HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s overdone but something is being sampled that is making all guidance amped more and more today. Yeah, you can't just dismiss it outright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 How is the Cape looking for all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Compromise here is freezing rain all the way to southern Vermont New Hampshire and just an ice storm for everybody with a cold boundary layer .... the GFS being right above and wrong below and then the euro or whatever being sort of the opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, you can't just dismiss it outright. I don't think I'd make any changes until seeing the euro. I mean, we're talking the GFS here people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even much colder models like the NAM put ORH at like 22/5 before the precip moves in, and then just a few hours later by 06z they are 25F and then are 30F by 09z....really hard to believe. Where did the single digit dewpoints go? They didn't go into wetbulbing apparently....lol. I mean unless there's a reason for this thing to track over I-84 it seems hard to buy that track. Maybe there is and I'm missing something. Take this sucker over Long Island and set up the coastal front offshore you're going to be dealing with a nice stream of Arctic air.... remember those time-height cross sections Dendrite posted?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I stand with Will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: If it's correct it will probably make for a solid Will melt job. That would be a first to ever see a sfc low go into an arctic high like that over interior SNE despite strong confluence to the north. The annoying part about it is that it sort-of kind-of has the right idea at 30 hours....you can see it's trying to drag the isobars out to the east along the sfc front....but then it just totally loses that sig in the next frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Never thought I'd see my favorite team's kicker on this sub-forum of all places lol. A+ meme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: I stand with Will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 We ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: I mean unless there's a reason for this thing to track over I-84 it seems hard to buy that track. Maybe there is and I'm missing something. Take this sucker over Long Island and set up the coastal front offshore you're going to be dealing with a nice stream of Arctic air.... remember those time-height cross sections Dendrite posted?? Just went to coolwx it has .30 of ZR for BDL on the 0z NAM ...18Z had none hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 LOL Cranky pretty much just took all snow out of coastal SNE. He thinks it’s the convection pumping the ridge that’s causing problems but I’m not buying that theory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I don't think I'd make any changes until seeing the euro. I mean, we're talking the GFS here people. also be watching the mesos for any dramatic moves further NW but yah Euro holding serve would be nice. No matter what happens, at least it's a lock that my yard will have exponentially more snow otg Sunday than it does tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: I have CRS disease, But if he had one, I bet i wouldn't forget it.............. Oh 32.1 in 2010 was one never forgotten or even his Euro pay melt was a classic. This might be the burp runs that Scott Simard loved. Watch for a Messenger correction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Just went to coolwx it has .30 of ZR for BDL on the 0z NAM ...18Z had none hmmm kbed 0.8 snow and 0.8 sleet so question - 0.8" sleet would amount to what? 0.8" of sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: LOL Cranky pretty much just took all snow out of coastal SNE. He thinks it’s the convection pumping the ridge that’s causing problems but I’m not buying that theory Cat 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: We ZR. If some places do get a half inch or more there's going to be more problems than usual.. the wind should kick up pretty good as the storm departs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: LOL Cranky pretty much just took all snow out of coastal SNE. He thinks it’s the convection pumping the ridge that’s causing problems but I’m not buying that theory He's the worst. How about the first 0.3" or 0.4" of liquid when 850s start out at like -8C lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: If some places do get a half inch or more there's going to be more problems than usual.. the wind should kick up pretty good as the storm departs Yeah that's interesting. So often with ZR we start oozing above 32F and melting stuff before the wind kicks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: kbded 0.8 snow and 0.8 sleet so question - 0.8" sleet would amount to what? 0.8" of sleet? 4 to 1 so 3.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: kbed 0.8 snow and 0.8 sleet so question - 0.8" sleet would amount to what? 0.8" of sleet? I usually go 3:1 so 2.4-3" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 4 to 1 so 3.2 Thanks, Sleet party! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: He's the worst. How about the first 0.3" or 0.4" of liquid when 850s start out at like -8C lol Probably concerned the trends continue right up until real time. I’ve certainly seen it happen before. I think it was a bit extreme of a decision this early though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Consternation over? Snow or a cold blayer though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I usually go 3:1 so 2.4-3" or so. OK, my dog might not like it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I usually go 3:1 so 2.4-3" or so. Just looked at my Vday 07 was 3.2 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Between 36 and 42 hours the NAM has an interesting follow-up burst of moderate- it's kind a new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: He's the worst. How about the first 0.3" or 0.4" of liquid when 850s start out at like -8C lol The front end thump really hasn't changed that much on these warmer runs aloft...the impact on them seems to be more after 06z there and 09z up here....how far north in penetrates. But it still keeps going in the 6-8" range here...occasionally a 10 spot from some guidance and seems to be consistently 4-6 down in N CT. The warmer runs seem to erode it more in S CT and then cut it back in N MA to S NH a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lol Ryan mentioned on TV rain here in Moosup, thanks. He brought them down. 0.0 on the ice now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: He's the worst. How about the first 0.3" or 0.4" of liquid when 850s start out at like -8C lol Cat 1 lives on the Cape the anti James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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