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Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

George001

By George001,
in New England

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

It's like RAAAAAAAAAIINNNNN.........on your KU day It's the Greenland bloooooock, when it's already May, It's Tip's hadley celllll, with an big RNA..... And Ray smokes exhaust....it fig

CoastalWx
CoastalWx

I like boobs.

ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

I couldn't care less at this point...the 00z run upside was a moderate event....this is way better even if it doesn't satisfy the queens at Day 4-5. It was a pretty big move for the euro.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I thought that was a lot better than 12z. The mean. 

I thought so too, but then I was seeing some folks saying it was worse, so I was like, I guess I must not know what I’m looking at? 


Good to know I wasn’t hallucinating after all. That 500 mb that Brooklyn99 posted looked significantly better to me. 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I thought so too, but then I was seeing some folks saying it was worse, so I was like, I guess I must not know what I’m looking at? 


Good to know I wasn’t hallucinating after all. That 500 mb that Brooklyn99 posted looked significantly better to me. 

Whatever the ticks were compared to 12z, weak lows way se of the bm won’t get it done and there are too many of them. Need big changes soon.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Whatever the ticks were compared to 12z, weak lows way se of the bm won’t get it done.

I’m talking about the 500 mb.  Let’s be real here, this is probably not gonna do much if the tenor of this season continues on into this system.
But the 500 mb/upper level has steadily improved last night, and all day for the most part. If that continues..the surface will respond accordingly. We all know that. So we see what happens tonight and tomorrow. 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Whatever the ticks were compared to 12z, weak lows way se of the bm won’t get it done and there are too many of them. Need big changes soon.

It’s sort of anafrontal too. So despite the low offshore they’ll be a ribbon of snow behind the front. Naturally you’d want that to turn into a CCB 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s sort of anafrontal too. So despite the low offshore they’ll be a ribbon of snow behind the front. Naturally you’d want that to turn into a CCB 

Ah ok, makes sense. So now we’ll rely on ribbons hanging back from the analfront hoping they queef out a ccb. Good times.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
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1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ah ok, makes sense. So now we’ll rely on ribbons hanging back from the analfront hoping they queef out a ccb. Good times.

C’mon Luke, I’m certainly with you on it probably being nothing much of anything.  This season hasn’t been good for us for sure.  But there have been big changes from 24 hrs ago at this time with this thing.  I really didn’t expect that to even happen. This does have some large scale features  going for it, and If it continues to steadily improve over the next day or even two, then we don’t need huge changes all at once being we are still 4 full days away.  

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NAM looked like it would go boom after hr 84. I don’t have a laptop to compare from 18z, but that nrn stream looked seemed potent.

Northern stream was way west but the base of the front runner is pretty rounded. I do think that would eventually go boom though…too far west not to. 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
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22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

C’mon Luke, I’m certainly with you on it probably being nothing much of anything.  This season hasn’t been good for us for sure.  But there have been big changes from 24 hrs ago at this time with this thing.  I really didn’t expect that to even happen. This does have some large scale features  going for it, and If it continues to steadily improve over the next day or even two, then we don’t need huge changes all at once being we are still 4 full days away.  

We’re searching through the corn fields  for improvements and while today was fun to see, it’s not enough. If we don’t keep steadily improving over the next 3-4 cycles starting tonight, I don’t see it happening JD. I hope I am wrong though.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’re searching through the corn fields  for improvements and while today was fun to see, it’s not enough. If we don’t keep steadily improving over the next 3-4 cycles starting tonight, I don’t see it happening JD. I hope I am wrong though.

I wouldn’t say we’re searching for anything.  The improvement are there, and they were/are obvious. There’s plenty of time…NAM Improved again.  If this were happening Friday…then ya, we’d need monster moves. But we do have time with it being Sunday.
 

Personally, I’d rather see the steady improvement at H5 happening as they are, rather than the big eye candy at 4 days out, and then have it slowly deteriorate like last time. Let’s keep improving the upper levels…and then we see the results by tomorrow night into Friday at the surface. 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
Just now, WinterWolf said:

I wouldn’t say we’re searching for anything.  The improvement are there, and they were/are obvious. There’s plenty of time…NAM Improved again.  If this were happening Friday…then ya, we’d need monster moves. But we do have time with it being Sunday.
 

Personally, I’d rather see the steady improvement at H5 happening as they are, rather than the big eye candy at 4 days out, and then have it slowly deteriorate like last time. Let’s keep improving the upper levels…and then we see the results by tomorrow night into Friday at the surface. 

Agree 100.

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