UnionWeatherWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 WAVE 3 IS A CRUSH JOB ON THE 18Z GFS . Yes sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Yes. Starts out as some light rain/sleet. Similar set up to march 2007. That's how you go from 60-7 in 24 hrs Unbelievable storm in sleetfest 07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Anyone see Uptons point and click forcast for the city has 3-7" for Tuesday night before a change to rain is that right??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Would be a wonderful Purim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 And the ratios look great due to the proximity to the Arctic front and thicknesses. Absolutely , it is all through Minus 10 air , so the 10 to 1 snow maps will be under done . But I will wana wait to see if the whole piece comes out . If it does it will spread NW as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Considering how much disagreement there has been among the models this winter, now that the 18z GFS has joined the party, they all look fairly similar for Thursday. Lots of time to go, but nice to see some consensus at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Absolutely , it is all through Minus 10 air , so the 10 to 1 snow maps will be under done . But I will wana wait to see if the whole piece comes out . If it does it will spread NW as well Record lows would also be challenged Friday morning at the airport sites with Arctic CAA over a fresh snowpack. EWR 3/6 12 in 2007 12 in 1948 13 in 1978 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Record lows would also be challenged Friday morning at the airport sites with Arctic CAA over a fresh snowpack. EWR 3/6 12 in 2007 12 in 1948 13 in 1978 That is cold for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 The 18z gefs mean looks great for thursday... would like to see the idv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The 18z gefs mean looks great for thursday... So now looks like GFS 6 to 12 Euro 4 to 6 GEM 1 to 3 GEM trended south while the other 2 trended north would like to see the idv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 WAVE 3 IS A CRUSH JOB ON THE 18Z GFS . Looks like you called tues and thurs, so early guarded congrats. But it looks like after thursday, that's it, we better enjoy it. A full scale breakdown looks to be coming, but you called that too so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Breakdown in pattern may well be temporary, at least interior sections will still do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks like you called tues and thurs, so early guarded congrats. But it looks like after thursday, that's it, we better enjoy it. A full scale breakdown looks to be coming, but you called that too so...I hope Thursday crushes us and then the pattrern can go to crap. NYC now has an outside chance of hitting 40 inches for the winter, which is an insane turnaround considering we we're talking record LOW figures in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks like you called tues and thurs, so early guarded congrats. But it looks like after thursday, that's it, we better enjoy it. A full scale breakdown looks to be coming, but you called that too so... That `s it you %$^&* up the JU JU it`s done . Long way to go . This could easily end up S E because the push of HP is strong . What may save all of us , is there is a SE ridge . So it comes S and then LP has to ride the Baroclinic zone .' How much energy comes out ? Where is that BZ ? 850s KNYC Hour 84 - 6 - 8 Hour 90 - 12 -14 Hour 96 - 16 -18 This is why I like higher ratio`s . But very early for this stuff . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I hope Thursday crushes us and then the pattrern can go to crap. NYC now has an outside chance of hitting 40 inches for the winter, which is an insane turnaround considering we we're talking record LOW figures in January. I agree . Lets get 1 big one for everyone , then send the pattern on it`s way and be done . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'll sign on for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'll sign on for that. That was my point last weekend . Lets drain the pattern dry . Get 1 HR and then walk off . Trust me I like looking at mini skirts more than you do ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I let it continue. I don't give up after March 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The 18z gefs mean looks great for thursday... would like to see the idv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 00z tonight will be 3 days out..not that far out but still skeptical..let's watch this closely but conservatly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Has any weather service or met pick up on this potential 6 to 12er? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Has any weather service or met pick up on this potential 6 to 12er? Na no mention from what I saw... Concerned about ongoing storm plus Tuesday evening/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Na no mention from what I saw... Concerned about ongoing storm plus Tuesday evening/nightThey are more concerned about Tuesday afternoon/night right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 They are more concerned about Tuesday afternoon/night right now That's what I said lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Whatever happens on Thursday is highly speculative right now. If the cold press happens to end up stronger, which has been the case this winter than we're not going to get much. Best case scenario has a huge upside though if everything works out because it would literally be a firehouse of moisture into very cold air. We could easily see a foot plus in a best case scenario. The gradient would be narrow as well so there's huge bust potential too. We need another day to see if this is for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Whatever happens on Thursday is highly speculative right now. If the cold press happens to end up stronger, which has been the case this winter than we're not going to get much. Best case scenario has a huge upside though if everything works out because it would literally be a firehouse of moisture into very cold air. We could easily see a foot plus in a best case scenario. The gradient would be narrow as well so there's huge bust potential too. We need another day to see if this is for real. Wherever it decides to hit it's going to be real big imo. Could easily be a foot of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 if this storm pans out and i see another 6+ storm i can honestly say with the combo of cold and snow which would be 55+ inches this would be one of my favorite winters in a long time...remerkable considering i had about 3.5 inches of snow total on jan 20th before evrything chaned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 0z NAM would be a crush job for all . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 0z NAM would be a crush job for all . Sim radar at 84 looks amazing, the NAM has a lot of precipitation north of the 850 OC line, with all the support it now has I'm starting to get a little excited for the potential here. It's still warm at 84 verbatim but the front is still pressing south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'm driving to Florida Tuesday...I hope to dodge precipitation along the way...I think I will be in the clear until I get to Richmond...It should be rain down there as I pass thru...I'll miss two possible snowfalls and a thaw...When I return in two weeks it will probably snow again...I need the rest...I'm getting to old for this ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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