Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, Voyager said: I do believe CTP is going to bust badly with my overnight low tonight. This is what they are forecasting for my backyard... And this is where I'm at as of 7:45pm... 24.8F HRRR Says you stay 26-28 all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR Says you stay 26-28 all night. Not doubting you, but what keeps the temp from dropping? It's clear out, and as far as I can tell, no WAA. Tomorrow's high is supposed to be equal to today's 40 I had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The 12z Canadian showed snow and mixed precip for a good chuck of central & eastern PA early on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The 18z GFS has some light holiday mood flakes early on Christmas Eve for most of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The 18z GFS also has snow for northern & northeastern PA on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 29 minutes ago, Voyager said: Not doubting you, but what keeps the temp from dropping? It's clear out, and as far as I can tell, no WAA. Tomorrow's high is supposed to be equal to today's 40 I had. Oh, I am not making a forecast just commenting that you are already below the HRRR predict. With that said, it keeps your temps within 3 degrees of the current temps all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Down to 22.6 now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 34 minutes ago, Voyager said: Down to 22.6 now... Wow. Last night I was 3 degrees lower than you, but right now it's 30.4 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 22 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Wow. Last night I was 3 degrees lower than you, but right now it's 30.4 here. 32 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 Good post by RIC_WX on the MA Jan LR thread. I think their reference to it being a torch is over stated. Maybe balmy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 42 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 32 here 19 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: 19 here Cold over there. Down to 29 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Love the strength and further south position of lower hieghts in our 50/50 local on the 0z Gfs as we move forward I mentioned earlier today how it looks like the models are in the process of making corrections as that comes in more clearly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The 0z GFS has light snow for Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The 0z GFS & Canadian both have some snow for northern PA Christmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 18 was the low up to 20 now. Yesterday the frost stayed on all the shaded areas all day, never melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 18 was the low up to 20 now. Yesterday the frost stayed on all the shaded areas all day, never melted. It was surprisingly mild in York yesterday mid-afternoon. Bright sunshine and no wind. Actual temp where I was was probably low to mid 40s, but it felt warmer. It’s about 23 here now. Weather Underground says the overnight low was 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 43 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 18 was the low up to 20 now. Yesterday the frost stayed on all the shaded areas all day, never melted. We only made it to 27. And it was 44 here yesterday afternoon. Big differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Do we have a new contender for worst model run of the winter to date? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Do we have a new contender for worst model run of the winter to date? The 6Z GFS is one of the worst runs of the winter...does that count or no because it is an off run? Cold never advances past the Upper Mid West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 6Z GFS is one of the worst runs of the winter...does that count or no because it is an off run? Cold never advances past the Upper Mid West. Yeah, it’s just the 6z. They run that and the 18z just for fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Yeah, it’s just the 6z. They run that and the 18z just for fun. It drives weenies mad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We only made it to 27. And it was 44 here yesterday afternoon. Big differences. I think it made it to 38 here I forgot to look and the weatherstation will reset after midnight. Like a difference of night and day. Like I sad before I can't wait for the higher sun angle. I miss those long warm, hot days. Now I have limited low angle sun and cold nights and if there would be snow on the ground, cold days also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It drives weenies mad. Maybe it’s like the Space Race in the ‘60s. They had to beat the Euro to be the first global to produce 4 runs a day. And, like landing on the moon, it really doesn’t change much in practical terms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I think it made it to 38 here I forgot to look and the weatherstation will reset after midnight. Like a difference of night and day. Like I sad before I can't wait for the higher sun angle. I miss those long warm, hot days. Now I have limited low angle sun and cold nights and if there would be snow on the ground, cold days also. Like streak, it was downright nice here yesterday. Sun and little wind. Felt good coming off the chilly Sunday. The sun makes all the difference between you and me, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Maybe it’s like the Space Race in the ‘60s. They had to beat the Euro to be the first global to produce 4 runs a day. And, like landing on the moon, it really doesn’t change much in practical terms. Well if that is the case, we just extend the HRRR. HRRRX to 384. Something for everyone at the hour, on the hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 21 and Cloudy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 I'm not even looking at 6z because I want to be in a good mood for 12z LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I'm not even looking at 6z because I want to be in a good mood for 12z LOL. If you look at 6z you’ll want to go back to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, TimB84 said: If you look at 6z you’ll want to go back to bed. Not a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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