SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Since I seem to be in the dark on this, what is BAM? One of those idiots tossing 200 hr+ snowfall maps out with no other explanation. Getting the public riled up for the 24" of snow that will inevitably be a DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iu2001grad Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The thing with BAM is he is located in south central Indiana so those who follow him are in the southern portions of this storm as i see it developing. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 HYPED for this event. LES looks immense. Nice. Also should bring a nice shot of show before that sets in. Same, the LES at the end should be amazing here in the Ontario snow-belts. I'm very excited and I don't mind if its just a historic windstorm...better than nothing. A severe blizzard would be tops of course so I'm rooting for that outcome here in ON. Discuss further here https://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45157-christmas-grinch-storm-potential/ I don't think I would call it a "Grinch Storm". I know why some want to call it that, I just don't like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I don't think I would call it a "Grinch Storm". I know why some want to call it that, I just don't like it. Duly noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 One of those idiots tossing 200 hr+ snowfall maps out with no other explanation. Getting the public riled up for the 24" of snow that will inevitably be a DAB.He tossed out one map like that last year, and he's been savaged about that ever since. I follow him a lot, and in general he does a fine job. I haven't found him to overly hype things. He's young and learning, but I've found him to be right more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Parallel GFS still continues to show a solid snow event from KS to IN with the second system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Parallel GFS still continues to show a solid snow event from KS to IN with the second system with a decent HP on it's heels....clearly not the Christmas storm strength with the SLP .... but looks to have a nice setup on the wintery side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 looks like the punt until January calls were money in the bank clock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 looks like the punt until January calls were money in the bank clock I still haven't given up on my Christmas call, even though it's looking ugly this morning. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 euro showing one hell of a SE ridge by day 10....normally a good thing but this one flexes well into my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Would love to roll into a 2007-08 type pattern here although this is basically the opposite PDO/ENSO state to that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 With the models now trending towards a later phasing storm on the 24/25th, the 2nd storm ends up being much more interesting for the 26/27th. Has a real nice baroclinic zone to ride, and some of the coldest air of the season moving in behind it. One concern is that it cuts too much, and ends up tracking through Iowa like the 00z Euro control indicated. (The mean is a bit further east over Illinois). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 euro showing one hell of a SE ridge by day 10....normally a good thing but this one flexes well into my neck of the woods. The baroclinic zone following the 26/27th system lays out nicely over the southern states. Gulf still wide open with some more potential energy moving in from the west. Could easily see something blow up with that as we head towards New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 2015 here we come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 With the models now trending towards a later phasing storm on the 24/25th, the 2nd storm ends up being much more interesting for the 26/27th. Has a real nice baroclinic zone to ride, and some of the coldest air of the season moving in behind it. One concern is that it cuts too much, and ends up tracking through Iowa like the 00z Euro control indicated. (The mean is a bit further east over Illinois). Well said. I kind of have always been more interested in this system given the more traditional look. Wave ejecting over a sharp baroclinic zone with much more cold air to work with on the NW side. Just gotta hope there is enough wave spacing for this to do something and not shear itself out and become a wave along a front. Recent trends have been a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Does anybody have a link to the parallel - or new - GFS? I seem to only be looking at the old GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Does anybody have a link to the parallel - or new - GFS? I seem to only be looking at the old GFS. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfsp®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2014121812&fh=6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerStateWX Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 thanks cyclone.. I to was wondering where a good place to access the new GFS was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 lol, the 27th storm is getting crushed to death what a disaster this pattern change is turning into Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GEM and PGFS advertising rain for the 27th, opGFS selling a miss south good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Verbatim the PGFS would lay down a nice swath of heavy snow from Iowa to Wisconsin. Kind of a classic track for December it seems. With how models have been lately I wouldn't be too concerned with exact placement. The fact that there will be a big storm system to follow in this time frame should be interesting. As T-snow mentioned, this one has a more traditional evolution to it along advancing arctic air, so hopefully the models do a better job with this one going forward lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 pure porn only but I like! would prefer to see a more spread the wealth type pattern for the whole sub tho. makes tracking more fun, but I can go for 3-4' of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GEM and PGFS advertising rain for the 27th, opGFS selling a miss south good stuff What? GEM is a good/big snow event from DSM to ORD along/north of 88. Really riding the edge but still like our chances with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Does anybody have a link to the parallel - or new - GFS? I seem to only be looking at the old GFS. http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php# This is a better one IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 I'm not even touching that second storm until the first one is figured out. Clearly it has some potential though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 What? GEM is a good/big snow event from DSM to ORD along/north of 88. Really riding the edge but still like our chances with this one. yeah, i was thinking it would cut more. It's a nice hit. All that said, I'm leaning more towards a miss south than rain with that one. Just don't see heights amping enough in wake of the massive retrograding canadian low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 yeah, i was thinking it would cut more. It's a nice hit. All that said, I'm leaning more towards a miss south than rain with that one. Just don't see heights amping enough in wake of the massive retrograding canadian low. Still getting a wide swath of solutions from hits, to cutting west to miss south. But the misses south aren't by a ton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 pure porn only but I like! would prefer to see a more spread the wealth type pattern for the whole sub tho. makes tracking more fun, but I can go for 3-4' of snow! gfsp_asnow_us_41.png This makes me tingly. Too bad it's pure fantasy porn at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 euro continues with the more realistic squashed/rushed look with the 27th wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Euro EPS control run is south with the second system but a 4-8" for central/northern MO on over to LAF/Indy some serious euro ensemble member big dogs for this one as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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