poleshiftnow Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 3 things I learned about this storm 1. NAM is garbage 2.Euro is garbage 3.And a lot of mets love to ride these 2 models smh DT,JB,LC,BR, all rode the Euro live by the Euro die by the Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 What's worse: The last 3 days loss of sleep The pit in the stomach when I woke up at 5 and looked at the upton radar.. Deciding to make the best of it and go to Catamount, only to learn they closed for the day based on the 2 feet bust... Trying to figure out what to do with the extra gas i have paying another $160 on plowing another 2-3 inches. Explaining to my kids what happened....(also coworkers, friends and family) or worst of all, the fact that I am model watching for Thursday's 1-2 inches already. (and Monday) I really feel for you nyc and coasties. Got to admit though that the past few days were exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Well I think this storm made this winter worst than what it was. At least we got some snow. But wow what a bust. We will remember this one. People will remember this one..this brings trouble because when a real blizzard comes, people won't take the media and government serious anymore. We will need some time to recover. I think not even a real blizzard will help us recover from this right now. It just unbelievable that the euro was so consistent run to run and it was way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Epic busts by Euro and ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 What pisses alot of people off, including me is that this winter has sucked. this storm busting in NYC and points southwest adds onto the suckage. so much for my 24-36" Upton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 With this storm NYC is not far away from average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 With this storm NYC is not far away from average. Yeah avg would be around 15" or so after January so pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Any other storms out there in the near future? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I am going to go out on the limb now and say that there is going to be a bust somewhere in the region just looking at the current radar which for some reason I can't get the link to work properly I knew there was going to be a bust - when that storm started developing radar was a strung out mess and the storm never had a chance to close off at all levels plus later in the evening the lowest pressure looked too far east and not as low as forecasted by the EURO.........Euro blew this one for most of NYC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Can the positive nao be blamed for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Can the positive nao be blamed for this? it's hard to say yes or no but if the forecast was 6-10" for the city this would have been a great storm...the hype ruined it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 2001 epic bust on a bigger scale geographically it taught me not to throw all my energy into these events because their small in the grand scheme of things.We did well with wraparound 8 inches all said and done in march 2001, the school closings were backwards ,local government are always paranoid because after the lindsay storm they learned people remember potholes and snowstorms that are underforecasted. oh yeah beautiful down here in south fla. going bassfishing see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Can the positive nao be blamed for this? Blamed for what ? 20 inches in Nassau County up to 30 out towards Montauk ? Does the AO not effect Long Island LGA will be close to 12 inches when this is done. That was the forecast for far NWNJ . When the bust risk was always where was the steep gradient ( modeled 75 to 100 miles west ) NCNJ back to the Poconos a SLP that corrected 75 miles east just brought that gradient into KNYC . Paltry from the 5 boroughs West , but from Central Long Island east its a Very good storm ( if 20 -30 ) is the new " very good " . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The Euro and its ensembles were awful from Central Long Island west , Probably it worst bust here in many a year . This got tugged east . What will suck for some are some of the 20 -30 amounts you will see so close by on Long Island and the 30 plus from New England For the city and LGA it was 8 to 12 and west NADA . That 75 - 100 mile difference was about as bad a shafting for many as we have seen in a while . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I barely got any sleep for this piece of **** storm. I was hoping tovwale up to cars buried and piles of snow. Euro can burn in hell. Tell us how you really feel! It is a nice looking winter morning out, we have that at least. So what's next? You're usually sniffing em out early:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Blamed for what ? 20 inches in Nassau County up to 30 out towards Montauk ? Does the AO not effect Long Island LGA will be close to 12 inches when this is done. That was the forecast for far NWNJ . When the bust risk was always where was the steep gradient ( modeled 75 to 100 miles west ) NCNJ back to the Poconos a SLP that corrected 75 miles east just brought that gradient into KNYC . Paltry from the 5 boroughs West , but from Central Long Island east its a Very good storm ( if 20 -30 ) is the new " very good " . And they pretty much got one just like it 2 years ago...imagine tow storms of that magnitude in two years. we used to go decades between such storms, but I will say these storms of late seem to concentrate gradients much tighter than I remember, but I didn't pay as much attention in my youth. Seems I had other things on my mind, and not just fishing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 2001 epic bust on a bigger scale geographically it taught me not to throw all my energy into these events because their small in the grand scheme of things.We did well with wraparound 8 inches all said and done in march 2001, the school closings were backwards ,local government are always paranoid because after the lindsay storm they learned people remember potholes and snowstorms that are underforecasted. oh yeah beautiful down here in south fla. going bassfishing see ya Meh, the bass are always biting in