BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 45 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: LOL, the event for tomorrow night through Thursday according to the Euro is now a ENY event, lol, this is getting better and better! Heck, I'd start rooting for a record low snowfall for 18-19' at this rate as every event has practically done everything to avoid the CWA so good job. We're down to amslab of ice on most trails and without any real precip on its way for CNY, after this brief but cold few days we warm and whatever's left will melt for sure and then we gotta start all over again and by that time we're in the second week of February, stick a fork in 18-19 and Buffalo wins the snowball contest! Can't post the Euro map so if Wolfie can then all will see. Maybe its a blip as it was steady for our area for days and now it went East by a considerable margin so.... So did 18Z GFS and Icon. Nam runs look good...but I will continue to be realistic (pessimistic) and go with globals, as the past two months have been underperformers. Thought I would have several additional feet by today. But, alas, several inches is all I have got the past week. Pathetic. Snowmobile clubs around here are already stopping grooming as it is down to ice. What a discouraging winter I picked to move here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 27 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That’s 4mm an hour which is 0.16” liquid equivalent an hour which if we take our roughly 20:1 snow ratio from our last lake effect event that’s about 3”/hr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 -40C 850 just North of Superior! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 20 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: That’s 4mm an hour which is 0.16” liquid equivalent an hour which if we take our roughly 20:1 snow ratio from our last lake effect event that’s about 3”/hr Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 the models are completely all over the place and we're 24hrs within start time of this next synoptic event, nuts seriously! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Wow...major warmth and rain waaay up into Canada for the beginning of next week on the Gfs models. Major thaw #3423543 for the winter? Better enjoy whatever snow we get. On a positive note...still very impressed with Redfield's clean up crews. Excellent job they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Wow...major warmth and rain waaay up into Canada for the beginning of next week on the Gfs models. Major thaw #3423543 for the winter? Better enjoy whatever snow we get. Yup rain up to the damn hudson bay. Next week is a complete trainwreck. Numerous rain chances, not just one. You can't make this stuff up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, DeltaT13 said: Yup rain up to the damn hudson bay. Next week is a complete trainwreck. Numerous rain chances, not just one. You can't make this stuff up I can't say anything positive about this winter, so trying to refrain from whining any more. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Matt, I think you have a good shot at seeing this band, thats strenghtening to your North attm, drop South for a time later on at least thats what a few meso's are thinkin but we all know how that goes, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Bring it, 60-65 up into KSYR, on the EURO for Feb 5 can't wait, not! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Matt, I think you have a good shot at seeing this band, thats strenghtening to your North attm, drop South for a time later on at least thats what a few meso's are thinkin but we all know how that goes, lol! I appreciate your encouragement....but, man...I thought all you had to was sneeze and snow fell on the Tug. So far, it's been like trying to pull snot out to get some snow off Lake Ontario here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Man I've been here for 15yrs and this is the first yr I haven't seen a blockbuster event thus far and you can go back and look too, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 So much for the Erie band dying out... It’s intensifying once again... lol they just put up a WWA for southern tier!URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Buffalo NY626 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019NYZ019-020-085-280730-/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190128T0900Z/Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park,and Springville626 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.* WHERE... Northern Chautauqua, Northwestern Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie counties.* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 First yr both you and Wolfie move and its a shut out thus far for the both of you so thats just nuts, seriously though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: So much for the Erie band dying out... It’s intensifying once again... lol they just put up a WWA for southern tier! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 626 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ019-020-085-280730- /O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190128T0900Z/ Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 626 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE... Northern Chautauqua, Northwestern Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. . The lake definitley has plenty of juice left in it! On channel 4 they just said about 65% of the lake is still ice free. During the Jan 2014 event there was about 60% ice free so pretty similar ice conditions for this set up and similar temperatures, just not sure about moisture or wind shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 Langford and north Collins has to get a foot of snow today. Band has been there all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Edit: Actually Jan 2014 was 60% ice covered not 60% ice free so we have more open waters now than during that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Man I've been here for 15yrs and this is the first yr I haven't seen a blockbuster event thus far and you can go back and look too, lol! Didn’t you have 2 synoptic systems give you 15-18” already? November and then last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, WesterlyWx said: Edit: Actually Jan 2014 was 60% ice covered not 60% ice free so we have more open waters now than during that event. We have way less ice this time then last. Even the Ice near Cleveland isn’t solid it’s chunks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Didn’t you have 2 synoptic systems give you 15-18” already? November and then last week. I got under a foot the last event 8.8" to be exact so no where near the totals WNY and KROC jacked so..... we're running 10-15" below the norm but whatever as I'm not too concerned as one event changes that all so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Going out with BuffaloWeather right now to chase that band in North Collins. Band looks fantastic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Going out with BuffaloWeather right now to chase that band in North Collins. Band looks fantastic! Have fun, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Bring it, 60-65 up into KSYR, on the EURO for Feb 5 can't wait, not! Pretty much done with winter here. Cold with occasional flurries or SN- isn't all that exciting TBH. Fortunately, I have a golf trip to Arizona later in Feb. Maybe when I get back I'll bring the Torch with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 50 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Going out with BuffaloWeather right now to chase that band in North Collins. Band looks fantastic! Snow must be really piling up down there, been more or less in a band all day. Look forward to your report! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Didn’t you have 2 synoptic systems give you 15-18” already? November and then last week. We've had 2 decent to good events as you've mentioned. We are tracking roughly normal for snowfall with almost 2 months of winter left. So it's far from a disaster here. We ground out 12-13" over a couple days last weekend, despite disappointing synoptic snowfall in our immediate area (Syracuse city had noticeably more!). Personally I dont care much about LES as it's usually transient and more or less window dressing here. Which to be clear, is a cool thing for us snow lovers, but it's not like we get blockbuster snow on WNW flow events or "ye olde broom" events that start north and fall off the lake heading south while reorienting to NW flow multi bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Great looking band. Gotta be 2”/hr+ in there. Silver Creek up to Evangola our to North Collins and Boston. Looks pretty locked in. Go figure another overachiever the models and Mets missed. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Great looking band. Gotta be 2”/hr+ in there. Silver Creek up to Evangola our to North Collins and Boston. Looks pretty locked in. Go figure another overachiever the models and Mets missed. . Glad to see Buffalo / WNY getting plastered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 KSYR is below normal thats all I know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now