RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. What a weenie Check the last 3 runs of the op, post it, then we talk over a double IPA and break bread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3K NAM is nice in SE MA. Maybe Diane finally gets her storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 If 12z bumps west again, I’ll start a thread. Itll be close.... some models are not far away from giving PVD Boston and SE a decent little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Is it just me, or does this season have a hell of a lot of uncertainty...very close in. We’ve had this issue with quite a few systems this winter it seems so far..36 hours out and we still don’t know if it will snow or not in a lot of places???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Check the last 3 runs of the op, post it, then we talk over a double IPA and break bread. Why are we using op runs 5 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Looks like RGEM will be west of 6z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Is it just me, or does this season have a hell of a lot of uncertainty...very close in. We’ve had this issue with quite a few systems this winter it seems so far..36 hours out and we still don’t know if it will snow or not in a lot of places???? Tippy's fast flow theory for the win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Tippy's fast flow theory for the win? It's definitely fast flow with disturbances coming down from NW Canada. Not exactly a recipe for model stability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If 12z bumps west again, I’ll start a thread. Itll be close.... some models are not far away from giving PVD Boston and SE a decent little event. See what happens. SREF Plumes are a genral 3-5" in SE MA. NAM is just SE of us. HiRes NAM is 2-4". RGEM at 06z was still juiced. 06z GFS was 2-4, Euro was nada. Models are all over the place so we focus on MLs and see if we can wring out some moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 RGEM is nice for SE MA. Better than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Might be flirting wh advisory snows in SE MA on rgem. Pretty nice ML sig there for several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 What about for the rest of the area...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 NAM tries to close off H7-H6 over ern/ctrl MA into ern CT. Might be something to watch further west as well. I know QPF does not reflect it, but we all know the caveats with those features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: What about for the rest of the area...? Can't rule out a little light snow, but obviously tougher out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: What about for the rest of the area...? 1-2” for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: What about for the rest of the area...? Pretty much nada from river on west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Can't rule out a little light snow, but obviously tougher out that way. Ya that’s what I figured. Thanks. Sure hope your pneumonia is improving some too Scott...take care and get healthy soon please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-2” for you 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty much nada from river on west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-2” for you If the rest of the 12z suite comes West I’ll believe that....but as of now I’m thinking what Will said ....Nada. But i hope you’re right Kevin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that’s what I figured. Thanks. Sure hope your pneumonia is improving some too Scott...take care and get healthy soon please. Finally got the right meds so improving luckily. Thanks and hope snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: If the rest of the 12z suite comes West I’ll believe that....but as of now I’m thinking what Will said ....Nada. But i hope you’re right Kevin... You could still score an inch or two. But I was describing the rgem. Didn't have anything from about central CT on west. But that doesn't mean we can't tick a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 You'd think that H5 s/w induced snow over PA would just meander east and blossom with the stuff in srn areas, but it gets pulled SE last minute. That is nasty looking in PA. Has the look of a 60 car pileup on I-80 as temps drop in S+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: You could still score an inch or two. But I was describing the rgem. Didn't have anything from about central CT on west. But that doesn't mean we can't tick a bit more. I'm not seeing any model showing meaningful snows outside of SE MA and CC right now. GFS seems to the most robust with the MLs look so perhaps it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Forecast not queening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm not seeing any model showing meaningful snows outside of SE MA and CC right now. GFS seems to the most robust with the MLs look so perhaps it right. Yeah nothing has good snow to the west of 95 right now. Not convinced it won't tick a bit more though. It's a pretty strong shortwave. So I wouldn't be surprised. But we will see. We're running out of time for big shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Forecast not queening I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 12z GFS looks better early on two. What I have noticed, is that my sh(*t streak is sliding east, and that Plains s/w is diving a bit more S and W..thus causing heights in the east to be a bit higher...AKA more western positioning of the srfc low. Like Will said, no bog jumps, but anything helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Yeah def a little better. We still need more help NW of 95 but southeast areas are def looking more likely for potential advisory snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Thought it would be a bit better, but we'll take it I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Not 12"+ but I guess I take what the GFS just sold me. Tightened up the gradient on the western periphery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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