Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Long range thread is getting complicated with an active period coming up. 0z models coming out soon. Let's figure out how we can pull an event off in an unusual way for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Go Bob! I tried the Weather Bell trial. I may be asking a lot of questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 If it was anyone else, I'd say "too soon!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll allow it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll allow it Yea, it's early but too many posts just today in the LR thread asking "what period are you taking about?". Trends are good. Setup is favoring a low tracking south. If it busts it busts. At least we'll have a concise documentary as to why it busted. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 If it was anyone else, I'd say "too soon!" Everybody knows the risk with northern stream miller Bs. A fail is not indicative of any correlation between thread-creating and produced snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Go Bob! I tried the Weather Bell trial. I may be asking a lot of questions. I'll pm you a list of links to really good panels that aren't obvious from the main Nav page. Wxbell has excellent graphics and panels but pretty dumb navigation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll allow itThe big kahuna has spoken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll pm you a list of links to really good panels that aren't obvious from the main Nav page. Wxbell has excellent graphics and panels but pretty dumb navigation. That would be greatly appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now we just need a radio show to knock a few more holes in the hull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now we just need a radio show to knock a few more holes in the hull. Like the three before the Blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now we just need a radio show to knock a few more holes in the hull. Last time they had a radio show I only got 2' when the GFS had me at 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Like the three before the Blizzard? This rule only applies to snowstorms I deem worthy of the rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Last time they had a radio show I only got 2' when the GFS had me at 30". Yeah but it came without warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Refreshing to admit this may be a big fail but to forge ahead and let the record speak. We already have the big one under our belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll go on record as saying this one won't be 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now we just need a radio show to knock a few more holes in the hull. We succeeded with the last radio show. This year we are 2 for 2 with no fail, of course both were for the blizzard. This is system has such a convoluted evolution it's built for a fail. Even within 24 to 48 hours it could go south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nalanthi Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 We succeeded with the last radio show. This year we are 2 for 2 with no fail, of course both were for the blizzard. This is system has such a convoluted evolution it's built for a fail. Even within 24 to 48 hours it could go south. Isn't south where we want the low? ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vance1167 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll go on record as saying this one won't be 30". Will it fringe the folks N & W tho? Sharp cutoff right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 The big kahuna has spoken. Is that what he calls it now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 We succeeded with the last radio show. This year we are 2 for 2 with no fail, of course both were for the blizzard. This is system has such a convoluted evolution it's built for a fail. Even within 24 to 48 hours it could go south. Yeah I was just playing around. I think it was the first radio show that things started really going bonkers before the blizzard. Good sign we were going to make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll go on record as saying this one won't be 30". Miller Light? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 00z GFS looks to be transferring the low in southern VA through H99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Good stuff. Another tick south on the gfs. We're nw of slp now. Coming in line with the euro evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Good stuff. Another tick south on the gfs. We're nw of slp now. Coming in line with the euro evolution. Yup, looking better with each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yup, looking better with each run Seems like the gfs is playing catch up right now. Euro os steady and gfs made a half step. We may just pull this thing off. Which is atypical at this lead for how it normally works. Still pretty fragile no matter how you slice it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Very solid run towards EURO et. other's solutions. Low is forming at a good spot for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Seems like the gfs is playing catch up right now. Euro os steady and gfs made a half step. We may just pull this thing off. Which is atypical at this lead for how it normally works. Still pretty fragile no matter how you slice it Yeah, with the GFS I'm just following low placement. Not worried about the precip distro yet. It's a solid step toward the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'll wait for the GEFS... but positive trend on the 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Ggem will do the trick I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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