku last week.

[Kitz Craver]

Box surprisingly going pretty aggressive w/ 6-8” across most of the state besides the immediate shoreline 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There should be a lot of 6-9” amounts fairly widespread. A few that band an extra few hours will see 10”+

Agree.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Box surprisingly going pretty aggressive w/ 6-8” across most of the state besides the immediate shoreline 

I think ratios will have to be really good to reach that.. Hopefully we get some good banding later on

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr persistence in lower totals is concerning.

[HoarfrostHubb]

28 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

The black ice is crazy out there this morning. Even main roads had ice, i saw cars sliding everywhere, it was bad

It was really bad here last night. Despite temps being 35 all through town, I felt like I was slipping a ton.  Plus fog.  Wheeeee

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr persistence in lower totals is concerning.

Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I think ratios will have to be really good to reach that.. Hopefully we get some good banding later on

Even then, someone has to actually be awake to measure it before it compacts. I don't know about you, but I'm not waking up at 3am to measure for this one.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

Models looked better for you when you were locked out of your account.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

Ignore the 10:1. Some of that is showing non accumulating snow. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Models looked better for you when you were locked out of your account.

He needs to be less depressing in order to let him back in.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Even then, someone has to actually be awake to measure it before it compacts. I don't know about you, but I'm not waking up at 3am to measure for this one.

Oh he will. He’ll be up all night refreshing hrrr and radar.

[dendrite]

14 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Ez

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

He needs to be less depressing in order to let him back in.

I always wonder if he’s like this in real life or if it’s just this teenaged girl melodramatic persona he plays on here. I suspect at least some of it translates to real life 

[scoob40]

EZ on Sunday morning.

[CoastalWx]

6z euro is pretty warm even at 00z. Kevin above freezing still. Would be like 2-4” here. 

[CoastalWx]

Amazing how it takes miracles of god to get something decent this winter. Well for the last 3 winters really.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

[JC-CT]

NAM precip field looking much healthier so far than 6z. I will say, the current radar looks better than 6z had right now too. Especially up in PA.

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

AI for the win. Although Google AI model bumped up my snowfall to 5 - 8

[CoastalWx]

6z euro looked like a good band over NW NJ into the Berks and toward Dendrite. Just judging by H7

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

 

Speaking of some real mofos. 6z MAV for Gerald.

6 LCI CON EEN ORE PSF
4 MHT ASH DAW PWM AUG ORH BOS BED CEF BDL BDR DXR IJD HVN MPV
2 PVD TAN PYM GON BTV

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

Who is getting 2-3”? 
Most common numbers will be 6-8” over a wide swath