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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023


buckeyefan1
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Reading some stuff this morning about 1816, the year without summer.  Our current pattern is in no way similar to that global event brought on largely by the eruption of Mt Tambora.  
 

Nevertheless, fascinating reading.  The New England states had frost every month that year and widespread snow in June.  Philadelphia had frost on the 4th of July and Augusta Ga had a low of 43.  Several other crazy anomalies that summer that are worth checking out.  

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On 6/10/2023 at 3:58 PM, Upstate Tiger said:

Reading some stuff this morning about 1816, the year without summer.  Our current pattern is in no way similar to that global event brought on largely by the eruption of Mt Tambora.  
 

Nevertheless, fascinating reading.  The New England states had frost every month that year and widespread snow in June.  Philadelphia had frost on the 4th of July and Augusta Ga had a low of 43.  Several other crazy anomalies that summer that are worth checking out.  

Astounding. What happened to crops that year?

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 June so far in this area has been very wet due to a good number of mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Today is expected to be still another wet day with the possibility of severe thunderstorms near midday. There currently are severe thunderstorms well to our west:

  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A     * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...   SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA...   NORTHWESTERN TOOMBS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...   SOUTHERN TREUTLEN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...   WHEELER COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA...   MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA...     * UNTIL 945 AM EDT.  
 

  * AT 915 AM EDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE   EXTENDING FROM NEAR LOWERY TO NEAR CEDAR GROVE TO NEAR LITTLE   OCMULGEE STATE PARK, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.     HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.     SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  
 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES.     * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...   SOPERTON, ALAMO, MOUNT VERNON, VIDALIA, GLENWOOD, UVALDA, AILEY,   HIGGSTON, ALSTON, TARRYTOWN, LOTHAIR, LANDSBURG, CEDAR GROVE,   BARNHILL, KIBBEE, LITTLE OCMULGEE STATE PARK, JORDAN, LOWERY,   CHARLOTTEVILLE AND ZAIDEE.  
 

@gtg947h may be affected within a couple of hours

 
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Looking ahead to fall and winter.  Odds are increasing of a moderate to strong El Nino in the late fall and winter.  Climatologically, not great for SE snow but has to be better than 3 years of Nina.  I have posted the strong to moderate El Nino years below.  There are some winners in the there for major storms...

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

image.png.63cc45b3df7e2c6ab88ff7bbdd4b30d4.png

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Looking ahead to fall and winter.  Odds are increasing of a moderate to strong El Nino in the late fall and winter.  Climatologically, not great for SE snow but has to be better than 3 years of Nina.  I have posted the strong to moderate El Nino years below.  There are some winners in the there for major storms...
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
image.png.63cc45b3df7e2c6ab88ff7bbdd4b30d4.png
*looks at 72-73...


We ALL know what happened that year

Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

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