mackerel_sky Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So what you’re saying is pack posted #fakenews? All he ever posts! His snowman already melted, he's bitter! Nothing on long range models screams 70s, so I think we're fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Solak said: From the NC Climate Office blog today... This weekend, a reinforcing shot of cold air is on the way, and parts of the Coastal Plain with snow still on the ground could be looking at some of their coldest temperatures in years. Sunday morning's forecasted low in Edenton is 5°F. The last time temperatures dropped that low there was almost 22 years ago on February 5, 1996, and that station has only been that cold seven times since 1872. Rare air, indeed. http://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=251 They are calling for us to be close to 5F Sunday morning also. I will be our coldest since Christmas 1989 if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 29 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So what you’re saying is pack posted #fakenews? LOL...I posted the 850 map, GEPS 850's looks like the GEFS too. This is a warm pattern in the extended whatever model you look at. JMA seasonal weeks 3 and 4 makes the pattern below look frigid. http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/pztmap.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Interesting look at day 6 on the EPS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 16 minutes ago, packbacker said: LOL...I posted the 850 map, GEPS 850's looks like the GEFS too. This is a warm pattern in the extended whatever model you look at. JMA seasonal weeks 3 and 4 makes the pattern below look frigid. http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/pztmap.php I don’t feel the 850s when I walk out my door. I dress for the 2ms lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: I don’t feel the 850s when I walk out my door. I dress for the 2ms lol Heats coming there too...bundle up. Takes time to evacuate all the cold air to Russia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 While that does look interesting at 144, there isnt a single member even close to bringing anything interesting. That is 0 for 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Heights still look pretty low in the SE for the next 10 days on the Euro.For years I've always used the 582dm height line for a barometer,if that's in central or S.Florida it won't get too warm usually. We could see a few days late next week run slightly above normal though.Just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So what you’re saying is pack posted #fakenews? Pack has an oversupply of preemergent that he desperately wants to unload. He thought mid December was looking good. Then, it got pushed back to Merry Torchmas. Then it got pushed back to Happy New Thaw. Now, it just has to be mid-January pattern flip. After that it will be Winter cancel Fab Feb...and so on! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Also, there's a snow mean on the 12z euro ensemble of 0.1" for the next 15 days for much of the Piedmont in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 If I were 5000 ft tall, I guess my hair might be on fire in 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, Cold Rain said: If I were 5000 ft tall, I guess my hair might be on fire in 15 days. I bet you could have slowed our snow storm down a little too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I mean I think it will be warm in July in Waycross. #bold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: If I were 5000 ft tall, I guess my hair might be on fire in 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 For the record, I got no problem if the man wants to find a warm pattern and post about it. It’s a weather board, not a cold and snow board. To be fair, most of the LR data is rather discouraging after about two weeks out. But the truth is, the shadow of discouragement has been hanging over our heads threatening to permanently beset us this entire winter season so far, yet it has curiously remained just beyond reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I will delete my account if Charlotte gets an inch of snow before 2/1. It aint happening. Mark my words. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: I bet you could have slowed our snow storm down a little too. Lol @ snowstorm. The Cold Rain snow hole was in full effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, Cold Rain said: For the record, I got no problem if the man wants to find a warm pattern and post about it. It’s a weather board, not a cold and snow board. To be fair, most of the LR data is rather discouraging after about two weeks out. But the truth is, the shadow of discouragement has been hanging over our heads threatening to permanently beset us this entire winter season so far, yet it has curiously remained just beyond reach. Agree. And of course it’s going to warm up sometime, we don’t live in Buffalo. But even the 2m map of the euro he posted above shows 0-1 degree C above average here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: I will delete my account if Charlotte gets an inch of snow before 2/1. It aint happening. Mark my words. No way dude, don’t put that on the table. A good front end thump could lay that down no problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: No way dude, don’t put that on the table. A good front end thump could lay that down no problem. Given how the ensembles look, the general way winter is going and how the OPs look today, there's just no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: Given how the ensembles look, the general way winter is going and how the OPs look today, there's just no way. Yeah it looks doubtful for sure. Sometimes I wish we didn’t have long range models to look at. Instead of waking up every day with excitement to see what might happen, there’s a feeling of disappointment, confident that an entire month of prime winter real estate is going to go down the tubes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: For the record, I got no problem if the man wants to find a warm pattern and post about it. It’s a weather board, not a cold and snow board. To be fair, most of the LR data is rather discouraging after about two weeks out. But the truth is, the shadow of discouragement has been hanging over our heads threatening to permanently beset us this entire winter season so far, yet it has curiously remained just beyond reach. I don't know CR. That shadow of discouragement (snow hole with 1/4" of snow total) almost made me break something last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: I don't know CR. That shadow of discouragement (snow hole with 1/4" of snow total) almost made me break something last night. It’s cool man. I broke some stuff. It’s all good! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Not sure about Jan but it’s interesting that of similar strength -enso, 2013, 2012, 2009, 2008, 2006, 2001, 1997, 1996...they all had atleast minor events in Feb. So we will be tracking something in Feb I would hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 28 minutes ago, packbacker said: Not sure about Jan but it’s interesting that of similar strength -enso, 2013, 2012, 2009, 2008, 2006, 2001, 1997, 1996...they all had atleast minor events in Feb. So we will be tracking something in Feb I would hope. We will be tracking your torch maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I will delete my account if Charlotte gets an inch of snow before 2/1. It aint happening. Mark my words.Whoa! Hey, now, that's a little strong, man. Don't go that far, if you're wrong. That's like 25+ days in the future to predict. Lot can happen...Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Interesting distribution of snowfall throughout the South so far this season. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 5 members on the 18z GEFS have snow down in the Carolina's day 8-10. This is the most fun one... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 5 members on the 18z GEFS have snow down in the Carolina's day 8-10. This is the most fun one...We will overcome..... . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 5 members on the 18z GEFS have snow down in the Carolina's day 8-10. This is the most fun one...Someone has been hitting the bottle early. Cheers!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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