RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think we need to at least hold serve tonight....if it trends notably worse, I'm not sure it's going to come back. We're in the 96 hour timeframe tonight. NAM is definitely teeing it up at 84 hours...more than other guidance. But it's the NAM. We just have to keep it within a reasonable range over the next two days where a slight improvement thereafter, with several key features, could give some of us a good shot. I mean... we’re talking like 100 miles, depending on guidance, on good impact vs minimal impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Icon is west of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Icon is west of 12z Looks like shiat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Icon is snow showers for SE Mass... nothing NW of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 ICON Is much better than the morning runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Gfs looks identical through 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Through 65 hours the jet streak over New England is weaker and further north than the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs looks identical through 60 Slighty west but nothing substantial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 This is cruel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Basically the exact same as 12z out to 102... an absolute behemoth justttttt far enough offshore not to impact us. I love how all these solutions bounce around but when one is just far enough from impact, it locks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Slighty west but nothing substantial Definitely looks like it ticked W and then just swings wide right again. Monster storm too. Jeezuz, can't buy a thrill this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Definitely looks like it ticked W and then just swings wide right again. Monster storm too. Jeezuz, can't buy a thrill this winter. It's pretty sad I remember those days when you went outside and had to walk in the street because the snow was too deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Tonight should seal our fate I think... at least we won’t waste time tracking deep into the week. This winter is for the birds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Nuisance snows verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tonight should seal our fate I think... at least we won’t waste time tracking deep into the week. This winter is for the birds This storm may be for the fish. Again though, we're not seeing big nail in the coffin moves East so bears watching through tomorrow and maybe 0z tonight brings an improvement. The consistency of the "just off shore" theme needs to resolve soon though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Nuisance snows verbatim. for ACK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Can't even 'aint happening James' this one since he's gone to the dark side. It would be an ultimate FU from this turd of a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 But what does the NAVGEM say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tonight should seal our fate I think... at least we won’t waste time tracking deep into the week. This winter is for the birds In the past there would still be 1 or 2 models showing eye candy at this range, even if ultimately wrong. Now they just all agree on basically OTS. I'm all set hanging my hat on a few ensemble members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Amateur hour here on the forums. Enjoy folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: for ACK? Most of SNE gets 1-2”. Though lower elevation coastline may struggle to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Most of SNE gets 1-2”. Though lower elevation coastline may struggle to accumulate. I guess if this stays the course or ticks slightly W and we get an expanding precipitation field Boston down to Tblizz could see advisory snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 The key right now is still the ensembles IMO. If they don't at least hold serve or improve in the next few runs this threat is cooked. Honestly, the NAM has my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Most of SNE gets 1-2”. Though lower elevation coastline may struggle to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: The key right now is still the ensembles IMO. If they don't at least hold serve or improve in the next few runs this threat is cooked. Honestly, the NAM has my attention. That's why tomorrow night is my make or break time frame. It's not that far from something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 18 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: In the past there would still be 1 or 2 models showing eye candy at this range, even if ultimately wrong. Now they just all agree on basically OTS. I'm all set hanging my hat on a few ensemble members Yeah... I’m not chasing a few rogue ensemble members after tonight... we know how that goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That's why tomorrow night is my make or break time frame. It's not that far from something good. I think that is fair. After the 0z runs Tuesday night/Wednesday morning is a good time to either go all in or all out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Gfs still showing a coastal at 240 Just 1 snowstorm Is that hard to ask for ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I wouldn’t even wipe with the 84hr NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: I wouldn’t even wipe with the 84hr NAM. Except for the Jan 2016 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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