Brian5671 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 discuss here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 5, 2018 Author Share Posted September 5, 2018 current forecast...NHC has it weakening a bit in 2-3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Ukie is pretty far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Ukie is pretty far south The UKMET is a southern outlier right now, but the pattern continues to strongly argue for East Coast interests to watch Florence. The 0z EPS vividly illustrated the risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 12z Euro has landfall further north into the Del Marva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Euro is a very bad Scenario for the metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 1 minute ago, BlizzardNYC said: Euro is a very bad Scenario for the metro area Euro at 204 is a devastating scenario. Storm rides north up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Looks like a loop at the end of the run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East of the Parkway Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 This frame on the GFS i.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 12z euro never technically makes landfall. Storm gets tucked in just off the coast of Delaware around hour 200 then spins around in that area through the end of the run. Actually moving SE at hr 228. This should be a interesting week of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Euro is a disaster for Delaware and south New Jersey not New York City. Our region gets into some swells and some rain but definitely not devastating or something to write about! Stop giving false information. Jeez! I would think you guys knew how to read a model run by now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Just now, NewYorkweatherfan said: Euro is bad for Delaware and south New Jersey not New York City. Stop giving up false information. Jeez! I would think you guys knew how to read a model run by now! It's bad for everyone Relax yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's bad for everyone Relax yourself No it isn’t it’s bad but not disastrous! It’s disastrous if you’re talking about south jersey and Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 26 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: No it isn’t it’s bad but not disastrous! It’s disastrous if you’re talking about south jersey and Delaware. Meh we aren't far away from NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Cat 4 130 mph with 5pm advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 +2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Ok guys I’ll shut up sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 38 minutes ago, snow1 said: Why is this guy still allowed to post this nonsense? Same reason we allow you to post after last winter. Let's get this thread back on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 41 minutes ago, Rjay said: Same reason we allow you to post after last winter. Let's get this thread back on track. It's going to be a long fall/winter on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Guess nobody here saw the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Guess nobody here saw the 18z GFS Wow GFS is similiar to the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 gfs has a cat 5 930 storm sitting south of ocean city md. north carolina/VA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Similiar path as Sandy but of course a different evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Similiar path as Sandy but of course a different evolution futher south up the Chesapeake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sportybx Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 The next 8 days should be interesting if this pans out . From VA to Long Island should see some interesting weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Cape May Crusher! Fun to look at...but 200 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 My prediction: this board will crash at least once this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Wow South Jersey and Delaware look like bullseye according to GFS 18z and euro. Very epic storm if that were to happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 Allot of model hugging just like during the winter. the gfs is way over doing intensity once it gets close into the coast. We saw exactly that with Irene and allot of people got burned with the doomsday predictions. The same thing happened with Gloria In 85. It takes a near perfect evolution to get anything more then a low end cat 1 into our region. (See hurricane of 38) Sandy had the aide of baroclynicity, which wouldn’t be much of a factor here with a more pure tropical storm. Anything that gets close to the coast north of the Gulf Stream mixes up cold shelf waters rapidly. So any talk about our waters being above normal is pretty mute. You really need to see a storm get sling shot in and through (again see 38) Right now I want to focus on what’s going on with the WAR. There is still a good chance this thing finds a weakness and escapes. The one good thing for those wanting mayhem is the tendency for the strength of the WAR to be stronger then modeled in the long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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