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Upstate Tiger

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

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3 minutes ago, jjwxman said:

This is the way. 

Dont get me wrong I'm usually team Euro but with a blizzard being a remote possibility had to root hard for the Gfs. 

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GFS... All the wrong trends were there. As Bill Belichek would say... we're on to New Years.
I freaking hate the Pats... But you can't argue with Bill...

Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk

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7 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

What in the Sam hill...ada7e14ed4a8c47f9db0ed04c8b8b239.jpg

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The system just... disappeared...

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18 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Dont get me wrong I'm usually team Euro but with a blizzard being a remote possibility had to root hard for the Gfs. 

I know the GFS has always had it’s biases and issues, but the last 24 hours of runs have been very anomalous even for the GFS.  

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All i see snow wise is some wrap around snow for the mtns on the 29th in fantasy land and some cold air.. lots of rain though...

 

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Does anyone remember the Christmas Eve storm in 2009 The GFS lost it for several runs then reappeared for Christmas Night.

 

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12z ICON coming in cooler around WNC with some snow at the onset of precipitation.  Several 0z Euro Ensemble members also had this idea.  I think that this one is far from over.

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4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

GFS stays really suppressed this run

The GFS is notorious for suppressing  storms at this range. 

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CMC hammers central NC. All the models seem to be trending better with high placement on Saturday morning.  I haven't thrown in the towel yet.

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Canadian was interesting.

Looking at 500mb vort on the 6z Euro, if 12z pans out that way the 6z was at the end of the run, it will look a little different in the Carolinas on the 12z. We will see.

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