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12 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Euro finally popping a surface low on the Lee side..just over WV. 

Screenshot_20201221-131538_Chrome.jpg

 That's what the UK snow map reflection appeared to be indicating ; further north development . Let's just hope doesn't trend even further for us upper forum folks. Hopefully,  will revert back as we get closer.

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9 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

NAM NAMed you @BlunderStorm

Not great for the rest of us in East TN, but that is the best the NAM has looked so far:

(past 3 runs trend):

...and so the model consolidation begins just like clockwork. Also yeah I noticed I got slammed but didn't wanna rub it in. :guitar:

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12 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

18z GEFS

Screenshot_20201221-174907_Chrome.jpg

Screenshot_20201221-175040_Chrome.jpg

Been traveling today.  Did Christmas on the back porch with some family and socially distanced to boot.  That doesn't look all that bad.  Models are just struggling with timing of the front in relation to precip along with a lee side low.  

Hey, threw you guys a nugget in the pattern thread.  

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Past results don't guarantee anything, but last December's anafrontal event was an overperformer that was handled best by the GFS/Canadian blend just from looking back at the thread. The NE Tennessee snowhole has been showing up on some model runs this time, and looking back, Holston posted the satellite shot from the next morning after last year's event and there was no accumulation in the Hawkins/East Hancock area. Basically where it's been showing up on models. That system had the benefit of happening in the evening and really got going after dark.

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4 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Past results don't guarantee anything, but last December's anafrontal event was an overperformer that was handled best by the GFS/Canadian blend just from looking back at the thread. The NE Tennessee snowhole has been showing up on some model runs this time, and looking back, Holston posted the satellite shot from the next morning after last year's event and there was no accumulation in the Hawkins/East Hancock area. Basically where it's been showing up on models. That system had the benefit of happening in the evening and really got going after dark.

Another one that comes to mind is a few years back that affected areas east of 75

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