Bubbler86 Posted November 20, 2022 Author Share Posted November 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, Superstorm said: 18z GFS has no cold air to work with. . Nail on the head. Check out this 1PM panel. This is just before the storm approaches. Not good for snow at the US Canada border much less in the LSV. Again, just depiction discussion and not a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 If winds calm down, we might get into teens. Dewpoint as low as 6F.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Superstorm said: If winds calm down, we might get into teens. Dewpoint as low as 6F. . Already down to 27 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 16 minutes ago, Superstorm said: If winds calm down, we might get into teens. Dewpoint as low as 6F. . 28 here and wind has really calmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 20, 2022 Author Share Posted November 20, 2022 FWIW, the HRRR only drops the LSV another 3-5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 31 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: FWIW, the HRRR only drops the LSV another 3-5 degrees. Probably makes sense if the winds stay up tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Dallas best team in the NFC right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: Gee thanks! You coming home for Thanksgiving? No. My mom has been all alone on the holidays for the past 12 years since my dad passed away. This year she won't be. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: 18z GFS has no cold air to work with. . Self made...just like those spring 50 degree days prior to snow the next day....just sayin what the models r showing. Thermals right as storm approaches near go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 then next panel as storm is almost over philly. Again I say hmmmmmm. Not sure I'd write this off quite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Dallas best team in the NFC right now? I think they have the most potent offense when they let TP play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 52 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Dallas best team in the NFC right now? In one word…. Nope ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: FWIW, the HRRR only drops the LSV another 3-5 degrees. Lol, MDT will probably rise to 50 overnight because of heavy holiday week jet traffic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 The 18Z GFS is a heat bath up top this coming weekend. 2M is fairly warm but it is above freezing in all levels of precip formation up past 500. Need some cold air to be around to "bring down to the surface" for a miracle in that situation but there is none. +10C 850's through the entire storm. Different track and evolution and things change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: In one word…. Nope ! Now Blizz be nice! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 8 past nooners. 22 in the 'Ville after a high of 29 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 18 minutes ago, paweather said: Now Blizz be nice! Not sure about everyone else but they took the 'Boys away from me when James Brown came on and said they were reverting to a more competitive game and the Steel came on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 34 for the high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 41 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Not sure about everyone else but they took the 'Boys away from me when James Brown came on and said they were reverting to a more competitive game and the Steel came on. It's frustrating when that happens. I don't know or understand all of the particulars on when games get pulled off the air, but ABC27 stayed with Texas-Oklahoma State instead of switching to Penn State's whiteout game which made zero sense to me. I was really upset that night, apologies to Canderson, but I'm guessing that the majority of 27's viewing area cares a little more about the Nittany Lions than the Longhorns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 In the Teens this morning, 18-19 degrees. We could use some of this cold for the weekend. Stove feels pretty good this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Another 13 this morning. Too too cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 16 in Tamaqua, 45 in Sun City. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 47 minutes ago, Voyager said: 16 in Tamaqua, 45 in Sun City. Sun City or Sin City? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 Low of 20 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Low of 17 in Marysville this morning. Crazy cold for November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 16 in Mount Joy this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: 16 in Mount Joy this morning. 20 just a few miles west of you in Maytown (19.8 officially) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: 20 just a few miles west of you in Maytown (19.8 officially) Hey look at us, 20 brothers! Temp only dropped 2 degrees from last evening here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 Short and Mid-term model run down-Wet Weekend (GFS and CMC) or Friday and Weekend (Euro) and slightly BN temps trending to AN. Entering the last 10 days of fall, MDT is 3.4 AN for November. With the moderating temps potentially pushing highs into the 50's and near 60 this week (Normal high for Thanksgiving is only 50) it seems quite likely MDT will end up Nov AN. @Blizzard of 93 has thread starting duties in 11 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hey look at us, 20 brothers! Temp only dropped 2 degrees from last evening here. As the wind veers today, I wonder if you get warmer than I do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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