downeastnc Posted August 17, 2016 Share Posted August 17, 2016 7 hours ago, jshetley said: Those are 100 degree readings beyond day 10 on the 0z GFS. 6z is actually cooler. Thats a weird map and its not even close to these maps from Tropical Tidbits....here are the frames for the same 00Z time frame on Tropical Tidbits for Sept 2 op the 0Z and 12Z runs today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 13 hours ago, jshetley said: Those are 100 degree readings beyond day 10 on the 0z GFS. 6z is actually cooler. And no one believes that will verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 2 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: And no one believes that will verify 0Z GFS is awesome after Sunday, the pattern change looks real and locked in......gonna be low to mid 80'sfor most with DP's in the low 60 to mid 60's...... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2016081800&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=135 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Next week is going to feel great with lower 80s and drier air. Can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 The NWS is predicting a low of 66 on Monday night at RDU. If it verifies, it will be the coldest low there since June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 Will be seasonal for a few days coming up but it's going to be short lived. The roasting will continue into Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 5 hours ago, packbacker said: Will be seasonal for a few days coming up but it's going to be short lived. The roasting will continue into Sept. That's probably more like Oct BTW....I just love the red bullseye right over mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 With us all anticipating an early fall; our first week of September: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 ^ Whatever you do, Falls, do NOT post the GFS accumulated precip output for the run (particularly the 0Z run). You'd send Shetley right over the cliff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: ^ Whatever you do, Falls, do NOT post the GFS accumulated precip output for the run (particularly the 0Z run). You'd send Shetley right over the cliff! You dared me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 Ruh roh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 33 minutes ago, FallsLake said: With us all anticipating an early fall; our first week of September: Hopefully it's a hot, dry heat. I can handle temps around 90 and low dp's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 19 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Hopefully it's a hot, dry heat. I can handle temps around 90 and low dp's. 19 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Hopefully it's a hot, dry heat. I can handle temps around 90 and low dp's. Actually not horrible; at least from the 12z GFS. Looks like a lot of dew points in the 60s even some 50s during the 8-16 day period. http://www.twisterdata.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 The 0z GFS says the hottest weather of the entire summer is coming up. And it's also very dry too. It's showing 105+ almost up to the blue ridge in NC and over almost all of SC, GA, AL, and Miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 39 minutes ago, jshetley said: The 0z GFS says the hottest weather of the entire summer is coming up. And it's also very dry too. It's showing 105+ almost up to the blue ridge in NC and over almost all of SC, GA, AL, and Miss. 6z doesn't look great either. As shown on the CPC map above the SE is going to be hot going into the first part of September. This is really not abnormal. A couple of years back our hottest one week period was the first week of September. You can correlate the first week of September to the first week of March. First seven days or so of March is still a time to look/hope for winter storms. The first seven days or so of September you can still get full summer heat (and humidity). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 Unfortunately, it looks like the break from the heat will be short. I am enjoying the taste of fall in the mornings, and wish it would come and stay for good. If the heat comes back, I hope the rain stays away. I am tired of the heat and rain combo and having to cut grass when it feels like 100 every week. Come on, fall! We need you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 4 hours ago, FallsLake said: 6z doesn't look great either. As shown on the CPC map above the SE is going to be hot going into the first part of September. This is really not abnormal. A couple of years back our hottest one week period was the first week of September. You can correlate the first week of September to the first week of March. First seven days or so of March is still a time to look/hope for winter storms. The first seven days or so of September you can still get full summer heat (and humidity). I'm afraid it may last into October this year though. It would not shock me to see 94-97 in early Oct with 70-72 dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 4 hours ago, FallsLake said: 6z doesn't look great either. As shown on the CPC map above the SE is going to be hot going into the first part of September. This is really not abnormal. A couple of years back our hottest one week period was the first week of September. You can correlate the first week of September to the first week of March. First seven days or so of March is still a time to look/hope for winter storms. The first seven days or so of September you can still get full summer heat (and humidity). If that's the case then I expect to see some major cold spells in early September since there can be some pretty big warm spells in early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 8 minutes ago, jshetley said: I'm afraid it may last into October this year though. It would not shock me to see 94-97 in early Oct with 70-72 dewpoints. That would probably be the warmest temps in the history of records around here for October. Anything over 85 around here in early Oct is very unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 3 hours ago, jshetley said: I'm afraid it may last into October this year though. It would not shock me to see 94-97 in early Oct with 70-72 dewpoints. Take a break, Eeyore. No need to come here with bleak forecasts, 40+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Taking a look at the 6z GFS, it continues to show a hot pattern over the SE until at least day 12 or so. After that it does show some cool air especially for the northern parts (40s dew points in NC). Now at this range that's too far out to actually get excited; but we can hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Here in the Triad, we are now at the point where 90 degrees is much above normal, so 91 would be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: Here in the Triad, we are now at the point where 90 degrees is much above normal, so 91 would be a big deal. I do think we'll see a lot of 90s for the next two weeks. Lets just hope it breaks after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 High temperature stats for Charlotte. August 2016 number is actual + forecasted thru end of month. The numbers are well above normal this summer. Number of June-Aug 90+ degree days is 68 which is the highest on the chart. 2003 seems unimaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 One thing is we have had a lot of days in the 90s and heat indexes over 100 this summer, but we didn't have as many days with temps at 100 or above as we usually do, at least here. Seems we usually get a stretch like for 3 days with temps at 100. But I guess it all feels just as miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Yeah, Brick, it reminds of some recent winters wherein it was constantly cold, but no one really remembers it because it was not record-breaking Vodka cold. This summer has been consistently hot, but for most, it has lacked any air temperatures records or 100-degree temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 5 hours ago, Brick Tamland said: One thing is we have had a lot of days in the 90s and heat indexes over 100 this summer, but we didn't have as many days with temps at 100 or above as we usually do, at least here. Seems we usually get a stretch like for 3 days with temps at 100. But I guess it all feels just as miserable. At least if it gets into the 100s, it feels like you have bragging rights. Being consistently a few degrees above normal is less impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 Looking at the 6z GFS and it continues to show a hot pattern for the next couple of weeks. The only good thing I see is some lower dew point values (as low as 50s some days) for many interior sections in the far extended. So maybe more of a dry heat instead of hot and humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 2 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Looking at the 6z GFS and it continues to show a hot pattern for the next couple of weeks. The only good thing I see is some lower dew point values (as low as 50s some days) for many interior sections in the far extended. So maybe more of a dry heat instead of hot and humid. Very little rainfall. Bad time to be going into a drought, right before fall. It will mean that the leaves will be all brown and crusty instead of bright and vibrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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