Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Lots of transfers overhead and to the south showing up on the GEFS. Much better than 6z. Northern stream low jumped a good bit south of course. This is getting interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 SLP not in a good spot, but I imagine that is from some really tucked in members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 114 individ 114.png e4 plz, k thnx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Great trends! Next will be Dr No.. let's hope he says yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Cancel e4, I want e9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 GEFS are decent enough I guess snowfall wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohwxguy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 While the Canadian and UK models appear somewhat favorable for potential low pressure developing and tracking up the East Coast in the Monday/Tuesday timeframe, it's probably worth noting leading up to this potential system the temps across the mid Atlantic this weekend will be near 50 (possibly into the 50s). Even on Monday temps should be in the 40s. Rather than having surface high pressure anchored over the GL or NE to funnel colder air to us, the high is shunted up to Labrador on both the UKMet and GEM (with the later depicting less than ideal surface low over the lower GL, albeit weakening). So temps look marginal across the mid Atlantic, though the timing of a potential system during the overnight hours of Monday into Tuesday could prove helpful. Of course we're still several days away, so plenty can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 SLP not in a good spot, but I imagine that is from some really tucked in members. keep in mind with a northern stream miller b like this you want the slp tucked in close like that. These have a compact qpf field and the rain snow line is usually tucked in close to the low track and sometimes even east of it a bit. Different animal then a mature miller a out of the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Think psuhoffman mentioned it but I have to agree. I find it a little hard to believe that we see redevelopment happen inland which many of the members are showing. I think the more likely outcome is that we see that right on the coast. edit: Guess I need glasses. After glancing again it isn't quite as bad as I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 keep in mind with a northern stream miller b like this you want the slp tucked in close like that. These have a compact qpf field and the rain snow line is usually tucked in close to the low track and sometimes even east of it a bit. Different animal then a mature miller a out of the gulf. +1 yep good post... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Seems reasonable WTF? I just got back to computer after a boring ass meeting and I see this and UKMET? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Thru 60 doesn't look like EURO is as strong with the shortwave in the NW compared to GFS and others. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 9 minutes without an update. Peoples lives are depending on this guys... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 9 minutes without an update. Peoples lives are depending on this guys... Slower on Wxbell. It's more vigorous with the SE coastal low. at 84 hours it's 987 300 ESE of HAT. Clipper is 1000 MB just south of the UP of Michigan. Seems like the models that blow up the clipper are weaker and faster moving that SE SLP out of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h144&cu&cu&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro is deeper with the trough like the gfs. Southern wave a bit east. SLP popping in NC @ hr102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 at 102.. small SLP has popped in SW NC, 104 MB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Prolly naso great with broad trough, but I'm driving now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Wow, looks like GGEM to an extent lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The King has Returned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Heavy precip over your region @ 120 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Heavy precip over your region @ 120 hours Is this following the ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 at 102.. small SLP has popped in SW NC, 104 MB Oh man, 104mb!!! End of world? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Amazing trend @ H5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So Euro is good....i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The King has Returned Driving diminishes met skills. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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