Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: Honestly looking forward to next weeks storm also. Grand Rapids WFO said it is the more significant snow. Models can barely handle this storm that's a few days away so I wouldn't get excited about anything next week yet. Lol. It will be an active pattern but how significant remains to be seen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 JymGanahlRocks...I see you've migrated from WXDisco 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I like the UKI's LE near the Chicago metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpfalcon Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Migrated over from WXDisco too, shame the server crashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowOhio Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Transplant as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Southern stream faster at H5. 12z GFS should come south. Edit: Ends up in a similar spot at 6z at hour 66 though slightly faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Hour 72 of 12z GFS is not as positively tilted & doesn't dig as much as 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Upper Low closes off over Arkansas at hour 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 998mb in Eastern KY...A bit more amped compared to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Stronger LP also. GFS has been pretty consistent with the heavy snow axis for the most part. Very eager to see the next runs with sampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 995mb in central WV...Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Nice lake effect signal for NE IL on Saturday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Sure this is a question with a lot of unknowns given the models, but for N IL does this look to be more of a matter of timing (i.e. starting later) or amounts? I get both are related, just trying to figure out how bad Saturday morning could potentially be in NE IL. Have to make a decision if I'm going to stay overnight or try to drive home in what seems to be like the middle of the storm Saturday morning. Appreciate any crystal ball reads given the latest models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS snows by 12z Sunday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 is this THE gym ganahl.... or just a fan?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpfalcon Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, JymGanahlRocks said: GFS snows by 12z Sunday: I'm good with a 5-8" event here. Still awaiting sampling tomorrow before I believe anything the models are putting out. My guess is they correct slightly towards the solutions Monday and early Tuesday were showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12z Canadian takes a hard turn to the left... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: is this THE gym ganahl.... or just a fan?? Ha! Nope, not the real deal. Just my favorite local met growing up in the 80s/90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amt5626 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: 12z Canadian takes a hard turn to the left... Actually looks like the northern branch trough is trending more negatively tilted in recent runs, preventing a cleaner phase. Snow axis looks to shift south a tad, but more QPF in general. Likely due to the more neutral southern branch producing a somewhat stronger storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Always have liked these GEM 4panel plots. The northern s/w isn't as good as before but still not bad. Pretty good widespread hit with some higher end snows for OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, JymGanahlRocks said: Ha! Nope, not the real deal. Just my favorite local met growing up in the 80s/90s As a snow weenie in Columbus, you gotta love Jym. He gets more excited about snowstorms than I do. He moved to Columbus in 78 following the Blizzard. He often tells the story that after the Blizzard caught so many people here off guard, the local news channel, (I think it was NBC), fired their met and specifically searched for a met from a colder market. He was working in Iowa and that's the main reason he got hired. sorry for the thread jack Back to the storm.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 much better run good to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Southern stream faster at H5. 12z GFS should come south. Edit: Ends up in a similar spot at 6z at hour 66 though slightly faster.The 12z GFS came north.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The progression of SLP on the FV3 is exceptionally confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The 12z GFS came north. . The 12z GFS was south of the 6z up until hour 66, at which point SLP was northeast of the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustMePatrick Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Nice little reminder from the folks over at NWS Cleveland. It will be interesting once the models have this data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The 12z GFS was south of the 6z up until hour 66, at which point SLP was northeast of the 6z run. Stop looking at just the surface.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, mimillman said: Nice lake effect signal for NE IL on Saturday night Parameters would support 1-2" per hour type rates in the heart of the band once it gets cranking, so storm total amounts could be high end if it stalls anywhere for a prolonged period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ensembles from today's 12z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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