Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 The CMC however. This is after some serious front end dump for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 CMC has an Xmas landicane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah, no matter what map shows what, we know the drill down here. Hoping for surprise reports N and W of us (more N IMO). Funny as I was thinking Liberty exit of rt 15 to Worlds End when I suggested Lyco to Sullivan. Liberty is 1 mile over the Tioga border, and a plateau that we always see wintery weather when there is some to be had en route to the cabin. I was actually thinking of you making that drive when I posted that, since you seem to head up 'er pretty often. I've made it quite a few times as well, and yeah, it's always a different world when you get up there above 2,000'. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The CMC however. This is after some serious front end dump for the LSV. Still in play for a white Christmas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nooners....Up to 35/27 with more sunshine getting through the milky clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nooners 36 and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 37 here with a high overcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 37 here with a high overcast. HRRR has you settling in at 38-40 then a low of 29 at midnight before temps start to rise. Above freezing at 9AM tomorrow and punching into the 40's overnight Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR has you settling in at 38-40 then a low of 29 at midnight before temps start to rise. Above freezing at 9AM tomorrow and punching into the 40's overnight Thursday. An approximate 10 degree drop this evening sounds sort of difficult to me if the sky is already overcast. I could see a drop to around freezing, with an additional drop of a couple of degrees with the onset of precip. I'm instructing WFH tomorrow and I've issued a LWRJW as well for those that venture out. LWRJW - Light, Water-Repellant Jacket Warning. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: An approximate 10 degree drop this evening sounds sort of difficult to me if the sky is already overcast. I could see a drop to around freezing, with an additional drop of a couple of degrees with the onset of precip. I'm instructing WFH tomorrow and I've issued a LWRJW as well for those that venture out. LWRJW - Light, Water-Repellant Jacket Warning. Thanks for defining that acronym. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: An approximate 10 degree drop this evening sounds sort of difficult to me if the sky is already overcast. I could see a drop to around freezing, with an additional drop of a couple of degrees with the onset of precip. I'm instructing WFH tomorrow and I've issued a LWRJW as well for those that venture out. LWRJW - Light, Water-Repellant Jacket Warning. The good 'Ole LWRJW with short sleeve polo under type of day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 If we've got nothing else....there's always hope. While its pretty far out there to really ponder, the base state is notably colder and any warm punch would potentially be muted and this could be more of an overrunning kinda thingy that gets it white just in time for Santa. Yes, it'll likely change a bunch, but the pattern change is happening, so something to consider when thinking of any last minute requests for stocking stuffers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 @paweather, fingers crossed the EC has a Christmas White Miracle for us. Your PBP fingers feel lucky? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @paweather, fingers crossed the EC has a Christmas White Miracle for us. Your PBP fingers feel lucky? Sorry won't be around have a work Christmas lunch at 1 so I expect full updates from you. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nooner 37 /18 currently cloudy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, pawatch said: Nooner 37 /18 currently cloudy Geez - 37 all the way up there. At least your dew is a good bit lower than mine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Fwiw 12z UKMET bumped snow up significantly . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 EC has most of PA showing precip invading in the early AM hours of Thur. the far NE is still dry at this time. Starting as rain and freezing rain for the most part. Very little mix or sleet at the onset. At 7AM much of PA has freezing rain. By mid day, much of that freezing ran has turned into snow in PA except a mix and rain in the LSV and SW Snow just now crawling into the NE corner of the state. Tomorrow evening there is heavy snow from near CTP down to about Perry county. LSV still mix or rain. Mix is now well up into the MSV. Surface temps are at or above freezing for almost all of PA at this point despite the snow. EC has mix and rain to the NY line by Friday AM as the low crossed the DelMarVa. I just have the 10:1 snow map which will be much too high but will show areas where it snowed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, anthonyweather said: Fwiw 12z UKMET bumped snow up significantly . I remember just a few/several years ago when the Euro and Ukie were usually lockstep with each other and you could take it to the bank. Both have lost a lot of luster. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I remember just a few/several years ago when the Euro and Ukie were usually lockstep with each other and you could take it to the bank. Both have lost a lot of luster. Yup, you couldn’t go wrong with the blend of EC and UK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: EC has most of PA, except the SW corner, showing precip invading in the early AM hours of Thur. the far NE is still dry at this time. Starting as rain and freezing rain for the most part. Very little mix or sleet at the onset. At 7AM much of PA has freezing rain. By mid day, much of that freezing ran has turned into snow in PA except a mix and rian in the LSV. SNow just now cralwing into the NE corner of the state. Tomorrow evening there is heavy snow from near CTP down to about Perry county. LSV still mix or rain. Mix is now well up into the MSV. Surface temps are at or above freezing for almost all of PA at this point despite the snow. EC has mix and rain to the NY line by Friday AM as the low crossed the DelMarVa. Marysville! @Blizzard of 93 will be riding the line! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 @canderson - were you able to unload your tickets for tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: @canderson - were you able to unload your tickets for tomorrow night? I think Paweather talked him down to $25 for the pair. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 36/16 at the home station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 EC has an initially non PV phased and convoluted solution setting up for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Late phase and a mess of a forecast on this run. NC PA gets a lot of snow. It is 4 degrees at MDT...7PM Friday evening (23rd) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Our winter weather aside, there are a TON of tornado warnings in Mississippi and Louisiana currently. Ryan Hall has a Livestream going. Mississippi is getting rocked. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Also, some nerd on YouTube named SPCHermitage1258 posted an EAS alert scenario video four months ago called "2022: An EAS Mega Scenario," where the events that the Mayans predicted ten years ago finally occur. December 14, 2022, the video captures an extreme weather outbreak in the south. Creepy. Maybe we don't see Christmas. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 You mean the Mayans motorcycle gang? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, kerplunk said: You mean the Mayans motorcycle gang? Thats who has Gricar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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