WNash Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 This is potentially the kind of northtowns crusher that we haven’t seen for a long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Idk man the 12z hi-res models have a little more southerly component to the wind especially Canadian it has that band all the way up to southern Niagara.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Idk man the 12z hi-res models have a little more southerly component to the wind especially Canadian it has that band all the way up to southern Niagara.. Relax...northtown crush job!!! Circa '85...been waiting 34 years for this again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 All 3 HRW models are crush jobs for Buffalo. 2-3' by just Wednesday morning. Wrf-arw Nmm Wrf-nssl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said: All 3 HRW models are crush jobs for Buffalo. 2-3' by just Wednesday morning wrf-arw nmm wrf-nssl I can’t open any of those on my iPhone. Hope BUF peeps have better luck as I usually have to wait until 2pm to see those products on tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I can’t open any of those on my iPhone. Hope BUF peeps have better luck as I usually have to wait until 2pm to see those products on tidbits Updated the post, so the links should be working now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Any views of the lake ice today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Global models look great for the southern tug and surrounding area's especially on Thursday/friday as the ggem/GFS/ukmet also go more "Westerly".. Cautiously optimistic as I wait for meso-models to start getting into range.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Relax...northtown crush job!!! Circa '85...been waiting 34 years for this again. That southerly component though.. Fine I'll relax lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, ayuud11 said: That southerly component though.. Fine I'll relax lol 85s highest totals were in southtowns, just sayin. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Channel 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 39 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Any views of the lake ice today? I'm not sure about satellite pictures, but the site I like to use to visualize lake ice was down for the last month because of the shutdown. The site is back on now, but the data is still a month old. It should come back on soon hopefully, because lake ice is my biggest worry at the moment. https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 I'm thinking those totals are quite conservative. If there was no lake ice, i'd say 3-4'. I think 20-30" is where I'm at now. This event last from Tues-Fri. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 I still don't see much ice from this link, only near Cleveland and along lake edges. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G16&sector=cgl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 This says otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I still don't see much ice from this link, only near Cleveland and along lake edges. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G16&sector=cgl There's a decent amount of ice in the western basin. You can see it in gray here. I still think this will be a solid event, however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Look at all that open water on Lake Ontario! So much fuel! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Look at all that open water on Lake Ontario! So much fuel! Ontario never freezes. Too deep. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 FV3 advertising two Colorado LP’s very similar to our last one over the next 2 weeks. First one goes a bit north and second one takes same track as our last big one. Something for those of us outside of LES to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 3km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Euro looks pretty good, not so much for the synoptic synoptic system more so for the LES, keeps the lake going until sat morning.. Obviously can't take the numbers verbatim, just like the look starting thursday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Next system on the euro is pretty much all mix/sleet thanks to strong HP coming down.. Squeeze play between SE ridge and Hp coming down from Canada.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Gets us again two days later lol May be some left over energy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Watch just upgraded to a warning...10 to 18 in the most persistent snows tomorrow afternoon through Thursday evening. Wind chill watch also in effect...starting to think many school closures coming from Wed thru Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 32 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Next system on the euro is pretty much all mix/sleet thanks to strong HP coming down.. Squeeze play between SE ridge and Hp coming down from Canada.. Good. That is exactly what I was talking about yesterday in regards to needing some blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Wow, according to the warning, I could be looking at 3 to 4 feet by the end of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Share| Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 224 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 NYZ006-290330- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.190129T0300Z-190201T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.190129T0300Z-190201T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.A.0002.190130T1900Z-190131T2300Z/ Oswego- Including the city of Oswego 224 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected tonight through Tuesday night. Heavy lake effect snow expected Wednesday through Friday morning. Snow accumulations of 7 to 14 inches possible tonight through Tuesday night, with the greatest amounts on the Tug Hill Plateau. Snow accumulations of 2 to 3 feet expected Wednesday through Friday morning, with the greatest amounts on the Tug Hill Plateau. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph later Wednesday through Thursday, which may produce near blizzard conditions with severe blowing and drifting snow. Wind chills as low as 25 below zero possible. * WHERE...Oswego county. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday. For the Wind Chill Watch, from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 15 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below zero or colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Don't see a WSW for this duration very often: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Last nights winter weather advisory... https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 GENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 306 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 NYZ018-036-044-045-056-PAZ039-043-044-047-292015- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.190129T1200Z-190130T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0007.190129T0600Z-190130T0600Z/ Onondaga-Madison-Cortland-Chenango-Broome-Susquehanna-Wyoming- Lackawanna-Luzerne- Including the cities of Syracuse, Hamilton, Oneida, Cortland, Norwich, Binghamton, Hallstead, Montrose, Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre 306 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches expected. Snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour are possible at times Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Winds gusting up to 35 mph. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna, Wyoming, Lackawanna and Luzerne counties. In New York, Onondaga, Madison, Cortland, Chenango and Broome counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Tuesday to 1 AM EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very cold to even dangerously cold wind chills are expected to begin late Tuesday night and continue through at least Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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