Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: Yeah, decent I-78 on north, maybe some pity flakes down this way. Close but no cigar for extreme se PA. Not surprised...little cold air to work with. Always felt this was more an elevation and rate-dependent setup. Unfortunately we wont have the heavier rates down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Winter Storm watch posted out here in Berks, 2-4” likely be converted to a WWA Tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 11 hours ago, Duca892 said: We are like only 30hrs away from honest to god Winter Storm Watches being issued for here in the Lehigh Valley and I can’t remember the last time we went from the beautiful progression of a Watch to a Warning. Begging this hold. Will lovingly take a nice 4-8in Go to work for 7hrs and walk out to a Northern Trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sibbley Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 57 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Winter Storm watch posted out here in Berks, 2-4” likely be converted to a WWA Tomorrow evening Was out metal detecting and my phone started blowing up. To my surprise, a watch for 4-8 inches in Northampton County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, penndotguy said: Winter Storm watch posted out here in Berks, 2-4” likely be converted to a WWA Tomorrow evening Winter storm watch for upper bucks for 2-4 didnt even think that reached the criteria 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18z NAM came a little further north and east than the 12z (closer to the EC & GFS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, sibbley said: Was out metal detecting and my phone started blowing up. To my surprise, a watch for 4-8 inches in Northampton County. the North trend concerns me though, much more and we will be fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, Stormman96 said: Winter storm watch for upper bucks for 2-4 didnt even think that reached the criteria It doesn’t if ya read the watch it says it will be converted to a WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Mt. Holly's first call - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 37 minutes ago, penndotguy said: It doesn’t if ya read the watch it says it will be converted to a WWA I did read it it says if warning level snows arent reached it will be converted so while issue it in first place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 21 minutes ago, Stormman96 said: I did read it it says if warning level snows arent reached it will be converted so while issue it in first place It’s likely the uncertainty, the models are all over the place hopefully we get some sort of consensus overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Bernie Rayno is where I would put my faith it with this one "The big snows over 6+ are northern PA into southern New England, where the injection arrives Sunday night into Monday. Near I-80 in central PA to NePa and NW NJ likely a 3-6. 1-3 from Harrisburg to Allentown & northern NJ northwest of NYC. Mostly rain SE PA" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Bernie Rayno is where I would put my faith it with this one "The big snows over 6+ are northern PA into southern New England, where the injection arrives Sunday night into Monday. Near I-80 in central PA to NePa and NW NJ likely a 3-6. 1-3 from Harrisburg to Allentown & northern NJ northwest of NYC. Mostly rain SE PA" Bernie’s been pretty spot on this entire storm as far as the eventual North trend. Kudos to him so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The long range is evaporating for snow chances. I see the same old theme being played out a lack of cold high-pressure systems. I dare say it may be time to pack up the season soon at least we got 9.6" this year in Media instead of the 1.7" we got this year so victory, I guess! Rain to Snow early Tuesday Morning I am expecting speckles of white on the grass maybe? Total snowfall in Media from this storm 0.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 39 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: The long range is evaporating for snow chances. I see the same old theme being played out a lack of cold high-pressure systems. I dare say it may be time to pack up the season soon at least we got 9.6" this year in Media instead of the 1.7" we got this year so victory, I guess! Rain to Snow early Tuesday Morning I am expecting speckles of white on the grass maybe? Total snowfall in Media from this storm 0.4" That'll get you to double digits for the season! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: That'll get you to double digits for the season! Most forecasts DID say we’d get more snow this year than last. I wasn’t expecting an historic winter, but I also didn’t think we’d struggle this much in the snow department again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 hours ago, Stormman96 said: I did read it it says if warning level snows arent reached it will be converted so while issue it in first place Because given the uncertainty the Winter Storm Watch covers a bit larger area. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 18z Canadian seems to keep the same more-north theme. And as an obs - I bottomed out at 40 this morning and made it up to 55 as a high. Currently 51 with dp 46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 33 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Nam ED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 GFS even further N. When will the bleeding stop? Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, Fields27 said: GFS even further N. When will the bleeding stop? Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk No worries Dr. Yes will save us in the Ukie I trust! 10-12" or go home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Posted 3-6” for the Lehigh Valley on my page earlier this evening. Tonight’s 0z models have me feeling pretty good about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 NAM held. Plowable snow from about the turnpike on North. Edit: Definitely shifted N with the axis of heavier snow. C and NE Jersey get the shaft. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z NAM was more north than it had been before (it was a southern outlier). 6z EC is running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z hi-res Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 For completeness - 6z GFS & 6z ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Pretty sure I saw or read somewhere we are 6F or 7F above average so far this month. Ground is toasty so I'll need good rates for anything to stick to paved surfaces around here... 42f/cloudy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 47 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Pretty sure I saw or read somewhere we are 6F or 7F above average so far this month. Ground is toasty so I'll need good rates for anything to stick to paved surfaces around here... 42f/cloudy Bar set at a few hours of white rain…and even that might be a stretch. 44F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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