Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Mt. Holly's and WPC's updates - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 With most folks fixated on the upcoming weekend system, I haven't seen much talk on how the GEFS and GEPS are kicking the can on the pattern flip. Neither family has a -PNA thru their runs anymore and actually have a very nice Western ridge way up into the EPO region.. and it sticks. With that said, chances will continue as long as we keep that cold air source coming out of Siberia. Starting to gradually see shorter wavelengths between systems on guidance so even if things relax, we can cash in. Keep throwing chances our way with the cold....eventually one will hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: With most folks fixated on the upcoming weekend system, I haven't seen much talk on how the GEFS and GEPS are kicking the can on the pattern flip. Neither family has a -PNA thru their runs anymore and actually have a very nice Western ridge way up into the EPO region.. and it sticks. With that said, chances will continue as long as we keep that cold air source coming out of Siberia. Starting to gradually see shorter wavelengths between systems on guidance so even if things relax, we can cash in. Keep throwing chances our way with the cold....eventually one will hit. There you are... Figured you were cookin' up quite a storm at work today. You can't discount the NAO trend though... and meanwhile, the 18Z GFS looks like it sped up and but continues the precip scrape trend (although it's just the 18z). And as a quick obs, I did make it up to 28 today with a low of 19 and it's currently 24 with dp 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I hate to be an asshole but I hope if this screws us, it screws SNE too. I know words and wishes have no meaning to what is going to happen but I’d like them to be stuck in our misery 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18z euro wasn’t bad but it was a clear shift towards the gfs/cmc. Never in my life would I think the GFS would become the new king as it has this winter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 7.4" imby on the 18z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, RedSky said: 7.4" imby on the 18z euro At least the low in this latest depiction isn't slapping around itself like a zombie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: At least the low in this latest depiction isn't slapping around itself like a zombie. You have to clown it up it's going to be dry fringe arctic powder NW of I95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, RedSky said: You have to clown it up it's going to be dry fringe arctic powder NW of I95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Man, it was COLD working outside today. Not the coldest day out for sure, but still. Tomorrow should be a bit better. Currently 16°F with zero breeze; this is proper winter cold for this time of year and I love it. Now all we need is a nice, little snow event to round things off. Still 48 hours-ish to go on this one, maybe it'll tick west enough to at least freshen up the yard, which still has roughly 75% coverage (my front yard is in shadow nearly all day). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 NAM came back, far far back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just popped in. Originally from SJ and live in Richmond, Va now. No one gonna mention 0Z NAM? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Very similar to Euro. Not quite as good as 12z but darn close. Setting up for the ultimate battle. Tonight's GFS will be very telling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, wasnow215 said: Just popped in. Originally from SJ and live in Richmond, Va now. No one gonna mention 0Z NAM? Lol Most people here live in Pennsylvania so wasn't all that great for them. Until the GFS shows something too it's useless getting worked up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Rockem_sockem_connection said: Most people here live in Pennsylvania so wasn't all that great for them. Until the GFS shows something too it's useless getting worked up I get it. But EURO and NAM solid now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, wasnow215 said: I get it. But EURO and NAM solid now. They haven't been completely consistent but the GFS has, that's my two cents. I think it's reasonable to expect/root for a 3-6" for alot of folks on here though but sometimes that's not enough when it was looking like it could of been way more, I dunno. Curious about the 0z GFS though makes it interesting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 ICON is way west. Ditto for RGEM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 0z RGEM is in lock step with 18z euro, the trend is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Anyone gonna make a thread for this storm? It seems likely that at the very least, the coast will get a snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 And the GFS says nah, I’ll go even farther east to spite the weenies. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 JMA is a MECS lol GFS is sunshine and star gazing This has gone beyond the pale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 CMC joins the west trend party. Apparently the GFS missed the memo tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 CMC could be a little better than the 18z ECM it's a 0z blitz against the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Hard to say the GFS is right when it's basically alone but it's been consistent. So I guess 12z tomorrow we wait for more answers. Crazy crazy crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Wow what a comeback tonight. Interest is very high again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The GFS was pretty awful for the event in mid December last year, though this event bares no resemblance to that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Crazy uncle is a SECS/MECS with high ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Crazy uncle is a SECS/MECS with high ratio Cutoff is pretty sharp N&W, but the improvement is the big story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Did the storm on the northern branch enter the United States yet? If so Adam Joseph can launch the weather balloon now and real in the Blizzard of 22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Euro brings it a minor event to PHL. GFS is non event. NAM is decent event. The other assortment of store brand models have a bigger event. Good luck making a reasonable prediction out of that. 0-12" for PHL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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