Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, mattinpa said: It looks warmer than other guidance but definitely not north of 6z. Maybe a little south. Agreed. But we stopped getting warmer and nudged colder. SE PA around i95 will mix for a period but not be primarily a mix is my feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 I wouldn’t call this NAM run a “huge win.” It still gets mixing up to the Lehigh Valley. It’s not a total disaster like 6z but it’s still not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The "big win" is that the trend halted, imo. It's not great on its own but this is a decent sign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Much improved. It does mix a bit, and many will see a lull/dry slot Monday morning before the coastal ramps up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 At 18z the Nam will NAM us and all the other models will keep on keeping on while the Nam caves to the other models that’s how the I-95 Corridor north and west gets 12”+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Newman said: Much improved. It does mix a bit, and many will see a lull/dry slot Monday morning before the coastal ramps up During that lull pre-coastal ramp up is when folks will get nervous....then think the 2nd forms a bit further NE than current models - limiting snow in our area but really hitting North Jersey and CT etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I wouldn’t call this NAM run a “huge win.” It still gets mixing up to the Lehigh Valley. It’s not a total disaster like 6z but it’s still not great. If u r taking it verbatim, sure. But the fact as the outlier it bucked the trend and stopped leading the way was huge. Big picture. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Still snowing mid morning Tuesday on 12k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 About 14" here and still snowing at 78hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3k f gen banding gonna be absurd as it continues to get in closer range 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 3k f gen banding gonna be absurd as it continues to get in closer range Yea that’s the dynamical model that will show the finer details we are about 2 runs away from that right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 The NAM never gets rates above 1”/hr into our area but the sheer duration of the storm makes up for it. When you see nearly 2 days straight of moderate snow it’s going to pile up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 ICON perfect track looks like a SE PA crusher 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 The RGEM looks completely different from any other model right now. It suppresses the overrunning snow and even the initial snow from the coastal storm. But then there’s a huge band that very slowly moves inland...on Monday NIGHT! Light snow then remains all day on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I’ll take the Rgem, anything that shows south is a positive guys trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 35 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 3k f gen banding gonna be absurd as it continues to get in closer range Well looking at RGEM the 3k maybe moving towards it with all its banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 19 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: The RGEM looks completely different from any other model right now. It suppresses the overrunning snow and even the initial snow from the coastal storm. But then there’s a huge band that very slowly moves inland...on Monday NIGHT! Light snow then remains all day on Tuesday. Slower evolution. Big end result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1st couple 12 z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I like seeing the RGEM south. Purely an IMBY opinion given my location relative to the rest of this sub-forum. It has shown massive qpf fairly regularly for this storm. I don’t think lack of precipitation will be the issue. It’s which model will be right with thermals. I want the low a little further offshore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC drops over 60 hours of continuous snow for many of us. Snow starts tomorrow afternoon and doesn’t end until Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: CMC drops over 60 hours of continuous snow for many of us. Snow starts tomorrow afternoon and doesn’t end until Tuesday night. I’m starting to feel like someone out near York, Cumberland and n/e of there see 3 feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 So everything looks on track at 12z so far. Heard the GFS was a bit low on QPF, though. Is there a snow map for it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Canadian is a textbook blockbuster chicken coop crusher. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Speechless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 No more north move so far 12z is my biggest takeaway that had to stop 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: No more north move so far 12z is my biggest takeaway that had to stop Yes sir, I gotta admit it was concerning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Wow, the Canadiens destroy most of our area and give Boston rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now