Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We don't want that either. Suppression city. Funny how it STILL shows rain along the coast even with that cold. Could just be errors... TT does not show soundings at that distance but take Cape May, NJ for example...the 2MM temps are above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: TT does not show soundings at that distance but take Cape May, NJ for example...the 2MM temps are above freezing. I suppose that's not too surprising considering the warm waters and maritime influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep suppression worries now It would at least provide the cold for the lake effect belts like up here...but just that annoying dry, NWly and gusty wind across the LSV. One would hope for a clipper pattern to at least evolve out of that. It's going to be tough to get the East coast storms this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 40 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: ? It's offering a potential white Christmas to the northern half of PA. also starting to see the Ens guidance on nooner GEFS/GEPS ticking south for the big day and beyond. Thats what we've been waiting for. Not a big step, but definatley seasonal....now for the snow.....dunno, but a positive step for nooner run. Also seeing ridging being suppresed in central basin. that would cooincide w/ NAO/AO heading down IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It would at least provide the cold for the lake effect belts like up here...but just that annoying dry, NWly and gusty wind across the LSV. One would hope for a clipper pattern to at least evolve out of that. It's going to be tough to get the East coast storms this year. That...was what I noticed the most on a lot of winter forecasts that were put out there this year. We're in season where the chances of a big east coast snowstorm are significantly smaller than normal. That's the part that I didn't like the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 38 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Longer range GFS looks a lot better so far, for whatever that’s worth. Until it becomes the shorter range...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Voyager said: Until it becomes the shorter range...lol When it becomes the shorter range, your desired weather will win out. We know this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 27 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We don't want that either. Suppression city. Funny how it STILL shows rain along the coast even with that cold. Could just be errors... agreed....and its 300+ hrs out. As regime change continues to evolve, they should start showing their hand in next couple days...and not just be 1 run. Watch for that in coming runs. BTW, Covid was an average cold. Day 5 and I can feel it breaking up like the glaciers in the Arctic Circle in spring. If you get Omni, fret not my friends, but I wish you all health and happiness always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, TimB84 said: When it becomes the shorter range, your desired weather will win out. We know this. My luck will eventually run out. Pretty sure I'm living on borrowed time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 NFL games this week left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 16 minutes ago, pasnownut said: also starting to see the Ens guidance on nooner GEFS/GEPS ticking south for the big day and beyond. Thats what we've been waiting for. Not a big step, but definatley seasonal....now for the snow.....dunno, but a positive step for nooner run. Also seeing ridging being suppresed in central basin. that would cooincide w/ NAO/AO heading down IMO. 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That...was what I noticed the most on a lot of winter forecasts that were put out there this year. We're in season where the chances of a big east coast snowstorm are significantly smaller than normal. That's the part that I didn't like the most. Although we may not get the east coast storms (thanks to La Nina and fast flow), we can get some nice gradient events/patterns (as long as you're on the right side). In some ways, I'd prefer that over a deep east coast trough. There have been some runs lately that are showing a very similar look in January 2022 to what happened in the winter of 93-94. We all remember how that gradient winter turned out. It was my FAVORITE winter from growing up in Lancaster. Gradient patterns come with risk though in if you're on the wrong side, they're torture. It's looking like (on runs I've seen showing it) the SE Ridge will be squashed enough for many in the northeast to get in on the fun. That's IF...that's the pattern that sets up. 12 minutes ago, pasnownut said: agreed....and its 300+ hrs out. As regime change continues to evolve, they should start showing their hand in next couple days...and not just be 1 run. Watch for that in coming runs. BTW, Covid was an average cold. Day 5 and I can feel it breaking up like the glaciers in the Arctic Circle in spring. If you get Omni, fret not my friends, but I wish you all health and happiness always. Hopefully these are the REAL changes starting to unfold in the weather. I have seen information stating that Omni is more like the common cold. It wouldn't surprise me, as usually viruses that easily spread as less severe than others. Don't let the media panic you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 23 minutes ago, pasnownut said: agreed....and its 300+ hrs out. As regime change continues to evolve, they should start showing their hand in next couple days...and not just be 1 run. Watch for that in coming runs. BTW, Covid was an average cold. Day 5 and I can feel it breaking up like the glaciers in the Arctic Circle in spring. If you get Omni, fret not my friends, but I wish you all health and happiness always. Omicron is only about 1% of the cases in PA right now. Did they confirm you had that variant? Almost all other cases are still Delta. Omicron is going to be our bigger issue in January and February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, paweather said: 4 NFL games this week left Yay. Go Raiders. Plop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 20 minutes ago, paweather said: 4 NFL games this week left I’ve got my first round of playoffs for fantasy wrapped up. Bucs put up a big 0 yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I’ve got my first round of playoffs for fantasy wrapped up. Bucs put up a big 0 yesterday Yeah, unbelievable 9-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 44 minutes ago, Voyager said: My luck will eventually run out. Pretty sure I'm living on borrowed time. This can be said for everything. As my father says, we're all hurdling toward death ... some are a faster rate than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Snowless look with the models might be a big zero around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Snowless look with the models might be a big zero around here. S/W parts of the area get bowling balled a week from now but the low minors out. I think someone on here mentioned that was something to watch for coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: S/W parts of the area get bowling balled a week from now but the low minors out. I think someone on here mentioned that was something to watch for coming up. Gotcha. Yep maybe something minor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 hour ago, paweather said: 4 NFL games this week left Lol this is the best Xmas gift ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol this is the best Xmas gift ever! I agree all 4 on TV as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol this is the best Xmas gift ever! Better watch what you wish for re: College Playoff! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 I thought the team that has Covid had to forfeit the game? If I am Philadelphia I am not happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, paweather said: I thought the team that has Covid had to forfeit the game? If I am Philadelphia I am not happy. If the outbreak was caused by an unvaccinated player, the game is forfeited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: If the outbreak was caused by an unvaccinated player, the game is forfeited. Gotcha. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: that stinks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: that stinks! Apparently some of the other model ensembles look a bit better a few days after this. This is just the Euro Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Apparently some of the other model ensembles look a bit better a few days after this. This is just the Euro Op. OK sounds good hopefully, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Apparently some of the other model ensembles look a bit better a few days after this. This is just the Euro Op. Yeah, that’s 12/30, so the second to last play of the first quarter and we’re only down two scores. Plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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