Rjay Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 3 minutes ago, Jason WX said: 18z GFS captured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Just now, Rjay said: 12Z had maine, shifted west. any more and the nyc metro will get bombed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 1 minute ago, Jason WX said: 12Z had maine, shifted west. any more and the nyc metro will get bombed On this particular run Matthew transitions to an ET storm and the wind field really expands once up at our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 How do I get the high res GFS on Tropical Tidbits? I couldn't find the option for the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 20 minutes ago, Rjay said: On this particular run Matthew transitions to an ET storm and the wind field really expands once up at our latitude. Excellent point. Whatever is coming up this way will be transitioning and winds will be less compact, more expensive, albeit less strong. I can tell you the beaches are taking a pounding this week and there was significant erosion while hermine danced off shore. A track even 300 miles off shore will not help the situation down by our beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 18z Navgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 GEFS has interesting solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Kinda useless to talk location I guess, what an insanely difficult forecast. Lets see if it goes all Wilma on us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Kinda useless to talk location I guess, what an insanely difficult forecast. Lets see if it goes all Wilma on us lol 165 mph surface wind reported. Should be cat 5 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Guessing 160 at next advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Officially a CAT 5 now. 160 mph sustained with 195 mph gusts in the 11pm advisory. No models, not even one predicted it at CAT 5 strength right now. How will this effect the track if at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Pray for Jamaica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 4 hours ago, Rjay said: On this particular run Matthew transitions to an ET storm and the wind field really expands once up at our latitude. I work with a ton of Jamaicans. If this goes just 50 miles west it's a nightmare for Kingston. This has humanitarian crisis written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Wow when was the last time there was a cat 5 in the Atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Wow when was the last time there was a cat 5 in the Atlantic? 2007 if I am not mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Anything from the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, snow1 said: Anything from the gfs? Hurricane rides the coast Tons of rain and wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Yanksfan's wet dream on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 CMC hooks the storm back west from all the way out in the ocean and slams Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: CMC hooks the storm back west from all the way out in the ocean and slams Maine. So gfs is the only one showing a hit for us right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Hugs the coast from Florida to New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, snow1 said: So gfs is the only one showing a hit for us right now Verbatim yes, but the CMC showing this is a great sign (if you want this to happen). Its finally another model showing the phase/pin wheel solution, doesn't matter where it hits exactly, bottom line is it shows it actually happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 GEFS is also west and slams the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 For Ant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I'm hoping this hits only because I'm a weather enthusiast. Otherwise nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 40 knot onshore winds start kicking up near the coast , even when it's still down by S.C. (925mb) even this is probably underdone, considering no models are acknowledging it's current intensity - and as it nears the area - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just for giggles I would like to know what effect the winds on the GFS map at 192hrs would have on the area with full leaf out. Sandy was bad with 50/50 coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 euro is OTS. Hits Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 The 500mb trough just looks so weak on the GFS, I have a hard time seeing this thing actually phase at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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