mob1 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 14 minutes ago, Normandy said: I’d watch the tail end Charlie heading just north of OKC metro. Low level jet will start cranking more so not ready to say bust yet That cell seems to be coming together now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 3 minutes ago, vman722 said: Not calling bust on the nocturnal threat, but it’s safe to say the couple discrete supercells earlier that were very similar to what the CAMS depicted underperformed the lofty expectations. There were def some brief most likely heavily rain wrapped tornadoes but overall the first part was tempered. Curious to hear from experienced Mets why they mostly failed to take advantage of the wild parameter space. First wave initiated early, before LLJ cranked and helicity values peaked. Those things are happening as I type this….reason why I will say, yet again, the forecast was for 9pm-4am. Midnight is the sweet spot in the timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 7 minutes ago, Powerball said: Up until this point, there's been nothing to force convective development south of I-40 That said, I would still keep an eye out on the Lawton and Wichita Falls area for more discrete development over the next couple of hours, especially with the actual jet streak moving in. NWS Norman seems to be on a similar wavelength, because they're now thinking the best timing for severe weather in OKC and southward is between 11pm and 1am. The HRRR has been fairly consistent in bringing storms through the OKC Metro during that period; the question is whether they will be discrete or some sort of QLCS thing. There are UH tracks in the HRRR output associated with those storms, but they're overall not super impressive. That suggests that despite the excellent parameter space, the mode may not be favorable for a high-end threat. It of course bears close watching, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 19 minutes ago, canderson said: That cell out on its own just W of Tulsa might blow up fast Now TOR warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Tail end Charlie of the line suddenly looks classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Watch the right turn in this one as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Storm east of Hominy has a CC drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 LOL, a few minutes ago there were 8 simultaneous tor warns in 4 states at the same time the mouth breathers were crying bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Storm east of Hominy has a CC drop Been watching it for a while. It means trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Been watching it for a while. It means trouble. PDS’d. Nasty presentation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: PDS’d. Nasty presentation. It was pretty discrete. It was ripe - everything out west grouped together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 It was pretty discrete. It was ripe - everything out west grouped together. Think the main line will digest it soon enough, but seems unlikely we now leave the event without at least a single sigtor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Idk if anyone buys into the “nudge theory” but that’s a textbook display north of Tulsa. Has to be a huge twister there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Storm north of el Reno is probably about to go off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 even KTLX and KICT radars can see the TDS, lowered correlation coefficient, on the Hominy tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 The storm approaching Barnsdall, if it holds together, is on a track that would take it into (or at least close to) Bartlesville in around 30 minutes. Hopefully that line to the west will catch up to this supercell soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Isolated supercell going up SW of OKC near Hobart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Cell popping that is headed toward Haskell probably gets TOR warned soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 4 minutes ago, Sydney Claridge said: The storm approaching Barnsdall, if it holds together, is on a track that would take it into (or at least close to) Bartlesville in around 30 minutes. Hopefully that line to the west will catch up to this supercell soon. Barnsdall is about to take a direct hit from looks to be at least an EF4 tornado with a large to massive diameter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Crazy interaction with the supercell and squall line incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Barnsdall looks as if the entire town is about to be engulfed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 That Barnsdall tornado is high end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 That cell I’ve tracked looks bad. Very very very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 The super cell / Meso is bending the squall line backwards . And as as said barnsdall is about to get smacked by a violent one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 It went right over Barsndall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Tornado Emergency has been issued for Barnsdall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Just now, canderson said: It went right over Barsndall Looks to have engulfed the entire city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Just now, canderson said: Charge up brother. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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