HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Amazing similarity on that band with Euro, RGEM, and NAM. Don't often see the city pouring snow while LI is raining but can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Amazing similarity on that band with Euro, RGEM, and NAM. Models won’t be able to pin down that band location correctly this far out. Almost looks like an IVT which always changes form run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: City ripping 18z Monday The low hovers too close to Long Island-hopefully it can trend East a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Don't often see the city pouring snow while LI is raining but can happen Oh it happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 hour ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I think its 7 or 8 am and yeah I know we are on a weather site but damn if I can remember or ever get it correct BTW there she blows !!!!!! 12z for now is 7am when we move the clocks ahead in March it becomes a four hour difference again and 12Z then will be 8Am again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, bluewave said: Models won’t be able to pin down that band location correctly this far out. Almost looks like an IVT which always changes. Of course, just pretty cool to see it consistently shown there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Models won’t be able to pin down that band location correctly this far out. Almost looks like an IVT which always changes form run to run. Yep as you said earlier high bust potential in both directions with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Nam is a MECS for our region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Oh it happens... I know it happens but not that often, the most vivid example I can remember is the snowicane. Usually in recent years the north shore of LI has faired better than the city in marginal setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Big big hit on the NAM north central Jersey, north and east through most of Nassau Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Have to say NAM and Euro now look very similar with the east vs west gradient, poor CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Absolute crush job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: I know it happens but not that often, the most vivid example I can remember is the snowicane. Usually in recent years the north shore of LI has faired better than the city in marginal setups Usually the north shore is about the same as the city in marginal setups, this one may be different, but too early to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Over 1" QPF frozen for NYC still ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 That is a foot of snow or more for New York City ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: Usually the north shore is about the same as the city in marginal setups, this one may be different, but too early to tell. If anyone surprises and gets more than expected, the north shore would be one of my bets for this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Over 1" QPF frozen for NYC still ripping. Check out the boston area. Holy shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: I know it happens but not that often, the most vivid example I can remember is the snowicane. Usually in recent years the north shore of LI has faired better than the city in marginal setups In this case it’s just where the low decides to sit and if this banding really happens. It’s an energetic upper air system so it’s possible. The low is too close to Suffolk County for too long so it takes quite a while for the rain snow line to move East out of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, BxEngine said: If anyone surprises and gets more than expected, the north shore would be one of my bets for this setup. I could see my area doing quite well or total crap. Good luck to any forecaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Still snowing at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Check out the boston area. Holy shit. North MA wrecked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Stormlover74 said: That’s still snowing though! Heavy hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I could see my area doing quite well or total crap. Good luck to any forecaster. I still think 3" is a good call for us, we will get some nice snows backend, which is what matters anyway. Also, we changeover when sun is going down, so no real wasted snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 7 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Yep as you said earlier high bust potential in both directions with this storm Yeah, IVT’s are notorious for going from nothing to a heavy dump within a few miles. Almost like summer convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, bluewave said: Yeah, IVT’s are notorious for going from nothing to a heavy dump within a few miles. Almost like summer convection. I wonder if the models adjust to a bigger precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: I wonder if the models adjust to a bigger precip shield NAM expanded this run. Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: I wonder if the models adjust to a bigger precip shield The one change today is the models seem to be starting to mature the low faster again offshore. They slowed that process somewhat yesterday which led to lower amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: NAM expanded this run. Time will tell Usually models show an inverted trough just to trend towards a bigger shield as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 That's one long WWA Middlesex-Mercer-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of New Brunswick, Trenton, Morrisville, and Doylestown 341 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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