FL. What else they got to do but eat? catching any gar or bowfin while your at it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 LI was slammed during Nemo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Njwinter Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Very depressing. The only joy I get out of the storm is seeing DT bust so badly. The fact that he called out the weather channel it is hilarious. The weather Channel is a Larry's but this time they beat DT. Let's see if we hear from DT or does he say he has computer problems and that's why he hasn't posted. Or maybe he will come out again and say why he was horribly wrong. He says that he is the only one that will admit when he's wrong but I think it's because he's getting good at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The Euro and its ensembles were awful from Central Long Island west , Probably it worst bust here in many a year . This got tugged east . What will suck for some are some of the 20 -30 amounts you will see so close by on Long Island and the 30 plus from New England For the city and LGA it was 8 to 12 and west NADA . That 75 - 100 mile difference was about as bad a shafting for many as we have seen in a while . Well I do have more snow on the ground than 3/5/01 or 2/6/10. This is at least turning into a run of the mill 6-7 incher here in partsof NJ. It's like it has snowed lightly for the past 24 hours. it has taken that long to accumulate this amount. It's a blown forecast, no question. In other news, my BIL in ME is about to get hit. When he was down here for Boxing Day, he wasn't flustered by it at all, tho admitted it was a "big Stawm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Very depressing. The only joy I get out of the storm is seeing DT bust so badly. The fact that he called out the weather channel it is hilarious. The weather Channel is a Larry's but this time they beat DT. Let's see if we hear from DT or does he say he has computer problems and that's why he hasn't posted. Or maybe he will come out again and say why he was horribly wrong. He says that he is the only one that will admit when he's wrong but I think it's because he's getting good at it. Very depressing. The only joy I get out of the storm is seeing DT bust so badly. The fact that he called out the weather channel it is hilarious. The weather Channel is a Larry's but this time they beat DT. Let's see if we hear from DT or does he say he has computer problems and that's why he hasn't posted. Or maybe he will come out again and say why he was horribly wrong. He says that he is the only one that will admit when he's wrong but I think it's because he's getting good at it. Steve D had a tail between his legs post of about a paragraph saying he warned this might happen. I missed the warning, Stevie. What page was it on again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Hey wait, it could still move west. It's time for nowcasting and not model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Very depressing. The only joy I get out of the storm is seeing DT bust so badly. The fact that he called out the weather channel it is hilarious. The weather Channel is a Larry's but this time they beat DT. Let's see if we hear from DT or does he say he has computer problems and that's why he hasn't posted. Or maybe he will come out again and say why he was horribly wrong. He says that he is the only one that will admit when he's wrong but I think it's because he's getting good at it. Nah he just calls everyone else idiots on his page lol. He's a sore loser. Called everyone here on american "idiot weenies" last night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The Euro and its ensembles were awful from Central Long Island west , Probably it worst bust here in many a year . This got tugged east . What will suck for some are some of the 20 -30 amounts you will see so close by on Long Island and the 30 plus from New England For the city and LGA it was 8 to 12 and west NADA . That 75 - 100 mile difference was about as bad a shafting for many as we have seen in a while . Yeah I can't wait to see the totals from New England. Someone's gonna end up with 4 feet, the radar has been cranking over some of those guys for hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xdurango Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Parts of Eastern Jersey look to be in the 8 - 12 range also. EWR is at 6 and snowing. The Euro and its ensembles were awful from Central Long Island west , Probably it worst bust here in many a year . This got tugged east . What will suck for some are some of the 20 -30 amounts you will see so close by on Long Island and the 30 plus from New England For the city and LGA it was 8 to 12 and west NADA . That 75 - 100 mile difference was about as bad a shafting for many as we have seen in a while . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 DT is the real idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yeah I can't wait to see the totals from New England. Someone's gonna end up with 4 feet, the radar has been cranking over some of those guys for hours and hours. Latest totals at 7 has Worcester with the highest total at 25". Not surprising the way that band has been parked there. Wouldn't be surprised if they don't wind up with 35 or 40". Really wishing I'd made the trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Hey wait, it could still move west. It's time for nowcasting and not model watching. I'm sticking with the model that shows me the least and riding it. It is just as good as riding the bullish ones. Worst is the smirking guy at the deli yesterday who said we will get less than 8 inches. He referenced 3/5/01. The general public DOES remember these things. People died during Sandy because Irene was tamer than it was hyped to be ( and I lost power in both, as well as the October snowstorm )and they thought hell, the weather service is on crack. I saw neighborhoods on both sides of Raritan Bay that had stood for decades get washed away during Sandy. I like big snows, but I never want to see another Sandy again. And I won't retire to a state that gets hurricanes. NEPA looks good to me, except for the bears. And crazy dudes with guns hiding in the Poconos.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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