SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 That would shut down Boston theyre running out of places to put the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 so how much QPF does the region see over the next 7 days per the 12z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 so how much QPF does the region see over the next 7 days per the 12z euro? Sounds not all that impressive with the play by play .Any snow will likely have poor ratios too. Sun angle is also a facotor this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 so how much QPF does the region see over the next 7 days per the 12z euro? Through 12z Wednesday most areas are 1.4-1.5" LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 12+ areawide on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 The weenie maps have 11-15" with LHV JP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Sounds not all that impressive with the play by play .Any snow will likely have poor ratios too. Sun angle is also a facotor this time of the year. Really with that sun angle talk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 so how much QPF does the region see over the next 7 days per the 12z euro? 12 Z ECM snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Sounds not all that impressive with the play by play .Any snow will likely have poor ratios too. Sun angle is also a facotor this time of the year. Get real talking sun angle b4 mid Feb!! PLEASE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Man, once a pattern sets up in a winter...it really locks in. The same Snow/No-Snow line on every storm practically. 40N... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 1511457_892695850781131_7129033919225155291_n.jpg 12 Z ECM snowfall I'm moving to Boston... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 GFSx is 18" around here but refers to precipitation type with a 'Z' throughout. What does this mean? http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mavcard.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Sun angle is also a facotor this time of the year. no its not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Things might be borderline again though. I hope the highs are strong enough to keep the cold but considering the last storm ended up much colder than forecast then I think we're okay as long as the 850s are cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 1511457_892695850781131_7129033919225155291_n.jpg 12 Z ECM snowfall looks good on paper. If I had a 50 cent piece every time the euro showed something likel this 18 + hours out, I would be over 100 inches of snow this season. A storm will occur, but let's keep an eye on the upgraded GFS and UK model. Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 Man, once a pattern sets up in a winter...it really locks in. The same Snow/No-Snow line on every storm practically. 40N... Lack of precip more than warm temps. Drop off to less than an inch once south of TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 The Euro looks like the GFS . One HP after another heading through the lakes . It sees the confluence and keeps the SLP to our south so yes if it is pos tilted it will get forced underneath . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Please don't start the sun angle talk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Things might be borderline again though. I hope the highs are strong enough to keep the cold but considering the last storm ended up much colder than forecast then I think we're okay as long as the 850s are cold enough. There is nothing on the Euro that is borderline for anyone north of Monmouth County. NYC, E. Brunswick and all of LI are very cold and this run is an amazing event that would push the snow pack to amazing amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1423077221 WPC updated QPF day 5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1423077221 WPC updated QPF day 5-6 and that only runs through 7pm Monday Night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 mos.gif http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mavcard.php i actually think that 8 is a rounded number as the MOS guidance goes in full intervals....2/4/8 etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 There is nothing on the Euro that is borderline for anyone north of Monmouth County. NYC, E. Brunswick and all of LI are very cold and this run is an amazing event that would push the snow pack to amazing amounts. Monmouth cty is cold as well with 12 plus on maps i actually think that 8 is a rounded number as the MOS guidance goes in full intervals....2/4/8 etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 and that only runs through 7pm Monday Night.... Yes...830 that is correct here is your add on http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1423078358 i actually think that 8 is a rounded number as the MOS guidance goes in full intervals....2/4/8 etc WL estimates (rough sketch) I have never been a fan of that skew sometimes we get so caught up in the numbers we forget to look at the live action http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-flash.html the PAC is loaded http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/hemi/index.php?type=n_pacific-ir-48 split flow over CALI can overwhelm extended model guidance http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9∏=dlm6&zoom=&time= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 These super duration modeled events rarely work out to actually be 48+ hrs of precip. Typically one or two shortwaves take over and the precip field becomes consolidated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Hot off the presses 7 day QPF (includes tonights dust)... Yes...830 that is correct here is your add on http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1423078358 WL estimates (rough sketch) I have never been a fan of that skew sometimes we get so caught up in the numbers we forget to look at the live action http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-flash.html the PAC is loaded http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/hemi/index.php?type=n_pacific-ir-48 split flow over CALI can overwhelm extended model guidance http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9∏=dlm6&zoom=&time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 WTF? The sun angle won't be a factor for another few weeks, it's EARLY FEBRUARY. Who are these people?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 These super duration modeled events rarely work out to actually be 48+ hrs of precip. Typically one or two shortwaves take over and the precip field becomes consolidated. good day to you Dano rarely...how about never!!! PAC wave train guarantees we take another Roller Coaster Ride http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/P_96hrbw.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 look at those QPF totals on the west coast-16 inches in a week in N CA? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 look at those QPF totals on the west coast-16 inches in a week in N CA? Wow That's pretty typical for them. A lot of that will fall in the mountains away from where people live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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