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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2023 OBS Thread


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Definite contrast of days - yesterday's low of 32 eventually transformed to a high of 62 but this morning my low was 58, and am currently at my high of 62 for the day so far.  Didn't get any rain yesterday or overnight from the multiple but fizzled bands, but this morning, some finally reached the ground. At onset, something convective nearby even set off my lightning detector (around 7 - 7:30ish am).

Currently have 0.37" in the bucket with some mist/light rain and dp that has soared to 62.

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I been checked out on long range digital snow and missed the 12z yesterday's 12" in SEPA. Anyway wouldn't be surprised if anomalous cold shots happen like have been popping up in the long range. Last April three straight days in the 40's with a low of 25F past mid month this La Nina is good at screwing with us.

 

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BTW- 

Just now, BBasile said:

Looks like it may turn into a pretty nice spring day.  Hopefully, we'll get something fun tonight.  Have 0.19" of rain on the day.  Currently 62.2F.  

 

Screenshot_20230401_122900_Chrome.jpg

I think it's going to cook (mid 70s+) once that break/clearing arrives. Already a little humid out there as well...

64F/Showers

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12 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Clouds are beginning to take over. We hit 75°F on the dot, now down to 74.3. It's actually pretty dry out there, DP is only 40. Recorded a 23mph wind gust a little while ago though.

Almost seems like there could be a dry line in the mix to help ignite things.

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Over the next 1-2 hours, additional storms are expected to form from the Delmarva across far eastern PA and into NJ, as lift increases. Some storms may become supercells, and the tornado risk will also increase through early evening coincident with strengthening low-level shear and cooling aloft. Any increase in dewpoints will also increase the probability of a tornado.

Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk

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41 minutes ago, SmokeEater said:

Over the next 1-2 hours, additional storms are expected to form from the Delmarva across far eastern PA and into NJ, as lift increases. Some storms may become supercells, and the tornado risk will also increase through early evening coincident with strengthening low-level shear and cooling aloft. Any increase in dewpoints will also increase the probability of a tornado.

Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
 

HRRR is trying for Mullica Hill part II. Parameter space around that modeled cell is impressive if it does go.

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Showtime.  Norman just issuing -

 

Quote

 

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
530 PM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

TORNADO WATCH 109 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC017-029-045-091-101-020200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0109.230401T2130Z-230402T0200Z/

PA
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUCKS                CHESTER             DELAWARE
MONTGOMERY           PHILADELPHIA
$$

 

Quote

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
530 PM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

TORNADO WATCH 109 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-
041-020200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0109.230401T2130Z-230402T0200Z/

NJ
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC             BURLINGTON          CAMDEN
CAPE MAY             CUMBERLAND          GLOUCESTER
HUNTERDON            MERCER              MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH             MORRIS              OCEAN
SALEM                SOMERSET            SUSSEX
WARREN
$$

 

Quote

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
530 PM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

TORNADO WATCH 109 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

DEC001-003-005-020200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0109.230401T2130Z-230402T0200Z/

DE
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT                 NEW CASTLE          SUSSEX
$$

Currently sunny and 69 here with DP 57.

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