ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Boy, I am shocked it changed from 18z. Yeah, lol... PV gets wrecked this run from that EPO block after D7. I'm skeptical but it shows that there's a lot of uncertainty out in early December...ensembles have had a lot of spread too. More than is typical for that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Can you just say Flint Bishop Airport Mi, I hate having to look it up, the Dendrite fetish lol Says the guy who has links to everything imaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2015 Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 Nah, apparently calling for half your normal snowfall is no longer cancelling winter. Try a third. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Says the guy who has links to everything imaginable. VOTV is at the tip of my tongue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2015 Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 Says the guy who has links to everything imaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 crazy times about to begin, hang on to the chariots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 I know right but he throws these obscure ids up every now and then and then of course you have to look it up. Its definitely a fetish for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 crazy times about to begin, hang on to the chariots My horse driven snow plow is ready for action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 My horse driven snow plow is ready for action. you may need this at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 I can throw a few obscure IDs up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Watch for an inverted trough somewhere, seems like a good setup for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 My favorite out west is K0CO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Pretty nice change on the 12z GEFS....they reload the EPO block around 300 hours...while the 00z didn't and was slowly eroding it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Watch for an inverted trough somewhere, seems like a good setup for that Yep the gfs was showing a norlun right over NYC next monday night lol but of course it'll change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 My favorite out west is K0CO KOCO got slammed last night great pics from their spotter of the backlit wedge, i like KCLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Most of the globals give some kind of snow to SNE on Sunday/Monday. I think some places get their first accums..somehow, someway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 You'll need this for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Most of the globals give some kind of snow to SNE on Sunday. I think some places get their first accums..somehow, someway like I said to you the other day, you were looking at roasted turkeys while ignoring the snow potential this weekend, you have not completed the transformation this year. are you having molting issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Pretty nice change on the 12z GEFS....they reload the EPO block around 300 hours...while the 00z didn't and was slowly eroding it. They're very unstable lately. They were trying to firehose the CONUS whole EPS were more into ridging out near AK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 like I said to you the other day, you were looking at roasted turkeys while ignoring the snow potential this weekend, you have not completed the transformation this year. are you having molting issues? Just don't want warmth on Giving. Nothing worse than a warm day with families outside in shirt sleeves and shorts ..Want them inside with a fire, football on, and cold and snow OTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 You'll need this for the winter. somebodies wall to wall torch Dec seems to be in trouble, even the crappy CFS now has Christmas week cold along with the Euro monthlies. Pretty neat stuff evolving, Sun went as quiet as Forky last winter, Epo dropping like Zeus's pajamas, PNA rising like Wiz's weenie at the sight of Miley Cyrus. Should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 GGEM snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 somebodies wall to wall torch Dec seems to be in trouble, even the crappy CFS now has Christmas week cold along with the Euro monthlies. Pretty neat stuff evolving, Sun went as quiet as Forky last winter, Epo dropping like Zeus's pajamas, PNA rising like Wiz's weenie at the sight of Miley Cyrus. Should be fun DTVaWeatherman @DTVaWeatherman EURO WEEKLIES show colder pattern for DEC 2015.. not severe cold but much colder than TYPICAL Strong El Nino DEC which favors torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 somebodies wall to wall torch Dec seems to be in trouble, even the crappy CFS now has Christmas week cold along with the Euro monthlies. Pretty neat stuff evolving, Sun went as quiet as Forky last winter, Epo dropping like Zeus's pajamas, PNA rising like Wiz's weenie at the sight of Miley Cyrus. Should be fun Well, that's assuming the pattern holds. We'll need another two weeks to figure that out. December can easily sneak a snow event inland with warm temps. I mentioned that several times. It's normal to have a lousy December in a Nino, regardless of strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 DTVaWeatherman @DTVaWeatherman EURO WEEKLIES show colder pattern for DEC 2015.. not severe cold but much colder than TYPICAL Strong El Nino DEC which favors torch yea pretty volatile stuff, quick changes storms rumors of storms, cutters and coastals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 GGEM snowy That? Too warm when moisture is here. Flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 They're very unstable lately. They were trying to firehose the CONUS whole EPS were more into ridging out near AK. If we get a decent Aleutian low placement in Dec...then look out. That would be a really really good sign for winter. Usually only awesome weak Ninos have an awesome Aleutian low placement in Dec. But we'll see, the models are clueless I think right now. They are not showing much consistency and the ensemble spread remains higher than average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Week 3 and 4 were warm on weeklies. Week 2 is the one that changed. But week 3 and 4 are about as stable as a weather enthusiast in NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 That? Too warm when moisture is here. Flurries. Flurries/snow showers/ squalls etc.. Not a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 If we get a decent Aleutian low placement in Dec...then look out. That would be a really really good sign for winter. Usually only awesome weak Ninos have an awesome Aleutian low placement in Dec. But we'll see, the models are clueless I think right now. They are not showing much consistency and the ensemble spread remains higher than average. Unless Nino overpowers, I thought the tropical Pacific was getting a little more favorable in the extended too. Like you said, if we start seeing more signs of that Aleutian low, it could be a good sign. I think December may be a low confidence call. I wouldn't hang my hat on an all out furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.