penndotguy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: my first call 8-12 in for LV, thunder snow/ sleet maybe mixed in with some frizzle on top as we get dry slotted with wrap around snow of 1-2 in Monday afternoon. Then the 30-40 winds kick in with blowing and drifting roads shut in the open rural areas. Then the temps fall bigtime . Then come the parade of alberta clippers afterwards. I’ll take that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 hours ago, Albedoman said: my first call 8-12 in for LV, thunder snow/ sleet maybe mixed in with some frizzle on top as we get dry slotted with wrap around snow of 1-2 in Monday afternoon. Then the 30-40 winds kick in with blowing and drifting roads shut in the open rural areas. Then the temps fall bigtime . Then come the parade of alberta clippers afterwards. That will not make for fun times truck driving and bulk tanker spring water hauling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I think the thump will be fine. I do agree that the flip is looking more likely now. Seeing those SE low level winds roaring at tropical storm force wont help those east of the fall line. Again tho, get the sw to phase a little later to allow the low to traverse more longitude before running NNE would be huge in terms of precip types and changeover. Yes I would love it to be a little weaker as well, let it find that baroclinic zone over the ocean. Seems unlikely at this point but we'll see. I mean even the GFS has it just west of Cape Hatteras before it shows it heading due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, Voyager said: That will not make for fun times truck driving and bulk tanker spring water hauling... yep I agree . Getting the hoses on and off the truck will be a hell of job too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 26 minutes ago, Albedoman said: yep I agree . Getting the hoses on and off the truck will be a hell of job too. Indeed it will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 WU calling for 6" of snow Sunday night. Interesting... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: WU calling for 6" of snow Sunday night. Interesting... For my area, I'm just taking it (guessing) as a couple inches then some sort of changeover heading into Monday. No shot I'm wasting my time intensely following model after model before later Fri/early Sat...it'll drive one nuts. 28F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: For my area, I'm just taking it (guessing) as a couple inches then some sort of changeover heading into Monday. No shot I'm wasting my time intensely following model after model before later Fri/early Sat...it'll drive one nuts. 28F Oh, I'm not going to waste any time model-hopping and hoping for huge dumps. This isn't going to be the blockbuster event of the winter for most of us (if any). But it's a good sign this early into January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Ended up hitting 40 for a high yesterday and bottomed out at 26 this morning. Currently partly cloudy and 31 with dp 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 LR ens still look active and cold to end the month. Stj still in play coming out of a split flow on the West Coast. Not a progressive nor warm look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 We should get a 3rd significant winter storm during the last week of January which would make it a good winter month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Made it up to 48 here as a high and with some high clouds that were around on and off most of the day, it's currently 41 with dp 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 57 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing We avoided the catastrophic drought as well... Interesting weather for the Birds on Sunday in TB. T-storms and trashcan blowing winds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/12/2022 at 4:07 PM, Albedoman said: my first call 8-12 in for LV, thunder snow/ sleet maybe mixed in with some frizzle on top as we get dry slotted with wrap around snow of 1-2 in Monday afternoon. Then the 30-40 winds kick in with blowing and drifting roads shut in the open rural areas. Then the temps fall bigtime . Then come the parade of alberta clippers afterwards. so far so good with my first call 24 hours later. Many models are tuning in to this scenario for the LV. My totals seem a little high but I guess that is what my second call will iron out tomorrow night. The third and final call will be Sat night Nam Run. Additional issues I see popping up now in the models: 1. More sleet at the mid levels are becoming an issue in all of the models. 2. The dry slot is still near or over the LV affecting snow totals before the changeover to sleet/frizzle. The front end thump maybe just a speed bump if the dry slot kicks our ass.. 3. If the wrap around snow does not come to fruition as the low races to the north because of the dry slot, then blowing snow will be curtailed as the sleet and frizzle put the "icing on the cake" to prevent blowing and drifting. Other than thundersnow, I really want to see howling blowing snow that causes drifting as it is a rarity in these parts from this event 4. lastly this inland runner could still go east by 50 miles or so by tomorrow night bringing a lot of happy faces to the I-95 people. Just have to model watch, especially the SREF and NAM runs as they are just outside their model trustworthiness right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 hours ago, JTA66 said: Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing DC about to score better snow then the northern Philly burbs again this winter, and with a PA runner no less. Feeling a melt coming soon if I lose out on this one. It's almost got the taste of those really cold 3-7" January's in the 80's that were followed by mild blah February's. The long rangers are painting next month as ugly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The Canadians 40" snow next week would get things back on track however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Who likes cold 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 29f/dp27 cloudy skies, not sure what to expect out here in Western Berks Sunday night I’ve seen 1-4, 3-6 even 6-10 before changing to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Goldilocks winter so far. First storm too south, second storm too Miller B-ish, this one too west. 35F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 We're certainly black sheep. I'm in a zoom call and everyone is happy that we're getting rain and not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: We're certainly back sheep. I'm in a zoom call and everyone is happy that we're getting rain and not snow. Part of it is sincere and part it's the trendy thing to say. (closet weenies) Pred: Start time 6-7pm as snow 10pm: Pingers invade maybe some freezing rain 11pm-12am: Changes to all rain Total Accumulation: 1-2" 39F/ Winds starting to pick up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Part of it is sincere and part it's the trendy thing to say. (closet weenies) Pred: Start time 6-7pm as snow 10pm: Pingers invade maybe some freezing rain 11pm-12am: Changes to all rain Total Accumulation: 1-2" 39F/ Winds starting to pick up Wondering if we can score a hat trick: WWA? Flood watch? Wind advisory? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 18 hours ago, Birds~69 said: We avoided the catastrophic drought as well... Interesting weather for the Birds on Sunday in TB. T-storms and trashcan blowing winds: probably helps the birds i would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, MacChump said: probably helps the birds i would think For sure...Birds running game is better. And Brady's throws may wobble all over the place in the wind... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 March looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS kicking us when we're down. Temps dropping like a rock/winds...down to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Temp has been dropping steadily after a high of 44 earlier today. Now down to 28 - but the big story is the dp that got up to 34 earlier this afternoon and has now crashed to 16. I expect the dp will be near or even below 0 sometime tomorrow (or at least sometime this weekend). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/6/2022 at 12:34 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Here's that period honking again centered around the 17th give or take a day. This has been a consistent signal for about a week already and moving up in time. No can-kicking this one: GEFS were all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS were all over it Still showing signal day 8-9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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