daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Might not be a lot of accumulation but it could be a fun little dynamic event for a while. Exactly! But if some areas can stay in the more intense banding for awhile they may squeeze out a couple inches. It will be fun to watch it develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I agree though the EC quick withdrawal of moisture bothers me. I still think Eastern LSV has the best chance being the closest to the departing surface low. The 6z EPS ensemble still keeps the LSV in the in the game for 1 to 2 inches of snow tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, daxx said: Exactly! But if some areas can stay in the more intense banding for awhile they may squeeze out a couple inches. It will be fun to watch it develop. I just ripped this gem of an HRRR run from the Mid Atlantic thread that was recently posted there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowPlowGuy88 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I just ripped this gem of an HRRR run from the Mid Atlantic thread that was recently posted there. What’s the time for that? I pre salted some medical facilities last night for this morning but that looks nearly plow worthy. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I just ripped this gem of an HRRR run from the Mid Atlantic thread that was recently posted there. If only the hrrr was accurate this far out. Sigh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Show me that map late tonight and I will literally cry happy tears! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, daxx said: If only the hrrr was accurate this far out. Sigh! The hrrr plays the retrograde surface low game. In fairness the Nam also did this for a panel. Surface temps are above freezing for almost all of PA during this time so rates, rates, rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, daxx said: Show me that map late tonight and I will literally cry happy tears! Lol Just for fun, here is that HRRR 12z run snow total map. If only.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The hrrr plays the retrograde surface low game. In fairness the Nam also did this for a panel. Yes, if we get into the wrap around deform band for a little while, we could be in store for a little more snow. We just need to see how it all plays out. Here is that 12z NAM panel & another view of the snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, if we get into the wrap around deform band for a little while, we could be in store for a little more snow. We just need to see how it all plays out. Here is that 12z NAM panel & another view of the snow map. Icon is sort of on board as well though a bit warmer so the precip is there but not as much coverage of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Icon is sort of on board as well though a bit warmer so the precip is there but not as much coverage of snow. If we get any kind of intense band over us, I would not worry too much about surface temps. If it is a lot of light junk then yes. Of course the band would have to sit over an area for a time to cool everything down. Right now I'm hoping to see snow fall from the sky. Anything more would be great. I picked up 1.4 inches last weekend on a fluke event, maybe we can do the same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Sleeting pretty good up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Add to the fun...GFS snow map for tomorrow. NE PA is also snow from today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Add to the fun...GFS snow map for tomorrow. NOE PA is also snow from today. Where is our friend from Williamsport these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I have good amount of sleet mixing in with the rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Honestly I’m shocked. My temp dropped 3 degrees and im watching ice build on power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, daxx said: I have good amount of sleet mixing in with the rain here. Was just going to post the same thing. My temp is 32.4 now under the heavier rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 23 minutes ago, daxx said: I have good amount of sleet mixing in with the rain here. We had some way down here as well. Happened with the heavier rates. Temps dipped to 34 but now back up to 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I just saw the 12z GFS & it gets the LSV into the decent snow tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 The Short range Canadian models say yes to snow tomorrow in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Short range Canadian models say yes to snow tomorrow in the LSV. We know winter weather is near when the Herps Derps makes its first appearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 EC likes herself some Lancaster County. Bordering on a WSW level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I'm starting to get excited for tomorrow. Euro looked pretty damn good. It has snow falling almost all day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, daxx said: I'm starting to get excited for tomorrow. Euro looked pretty damn good. It has snow falling almost all day tomorrow. Looks like I picked a great day to work from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like I picked a great day to work from home. Lucky you! Still not set in stone where this sets up but it definitely has my attention now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, daxx said: Lucky you! Still not set in stone where this sets up but it definitely has my attention now. One thing I am going to point out...IF (stated in all Cap's with all the usual disclosures of what IF means) Lanco or really anyone in the LSV gets 4-6" of snow tomorrow and the rates are street stick worthy the NWS is going to be dished out some disdain. The Zone's say rain/snow showers ending by 1PM with a high of 41. Tomorrow is still a fairly busy travel day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Tomorrow probably will be an extreme gradient over Lancaster county, 6” to the East and virtually nothing for the western border. Happens very often in these setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: One thing I am going to point out...IF (stated in all Cap's with all the usual disclosures of what IF means) Lanco or really anyone in the LSV gets 4-6" of snow tomorrow and the rates are street stick worthy the NWS is going to be dished out some disdain. The Zone's say rain/snow showers ending by 1PM with a high of 41. Tomorrow is still a fairly buys travel day. This is all happening pretty fast on models. Last night I had very little interest with setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Tomorrow probably will be an extreme gradient over Lancaster county, 6” to the East and virtually nothing for the western border. Happens very often in these setups. Shut 'yo mouth, my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, daxx said: This is all happening pretty fast on models. Last night I had very little interest with setup. I think it was something they probably should have been warning about a few days but everyone's focus was on today when today was never really a threat with the warm weather preceding it. An inch or two of snow and no one will say much but a plow-able snow will bring about complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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