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Upstate/Eastern New York


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3 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

GFS a little warmer for Monday/Tues, starts to bring in some below average temps Wed, lasting for about 5-6 days . 

gfs_T2ma_us_27 (1).png

Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.

So the cooler temps that were supposed to arrive today/tomorrow are now “a few days away.”  What a surprise….

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Once again, it was hotter here than Birmingham, Atlanta, Charleston, etc...

Dewpoint was in the 70s here just like down there, so it's not like that had any factor.

My mind is seriously boggled by just how much the heat seems to move over top...latitude doesn't seem to make any difference. 

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Anyone else following Ida? that track has potential to absolutely crush new orleans if it rapidly intensifies. Still a long ways out and anything can happen but now forecasted to be at cat 3 with the northeast eyewall on the wrong side of NO.

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1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

Yep was just posting that..

Now forecast to be a major hurricane just before landfall, hurricane watches posted..

Hurricane  models showing 940ish mb which is the strength of a cat 4 in the Atlantic basin..

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

100510_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind (2).png

I doubt it will verify but that track would funnel the storm surge right through lake Salvadar and into NO

 

Screenshot 2021-08-27 102001.jpg

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The cold front crossing the eastern Great Lakes Monday will exit
southeast of the area Monday evening with any showers and
thunderstorms ending from northwest to southeast. The passage of
this cold front will mark the end of the long stretch of excessive
humidity, with a gradual trend towards less humid and cooler air
next week.

High pressure will build into the Great Lakes and Ontario/Quebec
Tuesday and remain in place through Friday supporting a stretch of
mainly dry weather. The remnants of Ida will move northward towards
the Tennessee Valley and then turn eastward towards the Carolinas or
Mid Atlantic. Model consensus keeps most, if not all of the
associated rain to the south of our area midweek.

A cooler and much less humid airmass will move into the region by
the middle of next week. The GFS is on the cool side of the guidance
envelope, with our preference lying toward the warmer ECMWF/GEM
solutions for Wednesday and Thursday. Even so, this will translate
into highs in the mid to upper 70s by the middle of next week, with
much cooler overnight lows and much lower humidity.
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Would be a welcomed sight if we can hold on to it lol

Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

One of the largest nest I've ever seen lol Maybe I'm just not paying attention but wow..

PXL_20210827_151955614.jpg.35bac6e19dde2

PXL_20210827_152346433.jpg.ba180c5216bfe

Damn that is a huge nest. I've been on the lookout in every tree around the yard every time i mow the lawn for a nest. My biggest hate of summer is bee's, been nailed twice this summer. Are they white faced hornets? 

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12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

One of the largest nest I've ever seen lol Maybe I'm just not paying attention but wow..

PXL_20210827_151955614.jpg.35bac6e19dde2

PXL_20210827_152346433.jpg.ba180c5216bfe

Based on the nest type/shape and location of the opening, I’m guessing that’s a “white-ass hornet”?  Actually called a bald- faced hornet.  Be careful around those things, they can be aggressive and come after you with an army and they aim for your face!  I paid someone to remove a nest a few years ago because I was not going to mess them. 

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Yeah I think you guys are right, they don't look like a typical bee, mostly black in color.. One day I bumped into the bush and a bunch came flying out, I thought they looked like big flies lol I just noticed the nest this morning, yeah I won't be messing with them lol

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1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah I think you guys are right, they don't look like a typical bee, mostly black in color.. One day I bumped into the bush and a bunch came flying out, I thought they looked like big flies lol I just noticed the nest this morning, yeah I won't be messing with them lol

Not saying this isn't overkill but I say go for it!

tumblr_m6aqqhRUBS1r9zp6fo1_400 (1).gif

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Lol Yeah if it was a giant Asian (murder) hornet I'd be in trouble haha Looking at photos they are absolutely huge lol These ones aren't that big..They are also mainly black, resembling a bald face hornet..From my research they have about a 4 month life cycle that ends around mid September..They are also known to be good for pest control lol They aren't that close to the house so I'll just let them finish their life cycle and remove the empty nest in fall/winter..

Baldie (1).jpg

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Thats a beautiful bald faced hornet nest.  No need to do anything with it if you made it this far and haven't had an issue.  They are rearing queens for next year by this point and will wind down in the next 4-5 weeks.  They are valuable insect predator and get a bad rap IMO.    I've been studying Bees, wasps and ants my whole life.  I find them fascinating.  

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