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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


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For the LSV crew

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

PAZ036-056>059-063>066-181245-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0007.210218T0900Z-210219T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0005.210218T0600Z-210219T1500Z/
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York,
and Lancaster
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected along with a light glaze of ice.
  Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches and ice accumulations
  of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of sleet mixed with freezing rain
  is possible late Thursday afternoon which may produce a light
  glaze of ice.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
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For everyone else:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

PAZ024>026-033-034-181245-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0007.210218T0600Z-210219T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0015.210218T0600Z-210219T1500Z/
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Somerset-Bedford-
Including the cities of Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Somerset, and Bedford
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Cambria, Blair, Huntingdon, Somerset and Bedford
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday.

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

PAZ012-017>019-027-028-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-181245-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0007.210218T0900Z-210219T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0015.210218T0600Z-210219T1500Z/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Mifflin-Juniata-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg,
State College, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Mansfield, Wellsboro,
Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
239 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday.
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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

The Nam is not going to go Euro on us.  A longer event with more qpf.  Not done the event yet for a qpf map. 

Looks to be following the cutback on NW side of the storm though.  Purple ticklin the Mason Dixon line at 23

 

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Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

Euro, NAM, and Icon all look similar now. (except for the NAM's second max up into true CPA)

that second max is achieved in WAA side of event.  Just remember how well that did the other week.....just sayin.  I'd shave 2" off that n be giddy if I lived under it.  

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Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

I know...nothing easy about PA snows in a Nina. We have to scratch and claw our way to victory. 

Yep. I agree you have been a stickler about that this winter and good for you. I wouldn't want to be a forecaster right now. I know we have warnings up but this again will be a game time decision on whether we get 2-3, 6-8, 8-10. I really thought the overrunning part of the storm was 99% given and we would capitalize on that and any additional on the coastal would be great. Now nothing is for sure.  

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To read each model correctly we would need a bounty of verification scores for each model that is fairly localized. And it seems that info is all behind a noaa login. I’ve spent hours looking and it appears I cannot get access to the data I want because I’m not a noaa employee.


.

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