JustMePatrick Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Jeez the local CBS station in Toledo going with 3-6” for this one. That sounds crazy just going on moisture availability alone honestly. I mean while a legit blizzard with 10-15” would be awesome from an enjoyment standpoint, it’s hard to fathom predicting what amounts to a strong clipper out of thisToledo specifically is 3 to 6. South, Findlay area is still in the 6 to 12 zone. Models have consistently showing around 10 inches. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 23 minutes ago, mimillman said: I hate spring. If winter could live forever I’d wish it upon us all We are alike. Winter is my favorite. I dont want it all year but i definitely hate spring. I could TOTALLY do winter winter summer fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: We are alike. Winter is my favorite. I dont want it all year but i definitely hate spring. I could TOTALLY do winter winter summer fall You are obviously not a baseball fan and dont like to see flowers bloom ! I love spring because of those 2 things. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Hi all, just joining the page as WXDisco page crashed last night and still doesn't have it up and running. Came over from WeatherMatrix then to Accuweather forums. Trying to get up to speed as far as runs from last night. Went to bed with 7-11 and woke up this morning to 2-4. I did read that the model runs from yesterday/last night needed to be taken with a grain of salt as the current energy for the thursday system has been sampled and is skewing the energy of the coast. Once that is sampled they stated to look for the corrections back in the original direction with some obvious slight shifts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohioamy Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: Hi all, just joining the page as WXDisco page crashed last night and still doesn't have it up and running. Came over from WeatherMatrix then to Accuweather forums. Trying to get up to speed as far as runs from last night. Went to bed with 7-11 and woke up this morning to 2-4. I did read that the model runs from yesterday/last night needed to be taken with a grain of salt as the current energy for the thursday system has been sampled and is skewing the energy of the coast. Once that is sampled they stated to look for the corrections back in the original direction with some obvious slight shifts. I'm here, too (BuckeyeGal). The Euro shifted south.. and many forecasts/mets hinge their bets on it. Guessing why that happened. But everything is still up in the air. No need to feel like that's set in stone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 38 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: You are obviously not a baseball fan and dont like to see flowers bloom ! I love spring because of those 2 things. I'm a huge baseball fan haha. Just hate Spring and all the allergies that it comes with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On the bright side.. Regionally, the area has been Zzzzz for so long just a coating would be a nice reminder of the season we are in. The next 300+ hours look to be an weenies run of the ages. If Thursdays system continues to trend stronger then the southern weaker scenario would hold with merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, DAFF said: On the bright side.. Regionally, the area has been Zzzzz for so long just a coating would be a nice reminder of the season we are in. The next 300+ hours look to be an weenies run of the ages. If Thursdays system continues to trend stronger then the southern weaker scenario would hold with merit. I don’t think that’s the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, ohioamy said: I'm here, too (BuckeyeGal). The Euro shifted south.. and many forecasts/mets hinge their bets on it. Guessing why that happened. But everything is still up in the air. No need to feel like that's set in stone. I was in panic this morning, lol. I was even a donor but didn't do a whole lot to get me on there :). 68 pages worth of great info, no longer accessible. I've been trying to find the EURO maps and no dice so far aside from the MSLP map with LP positions. I know a lot of the data from the latest runs will obviously have the southern stream as the prominent force in this storm as the other energy is still not sampled. I think there may be a phasing issue with this storm as well. Here's to hoping late tonight, early Thurs. the sampling gets a good handle on this. I was cautiously optimistic for our area and I can see why no mets are really doing much with this until they have the data from the WC energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12z NAM good for a few inches at least across much of the sub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohioamy Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: I was in panic this morning, lol. I was even a donor but didn't do a whole lot to get me on there :). 68 pages worth of great info, no longer accessible. I've been trying to find the EURO maps and no dice so far aside from the MSLP map with LP positions. I know a lot of the data from the latest runs will obviously have the southern stream as the prominent force in this storm as the other energy is still not sampled. I think there may be a phasing issue with this storm as well. Here's to hoping late tonight, early Thurs. the sampling gets a good handle on this. I was cautiously optimistic for our area and I can see why no mets are really doing much with this until they have the data from the WC energy. Check weather.us. It's free. This is a close-up of Ohio's snow depth from the 0Z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, mimillman said: 12z NAM good for a few inches at least across much of the sub Looks to be further north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, ryanmkay said: Looks to be further north as well. Much much further north than 06Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Much much further north than 06Z Good trend in the right direction at least. NAM at hour 78 is like the GFS at hour 300. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12z NAM with a decent jump north.Northern stream was slower, and southern stream trough didn’t dig as deep, along with the wave rounding the base much more this run. Additionally, waves ejecting out ahead of the main southern wave were stronger, and bridged the gap between the southern and northern waves, allowing for some slight phasing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, ohioamy said: Check weather.us. It's free. This is a close-up of Ohio's snow depth from the 0Z Euro. Says it's 12.99 a month. I use wxbell so it doesn't matter to me, but it does tell me it's 12.99 a month with a free trial period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The NAM isn’t bad. Warning criteria snow in N IL, IA. Huge changes from 00z atleast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12z NAM actually reminds me of the GFS runs from a few days ago, with no huge numbers along I-80 in IA/IL/IN but respectable totals with decent ratios. Would take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohioamy Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: Says it's 12.99 a month. I use wxbell so it doesn't matter to me, but it does tell me it's 12.99 a month with a free trial period. Really? I've never paid anything and have always had access to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: I would take 7.9 and run as fast as I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncwxlvr Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, ohioamy said: Really? I've never paid anything and have always had access to it. Same here. Been using it free for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ICON looks decent..also notice the WAA wing stalled over N IL ahead of the system..some models have this north which was why N IL got the screw zone in some runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 SREF plumes took a pretty big jump...mean is 6.3 and some totals exceed 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Honestly looking forward to next weeks storm also. Grand Rapids WFO said it is the more significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 IWX AFD's thoughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 0z Euro & 6"+ probability: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Here is what the 0z UKMET showed for those that missed it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiptonMike Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, JymGanahlRocks said: 0z Euro & 6"+ probability: So in C/IN does this include the 1-2" with Thursday's system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JymGanahlRocks Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, TiptonMike said: Yes, that map includes the 1-2" from tomorrow's weak system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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