A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Man! C'mon people. It's gonna get cold an snowy in time for the holidays which is the opposite of what we've been dealing with and you all sound like a bunch of whinners, lol. "This is the jolliest bunch of A-holes this side of the nut house." 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: zzzzz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Up_north_MI Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 We’ve had the cold air do this way to many times to us so I’m sure I’m not the only one here who’s skeptical until it actually happens and sticks around for a decent period of time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 27 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Man! C'mon people. It's gonna get cold an snowy in time for the holidays which is the opposite of what we've been dealing with and you all sound like a bunch of whinners, lol. "This is the jolliest bunch of A-holes this side of the nut house." you yesterday: "Look at it like this. In order for most of us here to experience the Winters of Yore, we may have had to participate in World War 2?? Having the winters get warmer and more frustrating may be a small price to pay, if you know what I mean." zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 True statement right there. My point is, it's the first time I've read a NWS discussion that was optimistic about a pattern change. That's enough for me to get excited at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Finally!! Grand Rapids goes all in:- Winter makes a comebackAs I wrote about yesterday the MJO goes into phase 7 later thisweek. That will force it to get colder and stay colder late thisweek and more so next week. While the models are not forecastingmuch snow, it has been my experience that when we stay belowfreezing for more than a week, it finds a way to snow. So I amthinking it will snow the week leading to Christmas. If nothingless a lot of lake effect. The ensemble means for the Canadian,GFS and ECMWF all show highs below freezing from the 20th throughthe 28th. Winter weather will come back.shame they have never heard of cold and dry.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: shame they have never heard of cold and dry. . Cold and dry to you is totally different for them with the Lake to their Left... Plus, Cold and dry is a step in the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Torch time incoming. The best weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Really wondering when we'll see another lake effect outbreak.... seems like we have gone years without one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 5 hours ago, Up_north_MI said: We’ve had the cold air do this way to many times to us so I’m sure I’m not the only one here who’s skeptical until it actually happens and sticks around for a decent period of time. Lake effect has been non-existent for 2 years or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 On 12/15, this year will become the 19th time that Chicago's seasonal snowfall total is sitting under 1". Here are those years and what the final snowfall total ended up being, along with a B or A to signify whether the final total was below or above average. 14 out of 18 had less snow than average. And of the 4 that were snowier than average, 2 were barely snowier than average. 2020 - 48.8" A 2012 - 30.1" B 2011 - 19.8" B 2003 - 24.8" B 2001 - 31.1" B 1999 - 30.3" B 1998 - 50.9" A 1993 - 41.8" A 1990 - 23.5" B 1984 - 39.1" A 1965 - 24.9" B 1948 - 14.3" B 1943 - 24.0" B 1939 - 31.0" B 1938 - 33.9" B 1923 - 27.6" B 1918 - 28.8" B 1912 - 19.0" B 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Temp records are going to be obliterated over the western half of the sub on Wednesday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 The High Wind Watch from DMX mentions southwest gusts up to 70 mph. Impressive to see that given there is no marine influence to help enhance winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 xmas torch incoming folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just jaw dropping wind forecasts showing up on the models. Euro has a pocket of 70-80mph surface wind gusts moving from northern KS into Iowa Wednesday afternoon/eve. If those areas escape precip earlier in the day there's gonna be a hell of a dust storm out in open areas I'd imagine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 As of now it’s looking likely that we’ll have a period of 45-60MPH wind gusts around here, Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 16 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: xmas torch incoming folks If it's not going to be whipping the white stuff might as well torch. Actually, has felt nice the last couple of years washing the car and grilling out on Christmas Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: xmas torch incoming folks Too early to make that call. Not saying it won't, just too early. I'll put a Christmas Ale on it that that the pattern next week makes a massive adjustment towards cold by this Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Too early to make that call. Not saying it won't, just too early. I'll put a Christmas Ale on it that that the pattern next week makes a massive adjustment towards cold by this Thursday. Idk man.. i'm 0-1 on that game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Nah nah nah, none of this even makes sense. Dispense with all of this sciencey shit and look at the cold hard facts: this entire season so far, there's always been a fantasy storm being modeled in the 240+ range. Now there isn't. Two and two guys, come on. Real talk, I'm willing to bet my Christmas gifts that some sort of event of some kind will arise in the Christmas week timeframe by this Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 18z Euro with 65mph+ gusts over the northwest DVN cwa Wed eve now. The Euro gust forecasts are usually a slight bit on the conservative side in most cases from what I've seen, so it would indicate potential 70 mph winds if the 18z works out. The high-res models move the highest winds further north as the low center is modeled further north. The 3km NAM goes nuts and drops the surface low below 970mb as it heads into Canada Wed night lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Cold and dry to you is totally different for them with the Lake to their Left... Plus, Cold and dry is a step in the right direction. Yes and no. A cold pattern doesn’t necessarily mean a LES pattern. (I’m not saying any of which are/are not happening)Personally, cold and dry is easily worse than warm and dry/warm and wet.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 18z Euro with 65mph+ gusts over the northwest DVN cwa Wed eve now. The Euro gust forecasts are usually a slight bit on the conservative side in most cases from what I've seen, so it would indicate potential 70 mph winds if the 18z works out. The high-res models move the highest winds further north as the low center is modeled further north. The 3km NAM goes nuts and drops the surface low below 970mb as it heads into Canada Wed night lol.The Euro was too low with the Friday night/Saturday morning wind event. The GFS was much closer in terms of both placement and forecasted wind gusts. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 and there it is: "A REMINDER THAT THE 20TH (MONDAY) IS THE RECORD IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO FOR THE LATEST FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON, SOMETHING WE HAVE YET TO SEE. " DOOM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Might as well really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Still no measurable snow in Milwaukee either, wonder what the record is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Mainstream media will start its usual white Xmas concern for a few days next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Still no measurable snow in Milwaukee either, wonder what the record is.Milwaukee has had 3 days of measurable snow, totaling 0.6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 ^ a relative bonanza. Really irks me when true weather watchers miss these type of events in their own back yard while trying to horn in on my futility records. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 some real shit tier threats but that 20th record should be going down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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