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General severe weather discussion

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   250 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     East-Central/Northeast Montana

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
     1000 PM MDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
       inches in diameter possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms including some supercells
   are expected to develop initially across east-central Montana and
   quickly move north-northeastward through evening. Large hail and
   severe-caliber wind gusts are the primary hazards, although a
   tornado could also occur.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
   statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles east northeast
   of Havre MT to 55 miles west southwest of Miles City MT. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

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* At 635 PM CDT/535 PM MDT/, a confirmed large and extremely
  dangerous tornado was located 14 miles southeast of Sidney, moving
  northeast at 20 mph.

  This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

  

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80-85 MPH thunderstorm winds around the Topeka/KC area, going to drop south later today.

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11 minutes ago, JoMo said:

80-85 MPH thunderstorm winds around the Topeka/KC area, going to drop south later today.

SPC outlook doesn’t seem to be doing well so far. It’ll be interesting to see what they do with the next update, but the enhanced risk currently looks way too far west. 

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There really have been about 20-25 severe reports around Topeka, mostly wind, with a measured wind gust of 80mph. Kansas City may be getting high winds now, but there are no  reports of trees down next to Kansas City yet.

 

edit:

some severe reports are north and south of Kansas City, although the storm did go through town.

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1 hour ago, Chinook said:

There really have been about 20-25 severe reports around Topeka, mostly wind, with a measured wind gust of 80mph. Kansas City may be getting high winds now, but there are no  reports of trees down next to Kansas City yet.

 

edit:

some severe reports are north and south of Kansas City, although the storm did go through town.

Archive radar indicates the stronger cells split to the north and south of the city. 

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2 hours ago, MUWX said:

SPC outlook doesn’t seem to be doing well so far. It’ll be interesting to see what they do with the next update, but the enhanced risk currently looks way too far west. 

Not anymore.

The eastern part of the complex has shown signs of weakening, and the stronger cells on the SW end of the complex have latched on to the N-S theta-e gradient through eastern KS and OK.

Capture.png

 

 

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40 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Not anymore.

The eastern part of the complex has shown signs of weakening, and the stronger cells on the SW end of the complex have latched on to the N-S theta-e gradient through eastern KS and OK.

Capture.png

 

 

Yeah, that storm in EC Kansas is pretty impressive. I wonder how that outflow boundary from the other storms impacts things, it is moving south quickly. 

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