Doorman Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 ??? What does this even mean? Its not about air temperatures its about air quality....pollution this is what the global warming terminology covers up Cancer...Health issues and so on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Globel warming increases snowfall since it increases the preciptable water in the atmosphere. So snowfall events are more intense it is a simple as that. As for the upcoming storm if the temperatures rise as fast as they did in NYC today to our south it will enhance the snowfall amounts beyond the models. That means yearly rainfall would increase,which seems like it has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 No one cares but NAM is wayyyy north. Frontal passage gets to Albany. Still out of its range tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 No one cares but NAM is wayyyy north. Frontal passage gets to Albany. Still out of its range tho. Your right, gfs comes out in 30 minutes, lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Globel warming increases snowfall since it increases the preciptable water in the atmosphere. So snowfall events are more intense it is a simple as that. As for the upcoming storm if the temperatures rise as fast as they did in NYC today to our south it will enhance the snowfall amounts beyond the models. Wait, I thought snow was going to be a thing of the past? But don't you need COLD to have snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 No one cares but NAM is wayyyy north. Frontal passage gets to Albany. Still out of its range tho. Shift the NAM at 84 hours about 100 miles south at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Wait, I thought snow was going to be a thing of the past? But don't you need COLD to have snow?Long story short, he's talking how feedback processes can lead to relatively extreme bouts of cold while also increasing the intensity of global storms. But this is a discussion for another thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Shift the NAM at 84 hours about 100 miles south at least.You think it's too far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 WTF step thru the loop...it gets even better http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=4&fcolor=wbg for real the WPC cats playing us out with this map Cisco Kid was a friend of mine...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 The lead vort max is stronger and digging more 03z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 The energy coming into the Pacific is also slower, the ridge out West is a bit stronger as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 Very light stuff on Sunday, spotty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 Almost a sheared out look by Sunday night, not much organized precip, certainly much weaker than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 Finally by Sunday night some heavier stuff moving in. Most of Sunday looks like non-stop very light snow, flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Njwinter Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 To be expected from the GFS. I'm not taking the model scarcely until tomorrow's mid-day run. And even then it's not set in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 Good burst overnight into Monday, that part is similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 The energy is digging more but everything is still moving too fast. The whole thing is kind of a big mess. This run puts NYC right on the 0.75"+ contour with much less over NJ. LI is about the same as NYC. More North of the city and into PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 it's getting back to its original idea from a few days ago, attempting to dig the trough to the Bahamas. The GFS has been far too erratic at H5 for me to take it seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Gfs to my eyes looks a little more logical. Still drops 6 to 10 over the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Wow this thread is dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Wow this thread is dead Shows you once we've had some snow people are no longer desperate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Great chart it really show how global warming has shorten the winter. Some of that could be from a warmer modern day UHI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Threat is still to early to talk about. We all know the track changes 100x. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Dead in here tonight!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Shows you once we've had some snow people are no longer desperate Tonight's Canadian run was pretty ugly. Snow misses to the north Saturday night into Sunday, and then it warms up for rain Sunday night into Monday. Hopefully GFS is correct with the colder solution, and hopefully Euro keeps showing a colder solution tonight. I actually am desperate for a significant event since I still haven't had a snow event of more than 5 inches so far this season. Huge difference in season snow totals between the suburbs just to the west of NYC, and NYC-east. Most of that due to the blizzard not making it west of NYC, obviously. So I'm rooting hard for this Sunday-Monday event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Hopefully we get a snowy Euro in a few minutes. Anyone doing pbp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Tonight's Canadian run was pretty ugly. Snow misses to the north Saturday night into Sunday, and then it warms up for rain Sunday night into Monday. Hopefully GFS is correct with the colder solution, and hopefully Euro keeps showing a colder solution tonight. I actually am desperate for a significant event since I still haven't had a snow event of more than 5 inches so far this season. Huge difference in season snow totals between the suburbs just to the west of NYC, and NYC-east. Most of that due to the blizzard not making it west of NYC, obviously. So I'm rooting hard for this Sunday-Monday event.106 am and no pbp euro with a storm on the horizon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Yikes, this thread really is dead! Okay, so, are we REALLY going to have to wait till Saturday to get a solid handle on this? Someone mentioned the vortmax coming on shore and being better sampled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Euro has some snow with the 1st wave but the 2nd wave has a great hit for the NYC area northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Euro has some snow with the 1st wave but the 2nd wave has a great hit for the NYC area northward. Can you define great in quantitative terms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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