Lava Rock Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Some lt sn atmSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Some lt sn atm Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Are you saying you’re snowing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Have to see what 00z does, but 18z eps/control caved towards 12z GFS/CMC with handling of day 5 wave and the tpv phase….could argue we might see the 00z euro come well N with long range system at 00z if that stays course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Are you saying you’re snowing? Woo-hoo! Legit coating Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Lol weren’t we just told a couple days ago that the PV is incredibly stable? Was that fake news? It is currently stronger than normal but is expected to weaken a lot at the end of January on the latest weeklies run. For the 14th threat it looks like it will still be strong, but I’m not sure if it will be circular anymore or not. If it’s strong but elongated we can work with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Heisy said: Have to see what 00z does, but 18z eps/control caved towards 12z GFS/CMC with handling of day 5 wave and the tpv phase….could argue we might see the 00z euro come well N with long range system at 00z if that stays course . Yea, 12z EPS looked better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 42 minutes ago, George001 said: It is currently stronger than normal but is expected to weaken a lot at the end of January on the latest weeklies run. For the 14th threat it looks like it will still be strong, but I’m not sure if it will be circular anymore or not. If it’s strong but elongated we can work with that. Ya I don’t know if I believe that voodoo. Believe it when you see it in 3-4 wks. I wouldn’t count on it. Very skeptical on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya I don’t know if I believe that voodoo. Believe it when you see it in 3-4 wks. I wouldn’t count on it. Very skeptical on that. It's not at all voodoo, it's just that it's much more complicated than people realize and is often misdiagnosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's not at all voodoo, it's just that it's much more complicated than people realize and is often misdiagnosed. Voodoo in the sense that it’s forecast many times, and nothing(the warming doesn’t occur, or if it does it’s not enough to do much) happens. Then if it something does happen, sometimes it doesn’t affect our side of the globe. Lots of caveats with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend Where was it at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend Better than a cutter! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Well I’ll be jiggered! It’s snowing out and the ground is white! It can still snow in Vermont in January! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Where was it at 12z? Cutting to Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, George001 said: Cutting to Buffalo Ahh thanks. Ya south is better. But that model is junk for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: It’s rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, qg_omega said: It’s rain Better than 12z Shut up 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s rain 1030mb high to the north, low to the SE and it’s January, not buying those thermals verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, George001 said: 1030mb high to the north, low to the SE and it’s January, not buying those thermals verbatim. Buy them. Canada is very warm on this guidance. Reminds me of 12/24/94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 23 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Voodoo in the sense that it’s forecast many times, and nothing(the warming doesn’t occur, or if it does it’s not enough to do much) happens. Then if it something does happen, sometimes it doesn’t affect our side of the globe. Lots of caveats with it. Right....the mainstream public's perception of it is what is voo doo. The science of it is legit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Buy them. Reminds me of 12/24/94. CMC blows Jerry. Scooter already said the airmass is legit for the timeframe if it doesn’t cut or get cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Better than 12z Shut up Read him his rights…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: CMC blows Jerry. Scooter already said the airmass is legit for the timeframe if it doesn’t cut or get cut off. But the guidance does cut it off. Both gfs and cmc are similar. I’m commenting on the depiction and it is plausible. Some winters blow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Buy them. Canada is very warm on this guidance. Reminds me of 12/24/94. Canada should not be that warm if there is a high to the north and it’s mid January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: But the guidance does cut it off. Both gfs and cmc are similar. I’m commenting on the depiction and it is plausible. Some winters blow. Ok. Didn’t look/think it was cut off. Ahh whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Canada should not be that warm if there is a high to the north. As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ok. Didn’t look/think it was cut off. Ahh whatever. Cold plunges south in the west after our short lived cold is gone. But it’s clown range so I’m not too concerned about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. Look at the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. I do think the Canadian is useful but yeah an OP run this far out is going to flop around a lot. I wouldn’t be surprised if the next run the low is in Wisconsin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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