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TauntonBlizzard2013

January 29/30 snow event

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GFS wasn't actually much of a shift, but did throw lighter snows west. Reggie may be a little nuts, but the other guidance isn't far from that when taking mid levels into account.

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There is def a pretty sizeable difference between GFS/Euro and the others (Ukie/NAM/GGEM/RGEM). But everything is trending west. 

That's like the animal house combo. 

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6 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said:

Box isn't buying Reggie. They're chucking Billy bars and they're limiting accumulating snow to se ma south of Brockton according to their accumulation map.

Gotta look who’s on the desk . Every model has snow at least back to west of the river and they have 0” for ORH :lol:

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Been out ice fishing today, All i needed to see was who started the tread to know that models went west and what areas were seeing snow...............lol

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48 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I think this is coming. If we can trend this up until go time... could be a good storm for many.

I just fear the last minute slide east.

We all do.  Never thought I'd hear that from someone in SE Mass, lol.

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That's like the animal house combo. 

Yeah they get loaded on booze and then go all Ron Washington on us. Sometimes they can lead steep trends though...ala 2/5/16. Euro and GFS were def slower than the John Belushi contingent. 

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

We all do.  Never thought I'd hear that from someone in SE Mass, lol.

At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. 

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. 

It definitely may have visited Ron Washington's office before running. 

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Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Isn't it inside its wheelhouse now?

Yeah getting there. But I'd def prefer to see it again at 00z and then I may buy it. 

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4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Isn't it inside its wheelhouse now?

Closer. It was encouraging it came west, but could very well have been a little too excited.

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WWA's for south shore, southern Plymouth and the Cape for 2-4" locally higher. Wouldn't be surprised to see those expanded NW a tier but I wouldn't pull the trigger yet given what we've seen so far - I really want to see one more tick west before I get excited for anything more than some SHSN here.

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. 

I will say this winter has given no clear "winner" in terms of guidance.... there's been no model that has been schooling the others so you can't really lean on anything.

The EURO hasn't felt like a King, the GFS who knows, maybe the NAM scores the coup once in a while, the RGEM has been all over the place, etc.  It's been a crazy winter for wild swings in models.

 

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If I remember correctly, the RGEM was consistently dry compared to most models in the run up to the blizzard earlier this month.  Let's hope it isn't wrong in the opposite direction this time.

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Wow BOX took all mention of snow out the hartford zone and slight chance for OKX in CT. 

For people saying they aren't buying the 18Z rgem/nam, the forecast most likely only included the 12z suite, those models were just coming out after their forecasts were just being finalized, i.e. zones, grids, maps, headlines were on the streets...

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This season's pattern is for these things to keep trending west until I get rain.
Yeah I'm not holding out any hope. Although my timehop from Jan 26 2015 was encouraging.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

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1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Add NAVGEM to the big bump at 18z.

ICON as well. Hopefully quantity wins over quality in this model battle :)

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