Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 15 minutes ago, daxx said: Yes! The wind is roaring here. I had a good 30 minutes of strong winds...it has backed off now to a light breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Officially, Lancaster is at 79... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 We have reached 80. Itssweatingtime for the win. Winds are ferocious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 42 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Including in my house where it is 75 now. Its going to be an open window night. Just flipped the switch. Too hot for this guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Really windy but not much rain with that storm..Very short lived as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 21 minutes ago, daxx said: Just flipped the switch. Too hot for this guy. I still think it could snow Monday and am lazy so do not want to remove the A/C cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I still think it could snow Monday and am lazy so do not want to remove the A/C cover. Maybe if we all turn the a/c on It will make it snow Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Rapid shoot up in temp here along with winds. 77.2 now after hitting 78.1 about 15 minutes ago. Sustained WSW winds 15 to 20, gusting to 25. Hard to imagine snow could be in the air early Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 74 in Tamaqua. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: We have reached 80. Itssweatingtime for the win. Winds are ferocious. 80.4 here. Imagine if we would have had more sun - I never saw any until after 2pm. And yes, Lancaster officially hit 80 as well. This has "felt" like an over-performing kind of day all week to me. Screw the models. (not really) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 hour ago, daxx said: Just flipped the switch. Too hot for this guy. Welcome to the club! Mine hasn't shut off much today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 37 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Welcome to the club! Mine hasn't shut off much today... I didn't make the 80 club here. 78 for the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 40 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 80.4 here. Imagine if we would have had more sun - I never saw any until after 2pm. And yes, Lancaster officially hit 80 as well. This has "felt" like an over-performing kind of day all week to me. Screw the models. (not really) Good call dude lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 20, 2020 Author Share Posted March 20, 2020 Models and ensembles are still generally supportive of this snow threat on Monday, which I think could be in the cards for most in here. The Euro still leads the way but has edged down accums and shifted north a tad. Some of the runs this week on that model were looking March/November 2018 worthy. Obviously the elevated central and north central parts of the state stand the best chance of seeing any kind of decent accumulations, but we could see accumulating potential even in the Sus Valley. Surface temps are going to be very marginal and it seems that timing is heading towards most of this event being in the daytime though, especially east. I think the biggest thing I see from the models is the snow potential appears to be rate driven. The column temps are there enough if we have a wave of heavier precipitation, and we're going to need a several hour burst of heavy precip to realize any white on the ground with the surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 35 minutes ago, daxx said: I didn't make the 80 club here. 78 for the high. I actually was referring to the AC club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I actually was referring to the AC club. Yea made that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 2 hours ago, daxx said: Maybe if we all turn the a/c on It will make it snow Monday. Might dry out the air too much :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 We got no rain today - well it sprinkled for 2 or so mins. CTP missed that one for Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 2 hours ago, MAG5035 said: Models and ensembles are still generally supportive of this snow threat on Monday, which I think could be in the cards for most in here. The Euro still leads the way but has edged down accums and shifted north a tad. Some of the runs this week on that model were looking March/November 2018 worthy. Obviously the elevated central and north central parts of the state stand the best chance of seeing any kind of decent accumulations, but we could see accumulating potential even in the Sus Valley. Surface temps are going to be very marginal and it seems that timing is heading towards most of this event being in the daytime though, especially east. I think the biggest thing I see from the models is the snow potential appears to be rate driven. The column temps are there enough if we have a wave of heavier precipitation, and we're going to need a several hour burst of heavy precip to realize any white on the ground with the surface temps. Thanks Mag it would come at the right time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 57 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanks Mag it would come at the right time! The rate, location & timing of the heavier precip will make the difference between accumulating snow, wet snow or plain old rain for some locations. Here is the 18z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 The 18z Euro keeps the Harrisburg area on north all snow for most of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 If the better rates can make it to the LSV towards the few hours before & after daybreak, then I could see the 2-3 inch amounts getting back to areas near & south of the turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Here is the 18z EPS & Control run, along with 850 temps at 6z & 12z Monday on the EPS. Cold enough air aloft will be available for snow from the MD line on north, if the precip comes in heavy enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 31 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 18z EPS & Control run, along with 850 temps at 6z & 12z Monday on the EPS. Cold enough air aloft will be available for snow from the MD line on north, if the precip comes in heavy enough. 0z nam would have been an excessively heavy wet snow for many if it just kept the low on a slightly more EAST trajectory as it formed and climbed through the DelMarVa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 0z nam would have been an excessively heavy wet snow for many if it just kept the low on a slightly more EAST trajectory as it formed and climbed through the DelMarVa. Yes, I was just checking out the 0z NAM. The initial conditions are cold enough for snow for all of us. We just need overnight onset with a good solid moderate precip shield & we could be in business for some accumulating snow even in The LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Next week is looking really wet. Rain off and on throughout the week. I guess I will mowing next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Just now, daxx said: Next week is looking really wet. Rain of and on throughout the week. I guess I will mowing next weekend. I had to edge this week. Edging in mid March. WTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Yeah rain off and on Monday through literally rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I had to edge this week. Edging in mid March. WTH. Yea crazy, weeds are really bad as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 12Z Nam has mislead us in marginal situations this year but still wants to bring the good while we are sleeping Monday AM. Temps right at freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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